The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

By Peter Schiff

Peter Schiff is an economist, financial broker/dealer, author, frequent guest on national news, and host of the Peter Schiff Show Podcast. The podcast focuses on economic data analysis and unbiased

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Number 1: The Treasury Just Admitted It... The Bond Market Is Broken
Peter Schiff breaks down the Treasury's panic move to rescue the bond market, the $40 trillion debt milestone, and gold's $185 reversal day. This episode is sponsored by Noom. The Noom GLP-1 Program starts at $39 and is delivered to your door in as little as seven days. Go to https://noom.com to learn more. This episode is also sponsored by Ground News. Go to http://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world. The Treasury just doubled its bond buybacks. Peter Schiff says that's the government admitting the bond market is broken. On the same day the national debt topped $40 trillion, the Treasury announced it is doubling its long-term bond buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion... buying the bonds everybody else is selling, and funding it by issuing more short-term debt. Peter calls it what it is: a panic move, a Hail Mary to suppress rising yields after the 30-year hit 5.3%, its highest in over 19 years. Refinancing debt locked in at a 3.44% average coupon with 4% T-bills makes no financial sense, which is exactly why it's happening... the government is scared, not stupid. The market rendered its verdict immediately. Gold reversed off a $185 rally to close above $4,500, silver cleared $66, and the miners surged 8-12%, while hawkish FOMC minutes were shrugged off entirely. Peter explains why this Treasury version of Operation Twist forces the Fed to follow with real QE... a program that will have to dwarf 2008's... why Bitcoin's pop above $70,000 is built on hope, and why the housing data shows the panic is justified. Chapters: 00:00 Treasury Panic Move 01:05 Bond Yields Hit New Highs 02:58 Debt Explosion Politics 07:00 Treasury Buyback Twist 10:23 QE Next And Fed Cornered 16:04 Hawkish Minutes Gold Surge 24:03 Markets React Unevenly 24:20 Dollar Drops Oil Jumps 25:08 Fed Inflation Bind 26:30 Debt Era Comparison 27:40 Jobs Data Media Spin 29:17 Bitcoin Versus Metals 31:19 Housing Slump Mortgages 33:59 Tariffs Canada Trade 37:50 Buybacks Won't Work 42:26 QE Addiction Ahead 44:34 Boat Update Farewell Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off! Visit https://sleep.me. * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
August 20, 202646min
Number 2: The Bond Buybacks Just Doubled... And Now There's a Military Option
Warsh talks tough, buybacks double, a military option surfaces, gold falls $140, and boat prices collapse 50%. This episode is sponsored by Ground News. Go to http://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world. This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosm The Treasury doubled its bond buybacks this week. Then the talk turned to a military option for yields. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh spent his most anticipated speech of the year talking tough about inflation, and Peter Schiff explains why none of it matters. Warsh accepted responsibility for 65 straight months above the 2% target, then never once mentioned the $40 trillion national debt or the Treasury intervention running underneath him. Money supply is expanding at roughly 6% annualized since he took the job. He is talking about putting out the fire while pouring the gasoline. Underneath the speech, the policy escalated. Treasury buybacks already doubled from $2 billion to $4 billion, with roughly a trillion in the general fund available to extend them, shortening the average maturity of the debt and leaving the government more exposed to the rate hikes markets are now pricing. And in a Fox News interview on that same intervention, a military option for lowering bond yields was raised. Peter also covers the week's real data: gold down $140, silver reversing from nearly $71, a Chicago PMI collapse to 47.1 that was the biggest downside miss in eleven years, and a boat market where prices have fallen 50% and lenders are taking the keys, a Fed-made boom and bust he argues housing is about to repeat. Chapters: 00:00 Inflation Firestorm 00:37 Boatcast Setup 01:02 Warsh Speech Breakdown 04:12 Debt And Twist Ignored 08:10 Forward Guidance Critique 11:19 Dual Mandate Tradeoffs 12:46 Money Supply Matters 13:56 Hawkish Talk And Markets 18:50 Trump Military Option 20:01 Canada Tariffs Fallout 27:53 Market Wrap Gold Bitcoin 31:46 Strategy Dilution Spiral 32:42 Dollar Yen Bonds Warning 34:11 Manufacturing Digital Shift 39:03 Boating Bubble Bust 45:28 Boat Costs Force Selling 48:13 West Marine Bankruptcy 53:02 Buyer Market Repos Risk 56:30 Boat Ownership Reality 57:09 Closing Politics Plug Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff #BondMarket #FederalReserve Our Sponsors: * Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off! Visit https://sleep.me. * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
August 29, 202657min
Number 3: The Next Leg Down in Your Standard of Living Just Started
Peter Schiff on plunging retail sales, sticky inflation, the Fed's stealth QE, and why the world is now leaving the dollar standard. This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. For the first time ever you can try NetSuite Next for free. If your revenues are at least in the seven figures, Go to https://netsuite.com/gold This episode is also sponsored by Function. Join at https://functionhealth.com/peter and use code PETER25 for a $25 credit. Retail sales just plunged, producer prices are still rising, and the Fed is quietly expanding its balance sheet again. The July data tells the story the markets keep ignoring. Retail sales fell 0.6 percent, the biggest drop in over a year, and since those numbers are not adjusted for inflation, real spending fell even further. Consumer sentiment sank to 51 as households braced for 4.3 percent inflation, more than double the Fed's 2 percent target. Producer prices rose 4.7 percent year over year, and instead of rallying on the weak data, the bond market sold off to its lowest weekly close of the year, with the 30-year at 5.27 percent. Meanwhile the Fed expanded its balance sheet by more than 21 billion dollars in two weeks, with the national debt about 80 billion dollars away from 40 trillion. Peter marks 55 years since Nixon closed the gold window and calls it what it was: a 100 percent default on America's creditors. His father Irwin testified against removing gold backing in 1968, and the 1970s proved him right. Now the sequel is underway. The world is going off the dollar standard the way America went off gold, and the next leg down in the American standard of living has already started. Gold near 4,400 dollars and silver above 66 are the market's verdict. Chapters: 00:00 Middle Class Squeeze 01:01 PPI Breakdown 04:08 Fed Balance Sheet Surge 05:23 Stagflation Signals 08:28 Bond Market Warning 11:39 Greenspan and 1987 Echoes 14:48 Stocks vs Bonds Diverge 15:33 Gold Shines Bitcoin Slips 18:16 Bitcoin Bear Case 21:08 Iran Sanctions and Oil 26:30 Nixon Gold Standard Legacy 28:52 Inflation Math Reality 29:30 Video Plug Fiat Failure 30:19 Electric Catamaran Tour 34:30 Cruising Plans Tax Credit 37:02 Gold Standard Break Explained 48:09 Dollar Standard Ending Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff #Stagflation #Inflation Our Sponsors: * Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off! Visit https://sleep.me. * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
August 17, 202652min
Number 4: Last Week Was the Warning... What Comes Next Is Bigger
A record $432B July deficit, $40 trillion in debt days away, gold above $4,400... last week's fireworks were just the opening act. This episode is sponsored by Odoo. Sign up for free at https://www.odoo.com/r/peter This episode is also sponsored by Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate. This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosm The CPI came in tame. Hours later the Treasury reported a $432 billion July deficit... the worst single month in US history. Peter breaks down why the benign 0.1% July CPI is an accounting illusion: the BLS compares monthly averages, so June's oil collapse masked July's crude rebound, and August is set up to run hot. The real inflation news came later that day from the Treasury: a record $432 billion July deficit, $1.8 trillion in just ten months, and a national debt now less than $150 billion from $40 trillion. Bigger deficits mean more pressure on the Fed to choose inflation, which is exactly why the bond market refused to rally on the "good" CPI number. Gold holds above $4,400 and silver above $65 as heavy Asian buying signals the de-dollarization trade is back on, while Bitcoin sits dead at $63,500 and misses the entire rally. Peter also covers the yen back above 159 and the Fed's swap-line backdoor QE for Japan, both parties drifting left after the latest primaries, Trump family corruption from Truth Social premium access to Barron's $150 million, and the Iran endgame: no deal, a closed Strait of Hormuz, and a president claiming victory in a war America clearly lost. Chapters: 00:00 Inflation Signals Not Prices 01:22 CPI Print And Market Bets 04:24 CPI Math Masks Energy Surge 10:37 Deficits The Real Inflation Driver 19:54 Gold Surge Debt And Yen QE 31:09 Radical Left Wins Primaries 32:00 Both Parties Shift Left 34:17 Trump Corruption Claims 37:51 Bitcoin Stalls vs Gold 44:13 Iran War Reality Check Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off! Visit https://sleep.me. * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
August 13, 202653min
Number 5: Everything I Warned You About Just Happened... All in One Week
Peter Schiff breaks down July's negative jobs report, Japan's yen crisis, and the Fed's stealth QE bailout as gold and silver surge. This episode is sponsored by DripDrop. Stock up now at http://dripdrop.com and use promo code GOLD for 20% off This episode is also sponsored by Upwork. Visit https://upwork.com right now and post your job for free to connect with top talent ready to help your business grow. Recording from his boat in Rhode Island, Peter Schiff covers a week that vindicated his forecasts. The July jobs report showed a loss of 23,000 jobs, with prior months revised down another 105,000 and labor force participation falling to 61.4%, a level unseen outside COVID lockdowns in 50 years. Full-time jobs have declined in six of the last seven months while wages lag inflation, confirming the stagflation Peter has long warned about. The bigger story is Japan: with the yen at a 40-year low and JGB yields at record highs, the US executed its first yen intervention since 1998, roughly ten times larger, using euros instead of dollars and blindsiding the ECB. The Fed also took Japan's Treasuries via repo and printed the dollars, a stealth form of quantitative easing that contradicts its inflation-fighting rhetoric. Markets got the message: gold jumped 7.8% to 4,341, silver surged 12.3% to 63.46 after holding above the old $50 ceiling, and GDX rocketed 22% in one week, all far outpacing Bitcoin's 3.7% gain. Peter argues the intervention is just the beginning, the Fed will not hike before the midterms, and a currency and sovereign debt crisis is approaching. He urges listeners to prepare with gold, silver, miners, and foreign stocks, and to understand the coming crisis is caused by government, not capitalism. Chapters: 00:00 Fed Japan Bond Backstop 01:11 Back At Sea Intro 01:59 Week Ahead Jobs Japan 03:23 Stocks Metals Surge 06:23 Bitcoin Strategy Warning 09:15 Bonds Dollar Fed Odds 14:00 July Jobs Shock 15:33 Revisions Participation Drop 19:51 Wages Inflation Stagflation 24:09 Trump Ballroom Rant 26:49 Japan Crisis Tease 29:24 Japan Yen Breakdown 31:30 Debt Trap And Rates 32:23 Treasury Selling Threat 34:35 Fed And BOJ Coordination 36:08 Swap Line QE Explained 41:15 Euro Intervention Twist 44:29 Inflation Signals And Metals 47:51 Storm Warning Ahead 49:18 Blame Government Not Markets 52:07 Prepare And Spread The Word Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news Our Sponsors: * Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off! Visit https://sleep.me. * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
August 08, 202652min