The Rate Guy

The Rate Guy

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The Rate Guy episodes

  • Fed Funds to 3.0 This Year?

    On this episode of The Rate Guy all attention is on the upcoming Fed meeting and how dramatically expectations continue to shift.

    To view graphs or other data referenced check out the Pensford newsletter. https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/fed-funds-to-3.0-this-year?hsLang=en

    33 min
  • Interest Rates - The Top Gun Edition

    We are super excited about this episode of The Rate Guy! We draw parallels between interest rate markets and TopGun Characters. If you're a fan of the movie we think you'll love it. If you don't like the movie...there are no words.

    https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/interest-rates-the-top-gun-edition?hsLang=en

    "I feel the need. The need for speed!"

    29 min
  • So You're Sayin There's A Chance

    On this episode of The Rate Guy podcast we discuss the improbability of a soft landing, what cooling inflation really looks like and what might be the most worrisome this to J Powell right now.

     

    For graphs referenced check out our newsletter here: https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/so-youre-telling-me-theres-a-chance?hsLang=en

    30 min
  • Hope Is A Terrible Hedge

    On this episode of The Rate Guy we discuss if the bottom is actually falling out, inflation, and our hopes for the Core PCE number coming out this week. 

    28 min
  • What's The Game Plan?
    On this episode of The Rate Guy we discuss  the recession threshold and when we're set to hit it. We also analyze our recent restrictive territory history and how the Fed behaved during those times. 

    Link to the Pensford newsletter and graphs referenced. https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/whats-the-game-plan-here?hsLang=en

    29 min
  • Rates To The Moon
    On this episode of The Rate Guy we discuss the upcoming Fed meeting, how quantitative tightening could effect asset pricing and our take on when the economy could break itself throw us into a recession.  

    To see the photo of J Powell as an astronaut check out the Pensford Newsletter! Pensford.com

    29 min
  • The Fed Has Already Hiked More Than 2.0%
    We cover a lot in this episode of The Rate Guy Podcast! We discuss probable Russian default, the MTE (monetary tightening to easing ratio), the impact of rate hikes coupled with balance sheet reduction, and why the odds of over hiking are significant. 

     

    35 min
  • It's The Liquidity, Stupid!

    On this episode of The Rate Guy Podcast we discuss the 4 ways that rising rates could effect our economy and the 1 thing everyone, including J Powell, should be paying attention to. 

    For graphs referenced or more info check out the Pensford Newsletter. https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/its-the-liquidity-stupid?hsLang=en

    37 min

About The Rate Guy

From the publisher's feed

The Rate Guy Podcast is hosted by JP Conklin of Pensford. It's an irreverent insight into interest rates and current markets and how they impact the Commercial Real Estate and Multifamily industries.

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