The Rate Guy

The Rate Guy

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The Rate Guy episodes

  • A Resilient Job Market Doesn't Normally Dictate FOMC Policy

    On this episode of The Rate Guy we reveal some interest findings in our research about job market stats and the Fed's decision making, specifically regarding rate pauses and cuts. It's a light data week ahead, but we do have our first ever Interest Rate Webinar this Tuesday, December 6th at 10am eastern! (sorry West Coast folks...that was our bad in scheduling!)

    Interested in joining us for the webinar REGISTER HERE --> https://lnkd.in/gt3wFT_Z This webinar will cover a variety of topics including: - 2023 Rate Forecasts - Fixed vs Floating - Cap Cost Analysis - When Will the Fed Cut Rates? - And, undoubtedly, some trash talk 

    To view graphs referenced in the podcast, click here https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/a-resilient-job-market-doesnt-normally-dictate-fomc-policy?hsLang=en

    16 min
  • No, The Fed Is Not Pivoting Yet

    On this short and sweet Thanksgiving episode of The Rate Guy we discuss the dramatic change in Shipping/Port activity, the biggest takeaways from the FOMC minutes and the contrary Fed camps that are emerging.

    If you want to check out JP's favorite graph, Financial Conditions, click the newsletter here ---> https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/no-the-fed-is-not-pivoting-yet?hsLang=en

     

    20 min
  • 2023 – Year of the Stag

    On this week's episode of The Rate Guy we discuss PPI (the Producer Price Index), the two opposing perspectives of the Market and the Fed, Stagflation, and JP's favorite graph ever...financial conditions.

    Graph fans can check out the newsletter here: https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/2023-year-of-the-stag?hsLang=en

    And if you're interested in joining us for the webinar December 6th, register here --> https://www.pensford.com/q4-pensford-webinar

    This webinar will cover a variety of topics including:

    • 2023 Rate Forecasts
    • Fixed vs Floating
    • Cap Cost Analysis
    • When Will the Fed Cut Rates?
    • And, undoubtedly, some trash talk 
    16 min
  • Unemployment Doesn’t Go Up Until The Fed Has Started Cutting

    On this week's episode of The Rate Guy we discuss the market's reaction to the inflation print and what Powell needs to see in order to change course.

    Graph fans can check out the newsletter here: https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/unemployment-doesnt-go-up-until-the-fed-has-started-cutting?hsLang=en

    And if you're interested in joining us for the webinar December 6th, register here --> https://www.pensford.com/q4-pensford-webinar

    This webinar will cover a variety of topics including:

    • 2023 Rate Forecasts
    • Fixed vs Floating
    • Cap Cost Analysis
    • When Will the Fed Cut Rates?
    • And, undoubtedly, some trash talk 
    23 min
  • Fed Funds to 5% in Q1

    On this episode of The Rate Guy we discuss the FOMC meeting, Inflation data, the Jobs Report and the top 3 ways our Fed hikes are dramatically effecting the global economy. 

    If you want to skip the intro and hearing about JP's brush with fame (twice!), fast forward to the 10 min mark. 

    For the graphs referenced, check out this week's Pensford newsletter https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/fed-funds-to-5-in-q4?hsLang=en

    WEBINAR SIGN UP! https://www.pensford.com/quarterly-call?hs_preview=GpGTQuSg-89727519126

    Article about Philadelphia sports success predicting a recession. https://www.inquirer.com/business/phillies-astros-economics-recession-20221101.html

     

     

    31 min
  • The Fed Will Hike To 4% This Week

    On this episode of The Rate Guy Podcast we discuss this week's FOMC meeting. What Powell's frame of mind might be, his top concerns and the 4 things to be on the look out for during the meeting. 

    For visuals and super cool graphs referenced, check out the Pensford Newsletter here --> https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/the-fed-will-hike-to-4-this-week?hsLang=en

    23 min
  • Inflation Might Be Our 2nd Biggest Problem

    On this episode of The Rate Guy we discuss the super hot inflation data that came out last week, but also other factors that are lurking on the horizon that could prove to be an even bigger problem for our economy.

    If you're interested in checking out the graphs referenced or subscribing to the Pensford newsletter...here you go! https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/infation-might-be-our-2nd-biggest-problem?hsLang=en

    20 min
  • The Bottom Will Drop Out Next Year

    On this week's episode of The Rate Guy we discuss the near catastrophic moment that England just experienced, how the current market could influence your fixed vs floating strategy and when we think rates will plunge next year and why. 

    To check out the graphs referenced, click here: https://www.pensford.com/industry-news/the-bottom-will-drop-out-next-year

    31 min
  • Interview with Scott Everett

    On this episode of The Rate Guy we welcome our first guest ever, CEO and founder of one of the fastest growing multifamily firms in the country. We were thrilled to talk with Scott Everett who believes the Fed is over hiking, the Cowboys are better and the Eagles, and owning a Tequila brand is one of the most fun ways to lose a lot of money. Hope you enjoy our first interview as much as we did! 

    48 min
  • 10T to 4.0%?

    On this episode of The Rate Guy we talk about all things Fed. We dissect the lesser talked about points from the FOMC meeting and how those will impact our industry. Then JP attempts to apply his ever-optimistic outlook on our 3 main takeaways. 

    27 min

About The Rate Guy

From the publisher's feed

The Rate Guy Podcast is hosted by JP Conklin of Pensford. It's an irreverent insight into interest rates and current markets and how they impact the Commercial Real Estate and Multifamily industries.

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