Bankless

The Real Crypto Cycle: What Happens When Global Liquidity Peaks | Michael Howell


Listen Later

Global liquidity veteran Michael Howell joins to map out the “master variable” driving asset prices: a 65-month global liquidity and debt refinancing cycle that underpins booms, busts, and the recent “everything bubble.”

He breaks down the coming debt maturity wall, rising repo stress, the shift from Fed QE to “Treasury QE,” and a new capital war between a US dollar stablecoin system and China’s gold-backed strategy.

Plus, what all of this means for Bitcoin, gold, equities, and how to position as the current cycle rolls over. 


------
📣SPOTIFY PREMIUM RSS FEED | USE CODE: SPOTIFY24 

https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium


------

BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS:


🔵COINBASE | ETH & BTC BACKED LOANS

https://bankless.cc/coinbase-borrow


🪙FRAXNET | MINT, REDEEM, & EARN 

https://bankless.cc/fraxnet


🦄UNISWAP | SWAP ON UNICHAIN

https://bankless.cc/unichain


🛞MANTLE | MODULAR L2 NETWORK

https://bankless.cc/Mantle


💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP

https://bankless.cc/eight-sleep


💠BIT DIGITAL ($BTBT) | ETH TREASURY 

https://bankless.cc/bit-digital

We’re being compensated by Bit Digital (NASDAQ BTBT) for this segment promoting their company and BTBT. The compensation is paid in cash as a one time payment. You can find additional information about Bit Digital and BTBT on their Investor page at https://bit-digital.com/investors


------

TIMESTAMPS


0:00 Intro

0:45 Global Liquidity: Theory of Everything?

14:49 Will it Go Up Forever?

24:50 Where Are We in The Cycle?

34:23 Asset Allocation

47:14 Can The Monetary Regime Break?

58:55 China Gold vs US Tech

1:04:29 Crypto & Gold

1:08:03 4-Year Cycles

1:12:40 AI Bubble

1:15:14 Global Liquidity Limitations

1:18:39 Next 3-6 Months

1:20:24 Assets to Hold

1:21:25 Closing & Disclaimers


------
RESOURCES


CrossBorder Capital

https://x.com/crossbordercap 


CrossBorder Capital Website

https://crossbordercapital.com     


Capital Wars Substack

https://capitalwars.substack.com/ 


------

Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:

https://www.bankless.com/disclosures⁠

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

BanklessBy Bankless

  • 4.7
  • 4.7
  • 4.7
  • 4.7
  • 4.7

4.7

1,010 ratings


More shows like Bankless

View all
Unchained by Laura Shin

Unchained

1,222 Listeners

Real Vision: Finance & Investing by Real Vision Podcast Network

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

917 Listeners

CoinDesk Podcast Network by CoinDesk

CoinDesk Podcast Network

646 Listeners

The Breakdown by Blockworks

The Breakdown

746 Listeners

The Pomp Podcast by Anthony Pompliano

The Pomp Podcast

1,838 Listeners

On The Brink with Castle Island by Castle Island Ventures

On The Brink with Castle Island

291 Listeners

What Bitcoin Did by Danny Knowles

What Bitcoin Did

266 Listeners

The Wolf Of All Streets by Scott Melker

The Wolf Of All Streets

243 Listeners

Empire by Blockworks

Empire

169 Listeners

Coin Stories by Natalie Brunell

Coin Stories

443 Listeners

Raoul Pal: The Journey Man by Real Vision Podcast Network

Raoul Pal: The Journey Man

138 Listeners

Forward Guidance by Blockworks

Forward Guidance

271 Listeners

The Milk Road Show by The Milk Road Show

The Milk Road Show

50 Listeners

web3 with a16z crypto by a16z crypto, Robert Hackett, Sonal Chokshi

web3 with a16z crypto

61 Listeners

Limitless Podcast by Limitless by Bankless

Limitless Podcast

62 Listeners