This week, our 3 Things are:

Productivity boom or savings drain? Peeling the onion on sources of growth.

Labor pessimism. Is the jobs picture really “weak and fragile”?

Inflation pressure. It’s building.

This week, our 3 Things are:

1. Fed in flux. Moving toward neutral.

2. Single-Bs widening. What does it signal?

3. HALOs. A new investing acronym and a sign of the times.

This week, our 3 Things are:

1. Delinquencies warning. Is that really a thing???

2. Utilities unicorns. Can a sector be both defensive and growth?

3. K-Shapes. They’re present in places beyond the consumer.

This week, our 3 Things are:

1. Retail sales disconnect. It’s normalizing, but not as weak as the latest data.

2. Labor’s lost leverage. More of the economic spoils are going to capital—is that a bad thing?

3. Rising hyperscaler issuance. Massive new issue supply is forcing investors to rethink the status quo.

This week, our 3 Things are:

1. Margin lift. They’re high and expected to go higher.

2. Excitable risk. Volatility is back. Just how much matters to credit fundamentals?

3. The path of interest rates. The consensus is calling for a 4-bp range for the 10-year over the next six quarters. What does that tell you?

This week, our 3 Things are:

1. What we’re watching. Here’s what we believe will shape credit valuation over the near-term.

2. Visa/Mastercard spending update. The latest read from the global payments titans.

3. KBRA DLD default forecasts. Our own Eric Rosenthal weighs in with his outlook for 2026.

This week, our 3 Things are:

1. Bond vigilantes. Volatility has come to sovereign debt markets. What’s next?
2. The cost of gloom. The Economist newspaper says it’s the world’s main economic risk.
3. Biggest risks. Speaking of risk, here’s what market participants believe pose the biggest risk to market stability.

This week, our 3 Things are:

1. Housing headwinds. Are we close to unlocking real value?

2. Big bank credit color. Where did the cockroaches go?

3. Supply surge. 2026 figures to see record-setting issuance. What does it mean for spreads?

This week, our 3 Things are:

1. Economic tension. Underneath the Goldilocks data are a number of competing forces.

2. Fed decision-making. Changes are afoot.

3. Trigger points. Where does risk reprice?

This week, our 3 Things are:

1. Oil glut. The price of the commodity has plunged and is likely to stay that way in 2026.
2. Credit cycle. Phases are irregular, and the conditions for pushing into recession are dormant. 
3. 2026 themes. We tally up things worth watching.