RBC's Markets in Motion

Walking Through The Math Behind Our Updated S&P 500 Forecasts


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The big things you need to know:

  • We’ve lowered our YE 2025 S&P 500 price target to 6,200 from 6,600,
  • We’ve lowered our 2025 S&P 500 EPS forecast to $264 from $271.
  • Among other adjustments, our new price target and EPS forecast embed the updated views of RBC’s Economics and Rates strategy team which were released last week.
  • We have updated our year-end 2025 bear case for the S&P 500, which we’ve lowered from 5,775 to 5,550.
  • Fourth, some of the vibes we've been tracking are starting to look too extreme to us (in terms of their negativity), but others have more room to go lower.

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RBC's Markets in MotionBy RBC Capital Markets

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