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Futures and options trading involve risk and are not suited for everyone.

We break down a volatile week in which commodity markets, biofuel policy, and geopolitics collide, right as farmers head into planting season. We lay out what to watch in the USDA acreage and stocks reports, how the Renewable Fuel Standard changes affect soybean oil and corn ethanol, and why the “golden age” talk does not match farm cash-flow reality.

• Weekly market moves across grains, cattle, cotton, and energy
• Prospective Plantings expectations for corn, soybeans, spring wheat, and cotton
• Grain stocks clues for exports, crush demand, and potential survey surprises
• White House ag event takeaways on biofuels, equipment policy, and farm aid rhetoric
• Renewable Fuel Standard details, including SRE reallocation and import penalty timing
• E15 emergency waiver limits and the infrastructure gap at fuel stations
• Fertilizer supply outlook and why relief may not come until next year
• Planting season safety reminder and signs of tight corn seed availability
• USDA food price outlook showing sticky food inflation and rate implications
• Diesel price pressure and the potential impact of the Iran conflict on inputs
• China summit delay and what “deliverables” could mean for ag exports
• Hogs and pigs report with a tighter, longer-term setup and Mexico risk

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