The Julia La Roche Show

#196 Brent Johnson, Creator of The Dollar Milkshake Theory, Explains How The Global Economy Is 'One Big Carry Trade'


Listen Later

Brent Johnson, founder and CEO of Santiago Capital, returns for episode 196, in which he discusses the current macro landscape, focusing on Fed policy, global markets, and his Dollar Milkshake Theory. He explores gold's role as a signal of economic stress, the dynamics of carry trades, and potential market volatility ahead.

✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. Lock in your 6.9% yield: https://public.com/julia ✨

Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US Listed and registered securities, options and Bonds in a self-directed brokerage account are offered by Public Investing. ETFs, options and Bonds are available to US members only.
*A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 fractional investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The 6.9% yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of 8/23/2024. A bond’s yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate, and a bond’s YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, we cannot know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or how much they will decline. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. Fractional Bonds also carry risks including liquidity risk, interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and potential tax liabilities. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds and learn more about the Bond Account at https://public.com/disclosures/bond-account.


Links:

Twitter/X: https://x.com/SantiagoAuFund

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@milkshakespod

Macro Alchemist: https://macroalchemist.com/


0:00 Welcome Brent Johnson

1:05 Current macro picture and Fed policy

4:40 Challenges of engineering a soft landing

8:54 What is gold signaling?

14:22 Global demand for gold

17:29 Dollar Milkshake Theory explained

24:11 Geopolitical implications of the dollar system

30:22 Market outlook

37:42 Are markets in a bubble?

41:51 Gold price outlook

45:35 2024 election impact on markets

49:24 Yen carry trade and broader carry trade risks

56:17 The global system as one big carry trade

59:03 Closing thoughts and where to find Brent's work

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

The Julia La Roche ShowBy Julia La Roche

  • 4.4
  • 4.4
  • 4.4
  • 4.4
  • 4.4

4.4

49 ratings


More shows like The Julia La Roche Show

View all
Macro Voices by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Macro Voices

3,058 Listeners

Hidden Forces by Demetri Kofinas

Hidden Forces

1,438 Listeners

Grant’s Current Yield Podcast by Grant's Interest Rate Observer

Grant’s Current Yield Podcast

663 Listeners

Hedgeye Podcasts by Hedgeye Risk Management

Hedgeye Podcasts

199 Listeners

Palisades Gold Radio by Collin Kettell

Palisades Gold Radio

252 Listeners

The Market Huddle by Patrick Ceresna & Kevin Muir

The Market Huddle

361 Listeners

Eurodollar University by Jeff Snider

Eurodollar University

460 Listeners

The Grant Williams Podcast by Grant Williams

The Grant Williams Podcast

1,356 Listeners

Supply Shock by Blockworks

Supply Shock

113 Listeners

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient by Wealthion

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient

382 Listeners

The Jay Martin Show by Jay Martin

The Jay Martin Show

71 Listeners

Forward Guidance by Blockworks

Forward Guidance

273 Listeners

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart by Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

365 Listeners

The David Lin Report by The David Lin Report

The David Lin Report

35 Listeners

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley by Jack Farley

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

89 Listeners