LessWrong (30+ Karma)

“A Reply to MacAskill on ‘If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies’” by Rob Bensinger


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I found Will MacAskill's X review of If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies interesting (X reply here).

As far as I can tell, Will just fully agrees that developers are racing to build AI that threatens the entire world, and he thinks they're going to succeed if governments sit back and let it happen, and he's more or less calling on governments to sit back and let it happen. If I've understood his view, this is for a few reasons:

He's pretty sure that alignment is easy enough that researchers could figure it out, with the help of dumb-enough-to-be-safe AI assistants, given time.
  • He's pretty sure they'll have enough time, because:
    1. He thinks there won't be any future algorithmic breakthroughs or "click" moments that make things go too fast in the future.
    2. If current trendlines continue, he thinks there will be plenty of calendar time between AIs [...]
  • ---

    Outline:

    (05:39) The state of the field

    (08:26) The evolution analogy

    (11:39) AI progress without discontinuities

    (15:44) Before and After

    (17:48) Thought experiments vs. headlines

    (21:57) Passing the alignment buck to AIs

    (24:22) Imperfect alignment

    (27:42) Government interventions

    The original text contained 5 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.

    ---

    First published:

    September 27th, 2025

    Source:

    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iFRrJfkXEpR4hFcEv/a-reply-to-macaskill-on-if-anyone-builds-it-everyone-dies

    ---

    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    ---

    Images from the article:

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