At Any Rate

Agri Outlook for 2026/27: Volatility to return off compressed levels in 2026, as global agri availability continues to slide


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Tracey shares the Agri outlook for 2026/27, elaborating on her view: bearish short-term prospects for US soybeans but constructive outlooks for grains and cotton. Cocoa to return to BCOM Index and prices are expected to remain firm near $6,000/tonne in 2026, while sugar prices show upside risk amid low stocks and political uncertainty. Broad food price inflation persists, with La Nina weather risks and policy developments in the US, Brazil, and India shaping the outlook.

Speaker:

Tracey Allen, Senior Commodities Strategist, Head of Agricultural Commodities Research

 

This podcast was recorded on 7 November 2025.

This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5098766-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5128475-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5096654-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5090092-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5008151-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures.

© 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

 

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At Any RateBy J.P. Morgan Global Research

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