Unchained

Bits + Bips: Trump Has Spread Uncertainty Across All Markets. What’s Next? - Ep. 798


Listen Later

The markets are a bloodbath.

If you’re feeling lost in the markets right now, you’re not alone. Stocks are getting crushed, bonds are sliding, and crypto isn’t escaping the carnage. The question is: why is everything selling off—and where does it go from here?

One thing is clear: the next market move is extremely hard to predict. Between Trump’s economic policies, inflation worries, and DOGE’s cuts, there’s a storm of conflicting signals.

So, is this pain temporary? Or are we looking at a long trend downward?

Sponsors:
  • Bitwise
Hosts:
  • James Seyffart, Research Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence
  • Alex Kruger, Founder of Asgard
  • Ram Ahluwalia, CFA, CEO and Founder of Lumida

    Guest:

    Travis Kling, CIO of Ikigai Asset ManagementLinks

    Recession? 

    • Bloomberg: Trump Says US Economy Faces ‘Transition,’ Avoids Recession Call

    Inflation

    • Bloomberg: Inflation-Linked Bonds Rebound on Trump Tariffs: Credit Weekly

    DXY

    • FX Empire: US Dollar Forecast: DXY Sinks as Weak Jobs Data Fuels Rate Cut Bets, EUR/USD Surges

    Powell’s comments:

    • CNN: Fed Chair Powell says he’s not worried about the economy amid Trump’s tariff chaos 
    • FT: Federal Reserve chief Jay Powell plays down growth worries after jobs report disappoints
    • Bonds:

      • Bloomberg: The Bond Market’s Trump Trade Is Looking Like a Recession Trade
      • CNBC: 10-year Treasury yield rises after weaker-than-expected jobs growth
      • Bond yields in Europe and elsewhere are rising 
      • Tariffs:

        • Bloomberg: Lutnick Says Trump Sticking to US Aluminum-Steel Tariff Timeline 

        Japan and the carry trade:

        • Japan's 20-Year Government Bond Yield rises to its highest level since 2008. 
        • Jeff Park tweeted “Bitcoin is Japan’s game now whether you like it or not” - thoughts?
        • FT: Japan seeks tariff reprieve after Donald Trump questions long-standing defence pact
        • China’s deflation: 

          • Bloomberg: China’s Inflation Declines Below Zero for First Time in Year

          Ukraine War talks: 

          • FT: Ukraine seeks to persuade US to resume aid in high-stakes talks


          Timestamps:

          • 👋 0:00 Intro
          • 📉 3:05 What’s behind this brutal market selloff
          • 🤔 7:26 Why making a market prediction right now is nearly impossible
          • 🇺🇸 13:41 How Trump’s economic moves drive uncertainty
          • ⚠️ 19:37 Is the Trump administration intentionally triggering a recession?
          • 💰 20:30 The real impact of “austerity” on the economy
          • 📉 22:59 What must happen before the market bottoms out
          • 🔥 26:52 Where inflation might head next
          • 📊 36:21 What the VIX is saying about the market
          • 📉 39:00 How markets will react to today’s CPI numbers
          • 🚀 43:40 When might Trump push for tax cuts?
          • 🏦 49:19 Will ETF buyers create a bitcoin floor?
          • 💴 55:12 What a declining Japanese yen reveals about demand for risky assets
          • ₿ 1:00:35 Why BTC is the furthest that it has ever been from altcoins
          • 🛍️ 1:11:00 What new groups might step in and buy bitcoin?📉
          • 🤦‍♂️ 1:20:25 Whether the Trump administration “fucked up” the economy
          • Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

            ...more
            View all episodesView all episodes
            Download on the App Store

            UnchainedBy Laura Shin

            • 4.6
            • 4.6
            • 4.6
            • 4.6
            • 4.6

            4.6

            1,181 ratings


            More shows like Unchained

            View all
            Real Vision: Finance & Investing by Real Vision Podcast Network

            Real Vision: Finance & Investing

            908 Listeners

            CoinDesk Podcast Network by CoinDesk

            CoinDesk Podcast Network

            639 Listeners

            The Pomp Podcast by Anthony Pompliano

            The Pomp Podcast

            1,835 Listeners

            The Breakdown by Blockworks

            The Breakdown

            747 Listeners

            On The Brink with Castle Island by Castle Island Ventures

            On The Brink with Castle Island

            291 Listeners

            Markets Daily Crypto Roundup by CoinDesk

            Markets Daily Crypto Roundup

            135 Listeners

            Bankless by Bankless

            Bankless

            1,049 Listeners

            The Wolf Of All Streets by Scott Melker

            The Wolf Of All Streets

            229 Listeners

            Empire by Blockworks

            Empire

            167 Listeners

            Supply Shock by Blockworks

            Supply Shock

            112 Listeners

            Coin Stories by Natalie Brunell

            Coin Stories

            425 Listeners

            Raoul Pal: The Journey Man by Real Vision Podcast Network

            Raoul Pal: The Journey Man

            123 Listeners

            The Milk Road Show by The Milk Road Show

            The Milk Road Show

            39 Listeners

            web3 with a16z crypto by a16z crypto, Sonal Chokshi, Chris Dixon

            web3 with a16z crypto

            62 Listeners

            The Limitless Podcast by Limitless by Bankless

            The Limitless Podcast

            36 Listeners