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“Global Risks Weekly Roundup #18/2025: US tariff shortages, military policing, Gaza famine.” by NunoSempere


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Executive summary

  • Shortages of some goods expected in the US starting later this month, because of tariffs.
  • The power outage on the Iberian Peninsula was the worst in Europe since 2003, and Europe may have been close to a more widespread blackout.
  • Trump wants to involve the military in policing within the US.
  • Negotiations between the US and Iran over its nuclear weapons program have stalled.
  • Microsoft will host xAI's Grok model in its cloud service, in a move to reduce Microsoft's dependency on OpenAI.
  • Gaza is running out of food, and the UN warns of famine.
  • India-Pakistan tensions remain high.

Geopolitics

United States

US economy

A recommendation for those in the US: Because imports are slowing, especially from China, shortages of some imported goods are expected to become noticeable in the coming weeks and to become substantial around August. If tariffs continue, some of these shortages may [...]

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Outline:

(00:16) Executive summary

(01:02) Geopolitics

(01:06) United States

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First published:

May 6th, 2025

Source:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QdRFtKpJ4GbTJod99/global-risks-weekly-roundup-18-2025-us-tariff-shortages

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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