Guggenheim Macro Markets

Tom Hauser, Co-Head of Corporate Credit for Guggenheim Investments and senior portfolio manager for the firm’s high yield and leveraged loan portfolios, discusses his team’s analytical process, the importance of credit selection, and his current views on opportunity in leveraged credit. Take a deep dive with Tom into the fundamental and technical drivers of performance, his default outlook, and getting paid for taking credit risk. Economist Paul Dozier updates on the latest economic data.

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2Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

An opportunity for active management.

Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Terminal Rate

The Fed’s next move and beyond.

Read Macroeconomic Commentary

Investors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility

The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices.

Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

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Adam Bloch, Portfolio Manager for Guggenheim Investments, checks in with Macro Markets to discuss opportunities, tactics, and strategy in today’s uncertain economic and market environment. With the relatively high level of income available in the market today, it pays to be patient, and diversified, with an eye towards becoming a liquidity provider in the future.

Related Content:

2Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

An opportunity for active management.

Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Terminal Rate

The Fed’s next move and beyond.

Read Macroeconomic Commentary

Silicon Valley Bank Replays the Ugly Consequences of Disintermediation

Assessing ongoing risks related to the SVB collapse.

Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

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Justin Takata, Head of Investment Grade Corporate Credit for Guggenheim Investments, discusses the interplay between primary issuance and trading volumes, developments in credit fundamentals, and where he is seeing risk and opportunity. U.S. Economist Matt Bush updates the Fed outlook following recent economic data. Also, we answer listener mail.

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A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Terminal Rate

The Fed’s next move and beyond.

Read Macroeconomic Commentary

Silicon Valley Bank Replays the Ugly Consequences of Disintermediation

Assessing ongoing risks related to the SVB collapse.

Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary

Investors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility

The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices.

Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

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Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, and Evan Serdensky, a Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, share their perspectives and outlook following two eventful weeks in markets and the economy. They discuss the future path of monetary policy, the effects of a possible credit crunch, and investment strategy and positioning.

Related Insights:

A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Terminal Rate

The Fed’s next move and beyond.

Read Macroeconomic Commentary

Silicon Valley Bank Replays the Ugly Consequences of Disintermediation

Assessing ongoing risks related to the SVB collapse.

Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary

Investors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility

The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices.

Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

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Karthik Narayanan, Head of Securitized for Guggenheim Investments, gives a master class in structured credit, including where he is finding attractive absolute and relative value in mortgage-backed securities, asset-backed securities, and collateralized loan obligations. U.S. Economist Matt Bush discusses the resilience of recent economic data and what it means for the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight. (Structured credit is complex and may not suitable for all investors.)

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1Q23 Fixed-Income Sector Views

Valuations have reset after a volatile year.

Read Fixed-Income Sector Views

1Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

Move up in quality ahead of any recession-driven market volatility.

Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

Market Commentary: Investors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility

The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices.

Read Market Commentary

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

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Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Total Return and Macro Strategies for Guggenheim Investments, shares a CIO’s unique perspective on active portfolio management in a time of higher yields and macroeconomic complexity. He discusses recent economic data, relative value opportunities, and the importance of making asset allocation decisions for a range of different outcomes.

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Market Commentary: Investors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility

The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices.

Read Market Commentary

10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023

10 charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends we believe are most likely to shape the investment environment in 2023.

Read 10 Macro Themes

1Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

Move up in quality ahead of any recession-driven market volatility.

Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

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Brian Smedley, Chief Economist and Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, discusses the Fed rate decision, recent inflation, labor, and GDP data, and possible next steps for monetary policy. He also provides key takeaways for investors from our 10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023.

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10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023

10 charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends we believe are most likely to shape the investment environment in 2023.

Read 10 Macro Themes

1Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

Move up in quality ahead of any recession-driven market volatility.

Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

“Right Now, the Fixed-Income Story is a Good One”

Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joined CNBC in Davos to discuss her outlook for Federal Reserve (Fed) policy, the coming recession, and the positive backdrop for bonds.

Watch Video

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

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Scott Minerd, Global CIO for Guggenheim Partners and Chairman of Guggenheim Investments, joins the year-end episode of Macro Markets on Fed Day for a wide-ranging discussion of the Federal Reserve’s execution of monetary policy, economic conditions, the investment landscape for risk assets, portfolio strategy, and more.

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The Federal Reserve (Fed) is closer to the end of its tightening cycle, but is clearly not done. October will test the Fed’s resolve.

Read Global CIO Outlook

CIO Outlook: For Lessons on Fighting Inflation, Skip Over Volcker to 1946

Clues from history on how to successfully end the current surge in prices.

Read Global CIO Outlook

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

Karthik Narayanan, Head of Securitized for Guggenheim Investments, discusses the structure and value in the residential mortgage-backed securities market and other ABS sectors. Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, answers a listener question on liquidity. Jerry Cai, an economist in our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, brings the latest on the labor picture and an update on China.

Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, joins the podcast to give her analysis of where we are in the economic and credit cycle, and her views on risk and opportunity across the fixed income landscape.

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Fourth Quarter 2022 Fixed-Income Sector Views

Market and value updates by sector

Read Fixed-Income Sector Views

The Jobs Data Trend Is Duration’s Friend

October jobs data suggests a cooling labor market

Read Macro Alert

Markets Rally After Weak CPI Data

Scott Minerd, Guggenheim Partners Global CIO and Chairman of

Guggenheim Investments, joins CNBC to discuss markets on CPI day.

Watch Video

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

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