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By Investec
4
55 ratings
The podcast currently has 558 episodes available.
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Crude oil prices have risen over 20% in the last month, and this problem seems unlikely to be resolved quickly: prediction markets put only a 30% likelihood of normal flows through the Strait of Hormuz by December. Chris Holdsworth, Global Chief Investment Officer, Investec Investment Management says with services inflation pressures also rising, and jobs numbers looking stronger, markets are pointing to rate hikes by the Fed. Investec Focus Radio SA

New Fed chief Kevin Warsh delivered a hawkish speech at the Jackson Hole symposium of central bankers on Friday, leading to a stronger US dollar and increased expectations of rate hikes this year and next year. Investec Investment Management’s Investment Strategist Osagyefo Mazwai examines what this means for the US economy, as well as emerging market currencies like the rand. Investec Focus Radio SA

Moves by the US Treasury to intervene in the bond market failed to bring down yields meaningfully, and the continuing worsening of the US’s fiscal position may explain why. According to Chris Holdsworth, Global Chief Investment Officer, Investec Investment Management, the US’s debt-to-GDP ratio is above 100% and seems set to remain above that level, with tax hikes politically unpalatable and little room to cut spending in areas such as defense, healthcare and social security. Investec Focus Radio SA

The US Federal Reserve finds itself in a difficult position. The US economy has been shedding jobs, and wage growth is soft. At the same time, says Chris Holdsworth, Global Chief Investment Officer, Investec Investment Management, government debt continues to grind higher while inflation remains elevated, mainly the result of higher energy prices – meaning there’s a chance of rates being hiked in the coming months. Investec Focus Radio SA

Gains by Houthi rebels in recent days have placed further upward pressure on oil prices, with benchmark rates up about 3% on Monday morning, while bond yields have risen since the start of the war. Against this backdrop, the Fed meets this week to decide on interest rates, and, according to Chris Holdsworth, Global Chief Investment Officer, Investec Investment Management, many economists are expecting a hike. Investec Focus Radio SA
The podcast currently has 558 episodes available.

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