(7/31/23) Investors prepare for August with the "rarity" of market performance: entering the seasonably weaker months of summer with 90% of stocks trading above their moving average; there is a high likelihood they will come back down. Earnings Season continues with the bulk of performance reports negative: We're getting more earnings "beats," but less of a beat than usual and on lowered estimates!) What are you really paying for? NVDIA valuation is problematic at 40-times price to sales; most over-valued stock in the S&P 500. The Lag-effect of what? Where's the Recession? Beware Fed Funds in Excess of Nominal GDP Growth. Government spending hasn't stopped. What happens after earnings season ends? The expectations for stronger earnings growth: What is the risk? The folly of a one-sided bet. The professional managers' index now at 110%. SEG-1: Defining Market Rarity as We Enter August SEG-2: Lowering Earnings Estimates for Better Beats: What are you paying for? SEG-3: The Lag Effect of What? (Where's the Recession?) SEG-4: What Happens After Earnings Season? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3s_0JPku5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2100s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Moving Averages Act Like Gravity ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CyFoTE0-tuE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Still No Recession?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tqRA0UPAUPc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=45s -------- Articles mentioned in today's show: "Beating Estimates" – How Companies Win In Earnings Season https://realinvestmentadvice.com/beating-estimates-how-companies-win-in-earnings-season Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #EarningsEstimates #LagEffect #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing