First up, the polls.

Remember yesterday when I asked what Christopher Luxon had been smoking with his backtrack on the housing accord? Well, clearly, whatever Christopher Luxon has been smoking, the people want a bit of.  

The latest 1News Kantar Public poll has seen National and ACT able to form a government, if the survey reflected election results.  That would be National on 47, ACT 15, making 62 seats and enough to form a government.

A Labour/Greens/Te Pāti Māori coalition could only reach 58 seats, in this latest poll, and it was the Greens who dropped the ball with all their in-house fractiousness and infighting, they were down four points to just seven. They will probably rebound. They generally do well during elections.

But for those who were calling for National’s leader to be changed, does this poll change your mind?

Surely, it's too close to the election to change riders now. People, myself included, have always said that if you met Christopher Luxon, you'd like him. He's a likable chap.

You can't really be in politics unless you have a certain amount of personality. And when you meet politicians, especially the ones who are leading the parties, of whatever hue, they are generally very likeable people.

If his old-fashioned electioneering - travelling around the country doing the shake and howdys, speaking at neighbourhood meetings, giving people the opportunity to meet the man and decide they like him - if that's working. Are people actually getting to meet the man and seeing the cut of his jib and liking it?

Or are Nationals policies on tax cuts and law and order, and now stepping back from the housing accord, is that what is doing the business? Or is it simply that more and more people, not just listeners to Newstalk ZB, but more and more people, have had a gutsy full of Labour. What do you think it is?

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.