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LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
LessWrong (Curated & Popular) episodes
- [HUMAN VOICE] "Toward a Broader Conception of Adverse Selection" by Ricki Heicklen
Support ongoing human narrations of LessWrong's curated posts:
www.patreon.com/LWCurated
This is a linkpost for https://bayesshammai.substack.com/p/conditional-on-getting-to-trade-your“I refuse to join any club that would have me as a member” -Marx[1]
Adverse Selection is the phenomenon in which information asymmetries in non-cooperative environments make trading dangerous. It has traditionally been understood to describe financial markets in which buyers and sellers systematically differ, such as a market for used cars in which sellers have the information advantage, where resulting feedback loops can lead to market collapses.
In this post, I make the case that adverse selection effects appear in many everyday contexts beyond specialized markets or strictly financial exchanges. I argue that modeling many of our decisions as taking place in competitive environments analogous to financial markets will help us notice instances of adverse selection that we otherwise wouldn’t.
The strong version of my central thesis is that conditional on getting to trade[2], your trade wasn’t all that great. Any time you make a trade, you should be asking yourself “what do others know that I don’t?”
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vyAZyYh3qsqcJwwPn/toward-a-broader-conception-of-adverse-selection
Narrated for LessWrong by Perrin Walker.
Share feedback on this narration.22 min - [HUMAN VOICE] "My PhD thesis: Algorithmic Bayesian Epistemology" by Eric Neyman
Support ongoing human narrations of LessWrong's curated posts:
For me as for most students, college was a time of exploration. I took many classes, read many academic and non-academic works, and tried my hand at a few research projects. Early in graduate school, I noticed a strong commonality among the questions that I had found particularly fascinating: most of them involved reasoning about knowledge, information, or uncertainty under constraints. I decided that this cluster of problems would be my primary academic focus. I settled on calling the cluster algorithmic Bayesian epistemology: all of the questions I was thinking about involved applying the "algorithmic lens" of theoretical computer science to problems of Bayesian epistemology.
www.patreon.com/LWCurated
In January, I defended my PhD thesis, which I called Algorithmic Bayesian Epistemology. From the preface:
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6dd4b4cAWQLDJEuHw/my-phd-thesis-algorithmic-bayesian-epistemology
Narrated for LessWrong by Perrin Walker.
Share feedback on this narration.14 min - [HUMAN VOICE] "How could I have thought that faster?" by mesaoptimizer
Support ongoing human narrations of LessWrong's curated posts:
www.patreon.com/LWCurated
This is a linkpost for https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/144546114693741363
I stumbled upon a Twitter thread where Eliezer describes what seems to be his cognitive algorithm that is equivalent to Tune Your Cognitive Strategies, and have decided to archive / repost it here.
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rYq6joCrZ8m62m7ej/how-could-i-have-thought-that-faster
Narrated for LessWrong by Perrin Walker.
Share feedback on this narration.4 min - LLMs for Alignment Research: a safety priority?A recent short story by Gabriel Mukobi illustrates a near-term scenario where things go bad because new developments in LLMs allow LLMs to accelerate capabilities research without a correspondingly large acceleration in safety research.
This scenario is disturbingly close to the situation we already find ourselves in. Asking the best LLMs for help with programming vs technical alignment research feels very different (at least to me). LLMs might generate junk code, but you can keep pointing out the problems with the code, and the code will eventually work. This can be faster than doing it myself, in cases where I don't know a language or library well; the LLMs are moderately familiar with everything.
When I try to talk to LLMs about technical AI safety work, however, I just get garbage.
I think a useful safety precaution for frontier AI models would be to make them more useful for [...]
The original text contained 8 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
---
First published:
April 4th, 2024
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nQwbDPgYvAbqAmAud/llms-for-alignment-research-a-safety-priority
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.21 min - [HUMAN VOICE] "Scale Was All We Needed, At First" by Gabriel Mukobi
Support ongoing human narrations of LessWrong's curated posts:
www.patreon.com/LWCurated
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xLDwCemt5qvchzgHd/scale-was-all-we-needed-at-first
Narrated for LessWrong by Perrin Walker.
Share feedback on this narration.16 min - [HUMAN VOICE] "Using axis lines for good or evil" by dynomight
Support ongoing human narrations of LessWrong's curated posts:
www.patreon.com/LWCurated
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Yay8SbQiwErRyDKGb/using-axis-lines-for-good-or-evil
Narrated for LessWrong by Perrin Walker.
Share feedback on this narration.13 min - [HUMAN VOICE] "Social status part 1/2: negotiations over object-level preferences" by Steven Byrnes
Support ongoing human narrations of LessWrong's curated posts:
www.patreon.com/LWCurated
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SPBm67otKq5ET5CWP/social-status-part-1-2-negotiations-over-object-level
Narrated for LessWrong by Perrin Walker.
Share feedback on this narration.51 min - [HUMAN VOICE] "Acting Wholesomely" by OwenCB
Support ongoing human narrations of LessWrong's curated posts:
www.patreon.com/LWCurated
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Cb7oajdrA5DsHCqKd/acting-wholesomely
Narrated for LessWrong by Perrin Walker.
Share feedback on this narration.28 min - The Story of “I Have Been A Good Bing”Rationality is Systematized Winning, so rationalists should win. We’ve tried saving the world from AI, but that's really hard and we’ve had … mixed results. So let's start with something that rationalists should find pretty easy: Becoming Cool!
I don’t mean, just, like, riding a motorcycle and breaking hearts level of cool. I mean like the first kid in school to get a Tamagotchi, their dad runs the ice cream truck and gives you free ice cream and, sure, they ride a motorcycle. I mean that kind of feel-it-in-your-bones, I-might-explode-from-envy cool.
The eleventh virtue is scholarship, so I hit the ~books~ search engine on this one. Apparently, the aspects of coolness are:- Confidence
- Playing an instrument
- Low average kinetic energy
---
First published:
April 1st, 2024
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YMo5PuXnZDwRjhHhE/the-story-of-i-have-been-a-good-bing
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.23 min - The Best Tacit Knowledge Videos on Every SubjectTL;DR
Tacit knowledge is extremely valuable. Unfortunately, developing tacit knowledge is usually bottlenecked by apprentice-master relationships. Tacit Knowledge Videos could widen this bottleneck. This post is a Schelling point for aggregating these videos—aiming to be The Best Textbooks on Every Subject for Tacit Knowledge Videos. Scroll down to the list if that's what you're here for. Post videos that highlight tacit knowledge in the comments and I’ll add them to the post. Experts in the videos include Stephen Wolfram, Holden Karnofsky, Andy Matuschak, Jonathan Blow, George Hotz, and others.
What are Tacit Knowledge Videos?
Samo Burja claims YouTube has opened the gates for a revolution in tacit knowledge transfer. Burja defines tacit knowledge as follows:
Tacit knowledge is knowledge that can’t properly be transmitted via verbal or written instruction, like the ability to create great art or assess a startup. This tacit knowledge is a form of intellectual [...]
The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.
---
First published:
March 31st, 2024
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SXJGSPeQWbACveJhs/the-best-tacit-knowledge-videos-on-every-subject
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.15 min
About LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
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Audio narrations of LessWrong posts. Includes all curated posts and all posts with 125+ karma.
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