The markets are back to overbought levels in the near term, both stocks and bonds, assesses portfolio manager Lance Roberts.

And while he doesn't think an economic calamity necessarily lies ahead, we don't need one to justify a material downward correction in stocks.

Stocks are valued based on their earnings forecast, and right now, forecasts are rosy.

But there are multiplying signs that trouble lies ahead, especially in terms of consumer spending. If the economy does indeed slow from here, earnings will fall and stock prices will suffer.

Right now, stocks are NOT priced for slowing earnings.

Lance and I discuss this risk to asset prices, as well as Nvidia's recent earnings, the AI story in general, the struggling majority of American households and Lance's firm's latest trades in this week's Market Recap.

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