Click To Listen:
https://moving-iron-podcast.simplecast.com/episodes/mip-markets-with-shawn-hackett-long-term-weather-volatility-and-commodity-prices
Click To Watch:
https://youtu.be/hFxdU-AXYjE
Chapters
00:00 Solar Cycles and Weather Volatility
06:19 Understanding the 11-Year Solar Cycle
14:36 The Gleissberg Cycle and Sea Surface Temperatures
27:26 The Prospects of a Cooling Trend
40:23 The Cooling Oceans and Their Impact
45:38 The Reversal of the Beaufort-Gyre
51:32 The Effects of Volcanic Eruptions
58:25 Changing Weather Patterns in South America
01:09:16 The Importance of Proactive Farming and Insurance
- Solar cycles and grand solar minimums have a significant impact on weather volatility.
- The activity of the sun, influenced by the motion of planets, drives long-term weather patterns.
- The 11-year solar cycle and the sun's wobbling motion around its barycenter affect solar output and solar wind.
- The Gleissberg cycle, an 89-year cycle, affects sea surface temperatures and weather patterns.
- The weather volatility cycle is predicted to peak in the late 2030s, with a cooling trend expected to begin after 2025. The Pacific and Atlantic oceans show signs of cooling, affecting weather patterns and agriculture.
- The reversal of the Beaufort-Gyere, a counterclockwise rotation of melting ice, can lead to increased weather volatility and cooling temperatures.
- Volcanic eruptions, especially those that release sulfur dioxide aerosols, can significantly impact global weather patterns and crop production.
- Deforestation in Brazil, particularly in the Amazon rainforest, is causing a decline in precipitation and changing weather patterns in the region.
- Proactive farming and insurance are crucial in navigating the agricultural industry's increasing weather volatility and price fluctuations.
Sound Bites
- "We are in an escalating weather volatility cycle."
- "Long-term weather volatility is driven by the activity of the sun and the solar wind."
- "This is really what drives or what is driving, according to us, this weather volatility cycle."
- "There's no example of that ever happening and I don't think it's going to happen now."
- "These are the different phases, combinations of the Atlantic and the Pacific."
- "We're not in a perpetual change in the pattern. What we were in is that"
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