TLDR: I flew to Oregon to investigate Nectome, a brain preservation startup, and talk to their entire team. They’re an ambitious company, looking to grow in a way that no cryonics organization has before. Their procedure is probably much better at saving people than other orgs, and is being offered for as little as $20k until the end of April — a (theoretical) 92% discount. (I bought two.) This early-bird pricing is low, in part, due to some severe uncertainties, in both the broader world and in Nectome's ability to succeed as a business.
Meta:
- I'm Max Harms, an AI alignment researcher at MIRI and author.
- This deep-dive only assumes functionalism and a passing familiarity with cryonics, but no particular knowledge of Nectome.
- I have been a cryonics enthusiast for my whole adult life, and that is probably biasing my views, at least a little. I want Nectome to succeed.
- That said, I am also a rationalist, and I have worked very hard to set aside my wishful thinking and see things with cold objectivity.
- Throughout the essay, I've attached explicit probabilities for my claims in parentheticals. You can click these probabilities to access Manifold markets so we [...]
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Outline:(02:04) 1. The Problem
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