On the latest edition of Nir & Rupar, our live weekly video show, David Nir of The Downballot and Aaron Rupar of Public Notice talk with data journalist G. Elliott Morris all about Trump’s sagging job approval ratings.

Elliott, who previously ran the seminal site 538, recently launched his own Substack, Strength In Numbers, which you can subscribe to here:

On the show, Elliott tells us:

* Why history suggests Trump’s numbers could go much lower by the midterms—and could even put the Senate in play.

* How nearly all data we rely on to understand politics—from polls to job reports—are based on estimates that are subject to error and can often change.

* How Democrats have helped sink Trump’s popularity on the last issue that had been his strength, immigration.

And much more!

If you missed our livestream, you can watch it by clicking above! You can also find a complete transcript by clicking here and looking for the “Transcript” button.

Nir & Rupar goes live every Friday at 2 PM ET. The easiest way to participate is by downloading the free Substack app.

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