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The new Federal Reserve Chair is already making news, signaling a major change to rates—and not in the way Americans were hoping for. With inflation up, the Fed has eyed raising, not cutting, the Federal Funds rate, all while changing key language on price stability at its most recent meeting. The question is, will they do it, or is this simply a bluff to stop the market from getting out of control?
We’re back to break down this week’s top housing market headlines, from the Fed’s recent meeting to a surprising comeback in a few markets most believed were dead, and the massive HELOC pull that is taking billions more out of the housing market and into owners' hands.
First, we’re touching on the Fed. Will they really raise rates by this fall, defying the exact hopes of President Trump, or is this just a bluff to cool an already hot economy? Why is office, of all things, seeing a major comeback, and why are America’s most divisive housing markets leading the charge? Finally, homeowners pull out a massive $47B (with a b) in home equity. Is this a cry for help from struggling homeowners? We’re getting into it all!
In This Episode We Cover
The Fed’s latest announcement on inflation, rate movements, and their next moves
What investors are doing now before rate hikes make their way back
One commercial real estate asset class seeing a surprising comeback
Is America’s boom-then-bust market (Austin, Texas) finally seeing its turnaround?
$47B in equity pulled: Are homeowners in trouble, and using equity to save themselves?
And So Much More!
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Kevin Warsh is the Next Fed Chair—Here’s What Investors Should Expect From Him
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Reuters: Traders now see Fed raising rates by September
WSJ: The AI Office Boom Feels Like 2000 All Over Again
HousingWire: ICE Mortgage Monitor: Lock-in effect drives surge in home equity lending
Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-436.
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Wall Street is quietly monopolizing the housing market—and we’re not talking about them buying homes. It’s something more far-reaching, something that will affect every investor in every market on every single deal.
Your local HVAC, pest control, drywall, and plumbing companies are seemingly raising prices in tandem, and each year it gets more expensive. Your material costs are jumping, sometimes 100% higher than they were just a few years ago, and every single brand seems to be owned by the same parent company. Now, your real estate agent is telling you that you’re unable to view listings from another brokerage.
Slowly, piece by piece, you’re being locked or priced out of the housing market, or you’re paying exorbitant amounts of money just to stay in the game. Why? Two words—corporate consolidation—the final play from Wall Street to make as much money as possible on every single thing you do for your home and real estate portfolio.
There are only a few ways to escape it. Today, I’m explaining how.
In This Episode We Cover
The “corporate consolidation” machine gobbling up small businesses and raising prices on everything
Why your material costs are rising so much more than the inflation rate
The brokerage that’s trying to lock you out of the market unless you work with them
How the American housing market became a corporate profit playground
Three things you can do today to keep your costs down and stay in the loop on real estate deals
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
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How To Estimate Rehab Costs In Real Estate
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Sign Up for BiggerPockets Pro to Unlock Exclusive Pro Perks!
Build Your Network on the BiggerPockets Forums
Grab The Book on Estimating Rehab Costs
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-435.
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This is exactly what we’re buying, selling, and trading in Summer 2026. It’s a strange time for real estate—multifamily prices are crashing hard, single-family is staying stable, rents aren’t moving much, mortgage rates are back up—what do you do? Today, we’re sharing exactly what we’re doing with our real estate portfolios to make the most of a market many are too scared to buy (or sell) in.
The not-so-obvious news—a couple of us are actively selling rentals. Why? Because deals are getting almost irresistible in one sector of the market. Prices are crashing hard, sellers have almost no negotiating power, and you can pick up profitable, cash-flowing properties for a fraction of what they were worth just a couple of years ago. The best part? Most investors are completely skipping over these deals.
For those looking to make money a little quicker, Henry and James are sharing the flip criteria that’s helping them make even more cash with less effort and way less risk in 2026. Want proof? Henry is making $70,000 on a deal he barely had to even sweep out to get ready to sell. If you’re looking for lower-risk, lower-expense returns, this may be exactly what to do this season.
In This Episode We Cover
How to take advantage of the multifamily crash without buying 100+ unit properties
We’re selling our rentals! Here’s what we’re doing with the money
The quick house flip that is making Henry a killer return with a tiny renovation budget
How Kathy picked up a massively discounted deal on a medium-sized multifamily
Why buying “portfolios” of properties could be the cheat code for scaling at a much better per-unit price
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
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On the Market 393 - Why I’m Buying Large Multifamily in 2026 (Commercial Real Estate Outlook)
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Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
James' BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab the Book, The Hands-Off Investor
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-434.
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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Did home prices just hit their floor? New demand data is showing something no one expected—buyers coming back. If the supply-demand balance hits equilibrium, we could see the national housing market begin to settle at prices like these. One thing that could change all that? Mortgage rates—and with a potential peace deal on the table between the U.S. and Iran, we could finally get some relief.
A lot of housing market news hit over the past week, and we’re getting into all of it. If you’ve been waiting for the market to thaw, this could be a sign it’s starting. Demand for home purchases is rising, even though news outlets are telling you otherwise. What does that mean for buyers? We could be at the bottom for home prices—and we have proof.
Will a peace deal in the Middle East bring mortgages back down to the 6% (or sub-6%) range? It’s looking possible. We’ll get into exactly what could happen if a peace deal is struck soon or if the war drags on longer. The consequences could be massive for the housing market, inflation, and the economy. But one thing you can be sure of? A certain type of real estate is seeing massive pressure to sell at a discount—every investor should be looking at these properties.
In This Episode We Cover
What happens to mortgage rates if a peace deal with Iran is finally struck?
The one type of residential rental property seeing unparalleled discounts (and incentives)
Signs that we have hit the floor for national home prices (crash chances are dwindling)
A very positive sign for the real estate industry as buyers come back to the market
The one thing that could cause rate hikes and spiking interest rates in the near future
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
On the Market 432 - J Scott: We Have 1-2 Months Before the Economy
On the Market 429 - The Ultimate "Stress Test" for the Housing Market
Begins to Break
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-433.
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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The next global recession is a lot closer than many Americans think. We’ve been (fairly) insulated from supply chain shocks stemming from the War in Iran, but within the next few months, things will begin to break. Oil reserves could run dry, energy costs could spike, and a new age of inflation could hit Americans in a way many of us are not prepared for.
In other words: We’re a bit screwed…at least temporarily. The question is, how long do we have?
There’s no one else but J Scott that we’d invite on to answer this question. J, aside from being one of the most principled real estate investors over the last two decades, is a student of the global economy, arguably more up to date on inflation, energy prices, and the effects to come than anyone else we know.
J recently mentioned on a podcast that “we’re screwed”...just using a bit harsher language. Today, we’re asking “why?” and going over the delayed economic shocks that could be hitting us soon, the domino effect of ships being stalled at the Strait of Hormuz, whether or not this will impact the U.S. housing market, and what J is doing to protect himself right now.
In This Episode We Cover
Why we may be closer to a global recession than most Americans think
What happens when the U.S. depletes its emergency oil reserves?
What’s truly causing inflation more than supply-strained commodities
How the housing market (home prices) will be affected if we slip into a recession
The countdown until the oil crisis begins to hit Americans…hard
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
On the Market 431 - The “Engine” of the U.S. Economy is Starting to Crack (It Will Affect Housing)
On the Market 413 - Real Estate Isn’t as Safe From Inflation as You Think
Connect with J
J's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab J’s Books
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-432.
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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The “engine” of the U.S. economy is starting to crack—and real estate is already feeling the effects. Just last week, we touched on the hidden “recession” affecting many Americans. Today, we’ve got even more data to back up that analysis. Americans are at a breaking point, and the long-term trends are not looking good for spending, GDP, the economy, and real estate.
If you feel economic strain, you’re not alone. We just hit a level of low confidence that hasn’t been seen in 70 years. So, how is the economy still growing? How is GDP still rising? Why haven’t we seen a traditional recession with high unemployment, stock market declines, and a pause in consumer spending? It’s not a question of “why not,” but “when will it happen?”
If you invest in real estate, this will affect you. Home prices, rent prices, and activity in your local market will change. Dave is sharing the markets where investors are quickly leaving, the others seeing the most money pour in, the property types that still make sense in this market, and what to prepare for so your rentals weather any economic storm.
In This Episode We Cover
New economic data showing just how worried the average American is about the economy
How consumer confidence problems can quickly seep into the housing market
What to do now to start preparing your rentals for a slow season ahead
The reasons why the average American is struggling so much in 2026
How is GDP still growing when consumer confidence is so low?
What (and where) investors are buying in 2026 (property types, markets, etc.)
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
On the Market 427 - The 2026 Recession Is Here
On the Market 429 - The Ultimate “Stress Test” for the Housing Market: Do We Pass in 2026?
Redfin: Investor Home Purchases Fall to Lowest Level Since 2020
Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-431.
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Home listing prices have been falling for weeks, and it’s not just sellers who are getting fed up. Real estate agents have finally decided to call it quits, with many reaching their breaking point and leaving the industry altogether. But a glimmer of hope is on the horizon for the market, as one of the biggest housing bills in years just passed the House of Representatives. Could this get us back on the right track?
Welcome back to this week’s headlines episode. If you thought the deals couldn’t get any better…well, it’s your lucky day (or weeks). Home listing prices have now fallen consecutively for over a dozen weeks. Buyers aren’t buying what sellers are selling, and the deals are getting sweeter. If you’re a seller, we have some crucial tips your average agent won’t tell you to start a bidding war on your property, even during a slow market.
Agents have finally decided to step away from the industry altogether, but a new housing bill could spark some life back into the housing market—this is good news for buyers! Finally, we’re going over the states with the lowest property tax bills—but are any of them worth investing in?
In This Episode We Cover
Huge changes coming to the housing market? A monumental housing bill that’s making its way to the President’s desk
Are these sellers serious? Why listing prices are falling nationwide for weeks on end
The great real estate agent exodus (and why good agents are sticking around)
The states with the lowest property tax bills (and how to ensure yours won’t jump)
James’s undeniable loathing of the Seattle, Washington permitting department
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
James' BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
On the Market 429 - The Ultimate “Stress Test” for the Housing Market: Do We Pass in 2026?
Realtor: Weekly Housing Trends
WSJ: Real-Estate Agents Are Quitting the Slow Housing Market
U.S. News: Inside the Sweeping Bipartisan Housing Bill Headed to Trump
Kiplinger: States With the Lowest Property Tax Bills Ranked by Affordability
Grab Henry’s Book, Real Estate Deal Maker
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-430.
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Every recession, crash, and major change in the real estate market has its warning signs. And while most people think these can only be seen in hindsight, we have “stress tests” today that signal corrections, crashes, or rising prices to come. These tests not only test the housing market, but also the economy as a whole, to tell us whether we’re going to spiral down for years or stay afloat.
Today, we’re looking at one of the greatest “stress tests” of the housing market—credit.
The “canary in the coalmine” of real estate is forced selling. Once this begins, the domino effect can easily get out of control. When sellers can’t pay their bills, and are forced to sell, a race to the bottom is almost inevitable—and there’s one part of the real estate market where this exact scenario is ramping up—fast.
In today’s show, we’re detailing the assets and regions most at risk, comparing 2026’s economy to 2008/2009 to see where we stand, going over foreclosure and delinquency numbers, and touching on the newest (concerning) consumer debt numbers quickly starting to rise—will the spillover put the housing market in danger?
In This Episode We Cover
Our latest “credit stress” report and who is (and isn’t) paying their mortgages
2008 vs. 2026 housing market stats: foreclosures, delinquencies, and more
Forced selling has already begun for one (formerly profitable) type of real estate
The corner of the housing market seeing double-digit delinquency rates in 2026
Newest consumer debt numbers and why they should concern many Americans
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
On the Market 427 - The 2026 Recession is Here
BiggerPockets Forums
New York Fed Household Debt and Credit Report
Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-429.
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
More and more Americans are feeling confused about the housing market. Home prices are coming down, and mortgage rates are jumping back up. One day, everyone wants one type of property; the next, it’s being sold at a discount. If you get stuck in the herd mentality, you’ll miss what’s right in front of your eyes—profitable real estate deals 99% of investors are passing over.
Don’t believe us? Today, the most active investor we know, James Dainard, is sharing how he’s scoring a 95% projected return real estate deal, found in May 2026 (that’s right!).
James does more deals than anyone we know, making him the perfect person to give his take on how to win in this housing market. In James’s view, investors are overlooking many solid real estate deals—and this is where the real money is made. But how do you find opportunities when the market changes every few weeks? James breaks down exactly what he does to find the hidden gems that turn into outsized returns—including one with a huge potential payoff.
In This Episode We Cover
How to find real estate deals even in a quickly changing housing market
Buy what others ignore: the profitable properties most investors are sleeping on
Ask your real estate agent/broker THIS to spot the hidden gems in your market
How James turned a sub-par renovation project into a 95% projected return house flip
The vendors you need to get in contact with now to be ready to strike
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1278 - Homes Sit on Market for Longest in Years | May 2026 Housing Market Update
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
James' BiggerPockets Profile
Grab James’ Book, The House Flipping Framework
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-428.
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The 2026 recession is here. You feel it. I feel it. GDP is growing, but the cost of living is rising, affordability is at a multi-decade low, and consumer sentiment is at its lowest level in 70 years. The stock market is ripping, but Americans are struggling daily. Economists will tell you it’s not a recession (at least not yet), but according to my recession indicator…we’re there.
Last November, I created a new recession indicator. It wasn’t tied to GDP, asset values, or sentiment. It was tied to the average American struggling to get by. As of last week, this recession indicator threw up a strong yellow flag, signaling that we’ve reached a turning point—and the direction we’re going isn’t giving us much hope.
This will affect the housing market and rent prices for real estate investors. I give my full forecast on how this could affect the market, but also share exactly what I’m doing right now to put myself in the best position to weather the storm and, hopefully, pick up discounted deals as they come along.
Well-situated investors can survive this, but those that are already running their portfolios with little wiggle room might be in for a big surprise.
In This Episode We Cover
The recession indicator that got triggered just last week (and what it means for the economy)
My new definition of “recession” and why we must rethink what a “recession” even is
How this new recession could hurt the housing market and investors
What I’m doing right now to prepare for the recession and put my portfolio in a strong position
A concerning data point about the affordability of average Americans (this includes renters)
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought
On the Market 413 - Real Estate Isn't as Safe From Inflation as You Think
Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-427.
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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