Unchained

The Bond Market Is the Boss Now: Bits + Bips


Listen Later

Kevin Warsh wants a smaller Fed balance sheet and fewer dot plots. Noelle Acheson says the bond market won't let him have either. Here's what she expects instead.

---

Heads up!

If you haven’t yet, be sure to subscribe to Bits + Bips, since the show will migrate there in a few weeks. Follow us on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Apple Podcasts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠X⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Unchained⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and wherever you get your podcasts.

----

Bond yields are climbing globally while stock markets push higher on AI optimism — and Noelle Acheson, author of the Crypto Is Macro Now newsletter, argues the divergence is not a contradiction but a warning. In her read, inflation was building before the Hormuz crisis, the BLISS trade has permanently replaced the TACO trade as the structural put under markets, and Kevin Warsh is walking into a Fed that the bond market controls more than he does. She also flags a contrarian indicator nobody is talking about: the gap between the cap-weighted S&P 500 and the equal-weight index is widening at a pace last seen in 1999.


Host:

  • ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Steve Ehrlich, Head of Research at SharpLink and Host of Bits + Bips: The Interview - https://x.com/Steven_Ehrlich

    Guest:

    • ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Noelle Acheson | Author, Crypto Is Macro Now newsletter

      Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

      ...more
      View all episodesView all episodes
      Download on the App Store

      UnchainedBy Laura Shin

      • 4.6
      • 4.6
      • 4.6
      • 4.6
      • 4.6

      4.6

      1,185 ratings


      More shows like Unchained

      View all
      The a16z Show by Andreessen Horowitz

      The a16z Show

      1,105 Listeners

      Real Vision: Finance & Investing by Real Vision Podcast Network

      Real Vision: Finance & Investing

      905 Listeners

      CRYPTO 101 by Bryce Paul & Brendan Viehman

      CRYPTO 101

      36 Listeners

      The Breakdown by Blockworks

      The Breakdown

      738 Listeners

      The Pomp Podcast by Anthony Pompliano

      The Pomp Podcast

      1,833 Listeners

      Thinking Crypto News & Interviews by Tony Edward

      Thinking Crypto News & Interviews

      249 Listeners

      What Bitcoin Did by Danny Knowles

      What Bitcoin Did

      277 Listeners

      Bankless by Bankless

      Bankless

      1,046 Listeners

      The Wolf Of All Streets by Scott Melker

      The Wolf Of All Streets

      242 Listeners

      All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg by All-In Podcast, LLC

      All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

      10,254 Listeners

      Empire by Blockworks

      Empire

      165 Listeners

      Coin Stories with Natalie Brunell by Natalie Brunell

      Coin Stories with Natalie Brunell

      446 Listeners

      Raoul Pal: The Journey Man by Real Vision Podcast Network

      Raoul Pal: The Journey Man

      127 Listeners

      Forward Guidance by Blockworks

      Forward Guidance

      273 Listeners

      Bell Curve by Blockworks

      Bell Curve

      35 Listeners