Carrier sentiment is suppressed by a weak rate environment as the market waits for necessary fleet rationalization, highlighted by historic levels of Class 8 oversupply exceeding 90,000 units. The physical evidence of financial distress is staggering, demonstrated by the collapse in trailer prices—with 3-year-old 53-foot dry vans now trading for under $20,000—and the high volume of repossessions dominating used equipment sales, where 158 out of 162 units sold by Ritchie Bros. in Q3 2025 were repossessions.

This contraction is bleeding into the tech sector, as evidenced by the Chapter 11 filing of VC-backed freight tech startup Zuum, which listed assets and liabilities between $10 million and $50 million. Importantly, 19 of Zuum's top 20 unsecured creditors are freight brokers, revealing how interconnected the ecosystem is and exposing brokers to significant financial risk from failed tech platforms.

Amidst the contraction, the future driver talent pipeline is seeing massive investment, including a 4.9 million earmark secured by Senator Thom Tillis for Southeastern Community College in North Carolina to aggressively expand its truck driver training program. Furthermore, a significant bureaucratic roadblock was temporarily removed when the DC Court of Appeals issued a temporary stay on the FMCSA’s non-domiciled CDL rule, halting restrictions while the court reviews a lawsuit against the regulation.

We also cover major international policy shifts, including the U.S. Trade Representative suspending Section 301 port fees on China-built cargo ships for one year, a reciprocal move that temporarily eases global trade tensions. Finally, we discuss the sobering update in air cargo capacity, where the FAA temporarily grounded all MD-11 freighters for inspection following a tragic UPS crash in Louisville, impacting major carriers like UPS and FedEx globally.

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