FreightCasts

The Daily | October 16, 2025


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This daily market update dives into the relentless push for efficiency and adaptation across the supply chain, beginning with J.B. Hunt’s third-quarter earnings beat. The multimodal giant saw an 18% jump in earnings per share (EPS), driven not by demand, but by surgical cost control that included stripping out $20 million in costs in Q3 as part of an efficiency program aiming for annual savings greater than $100 million.

We connect this corporate efficiency focus to the road, examining the surprising resilience of owner-operators. Triumph Capital data shows the average factored invoice size for independent owner-operators actually rose by $16 compared to a year ago, contrasting sharply with a $92 decline for large fleets, which is largely attributed to the O/Os' lower fixed costs and flexibility to pivot to niche segments like Amazon power-only moves. This capacity picture may tighten due to legislation like "Connor’s Law", a companion bill requiring Commercial Driver’s License holders to prove English proficiency sufficient to understand signs, converse with the public, and respond to official inquiries, a measure supported by industry groups like the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association.

Finally, we explore a fundamental logistical rethink in cross-border e-commerce driven by the abolition of the U.S. de minimis tariff exemption for small-dollar imports, which caused massive shipment backlogs for commercial carriers like UPS due to missing or incomplete documentation. As a response, retailers are seriously considering international postal networks as a compliant and cost-effective alternative, creating an emerging hybrid model utilizing both U.S. warehouses for high-value items and modernized postal channels for low-value goods.

We conclude with a provocative signal from California, where Governor Gavin Newsom vetoed SB-34, a bill that would have restricted public funds for port automation projects. Despite fierce union opposition, who called the veto a "betrayal," Newsom argued the bill would hinder port modernization and global competitiveness, confirming that the drive toward technological efficiency continues relentlessly on the West Coast.

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