The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast | Inside Australian Real Estate

Whenever the property market booms, frustrated buyers often say, “This can’t go on! Surely this has to stop soon,” and it will. Booms and bursts can’t go on forever!

This October, APRA has finally made a move to try and cool down the raging property market. Naturally, questions like, “Will this work?”, “What else can they do if it doesn’t?” and “Why did they need to act on it?” have surfaced and today, we’re going to discuss how APRA’s new measure will likely play out.

If you enjoy the show, do like, rate, subscribe, and share us on social media and if you have your own questions you need clarity on, email us at [email protected]!

See you in the episode!

Episode Highlights:

1. What does the term “macro prudential measures” mean? [01:25]
2. APRA’s increased serviceability measure [02:44]
• “Jawboning” to impact confidence [06:30]


3. How much will APRA’s new measure impact the property market? [07:00]
• Evident flaws in banking calculators during 2012-2015 versus now [09:17]
• Talks surrounding the DTI limit [10:22]


4. What can APRA do if their new measure doesn’t have the desired impact? [11:59]
5. The struggle with slowing things down without impacting first home buyers [14:21]
6. Is this move a pre-emptive strike to keep investor participation low? [15:04]
7. Why are variable rates still falling & what’s causing it? [21:52]
8. Turnarounds are huge in the broking space [23:44]
9. Look at transactions, not listings! [25:19]
• Where are the big portions of transactions happening? [27:23]


10. What decision fatigue can cause some investors to do [29:13]
11. Some buyers agents are making alarming purchases at the moment [30:37]
12. The difficulty with identifying a good buyer’s agent [36:28]
13. The two factors that can really slow down the market [41:39]
14. APRA’s measure & the ridiculous amount of growth in the market [43:52]
15. Chris’s property dumbo [47:58]
16. Veronica’s property dumbo [52:29]

Links from the Show:

• The Growing Housing Affordability Crisis | Michelle Adair (Episode 191)

Connect with Us:

• Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au
• Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan
• Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au
• Work with Chris: [email protected] 
• Send in your questions to: [email protected] 

Find this episode on our website:
https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/199

If you’ve enjoyed this episode, don’t forget to like, share, rate and subscribe for more!

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Have you ever wondered why some regions have only grown marginally whilst others have boomed?

In this Suburb Trends report for September 2021, we’re joined by Kent Lardner as we look at where prices are moving across the country - whether up or down - and why they vary. We also dive deep into “starfish” suburbs, the rise of rentvesting, the possible exodus of big-city dwellers to regional areas and more!

If you enjoy the show, do like, rate, subscribe, and share us on social media and if you have your own questions you need clarity on, email us at [email protected]!

See you in the episode!

Episode Highlights:

1. Tackling the challenge of property price and growth [01:14]
1. The right indicators don’t guarantee a typical outcome [02:33]


2. “Starfish” suburbs & why they’re behaving the way they are [04:49]
3. Does the socio-economic makeup of Liverpool affect property prices? [06:27]
4. Income versus property supply & demand [08:16]
5. Why has Wagga Wagga not grown the way other regions have? [10:42]
6. The exodus of big city dwellers to regional areas [12:59]
1. Why are mortgages getting bigger? [15:50]


7. How much is price influenced by inventory & percentage change in listings? [16:27]
8. What’s happening in Brisbane suburbs? [17:31]
1. How much will the 2032 Olympics impact sustainable price growth? [20:11] 
2. Brisbane is way more affordable for first home buyers [21:15]
3. A deeper look at Sunnybank [23:47]


9. Prices change dramatically as you travel South [24:46] 
10. The danger of making decision based on chatter in forums [26:47] 
11. The rise of rentvesting [33:35]
12. What is the deal with Cairns-South? [34:46]
13. A lens on Toowoomba & property prices [40:05]
14. Has Perth been doing as well as we expected? [43:51]
1. A look at Canning & Gosnells [48:16]


15. Why hasn’t Adelaide Hills blown-up as expected? [50:07]
16. Are the ‘underperformers’ going backwards? [52:12]
17. A short overview of what the next Suburb Trends episode will tackle [53:40]

Links from the Show:

• Visit Suburb Trends

Connect with Us:

• Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au
• Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan
• Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au
• Work with Chris: [email protected] 
• Send in your questions to: [email protected] 

Find this episode on our website:
https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/198

If you’ve enjoyed this episode, don’t forget to like, share, rate and subscribe for more!

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

For the longest time, success has been equal to how much money and property you own, but is that really the end goal? Is that truly what success is all about?

Terry Condon of The Cashflow Co. joins us as we challenge the notion that success can be measured by zeros in your bank account (or how many properties you own, for that matter). 

That’s not to say money isn’t important, but how do we use it as a tool rather than view it as an end in itself? How can we take control?

If you enjoyed the show, do like, rate, subscribe, and share us on social media and if you have your own questions you need clarity on, email us at [email protected]!

See you in the episode!

Episode Highlights:

1. Why money management is important to overall happiness & well-being [01:53]
2. How people should approach money from the start [03:24]
3. Terry’s definition of a rich life [05:29]
4. Balancing saving money & investing on life & other essentials [08:12]
1. Alignment versus fulfilment [11:02]


5. Distinguishing ‘well-off’ from ‘well-regarded’ people [12:09] 
6. Problems the 21st Century has created in how people manage money [14:06]
7. Behaviour & identity affect the way people manage money [17:34]
8. Creating fulfilment through mortgage repayments [19:12]
9. Consider if your dream house is worth whatever you need to sacrifice in return [21:11]
10. “Property therapy” for couples & figuring out what they want in property [23:10]
1. Couple dynamics during property searches [27:21]
2. Overcoming “baggage” that hinders people from making better decisions [30:00]


11. It’s all “behavioural advantage” when it comes to money [34:42]
12. Creating urgency to act on their wants [38:16]
13. Mindset matters with money [40:32] 
14. The alarming observation that people like to be spoon-fed [44:39]
15. Why did they name their podcast the Passive Income Project? [48:58]
16. How Veronica got started in real estate [51:58]
17. Terry’s property dumbo [55:19]
18. The Australian psyche of “you can’t lose in property” [01:06:12]

Links from the Show:

• Check out The Cashflow Co.
• Episode 46 - What Causes Wishful Thinking and Why Does It Cost Us So Much?
• Episode 1 - Who is Really Making the Decisions When You Bid at Auction?

About our Guest:

Terry Condon is the Chief Education Officer at The Cashflow Co., a money mentorship program, and co-host of the Passive Income Project podcast. He’s driven by the idea that financial intelligence and emotional intelligence can enable most Aussies to build a rich life.

Connect with Us:

• Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au
• Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan
• Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au
• Work with Chris: [email protected] 
• Send in your questions to: [email protected] 

Find this episode on our website: https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/197

If you’ve enjoyed this episode, don’t forget to like, share, rate and subscribe for more!

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

We’re always delighted to receive questions from you, our awesome listeners, so today, we’re going to be answering some of them!

Do you need evidence for different growth rates within a suburb? Have you always wondered if apartments were better than houses? What about the so-called “lifestyle compounds” and resort style complexes? Are they investment grade?

Let’s dive in and talk about stratified medians, doing your due diligence properly, the need to find a really good mortgage broker and lots more!

If you enjoyed the show, do like, rate, subscribe, and share us on social media and if you have your own questions you need clarity on, email us at [email protected]!

See you in the episode!

Episode Highlights:

1. How do you find the right asset if capital growth trajectories vary for properties in the same area? [01:32]
1. Local, on-the-ground knowledge [04:34]
2. Stratified Medians [07:52]


2. Choosing an apartment block with retirement options, on a budget [09:02]
1. Knock-on effects of affordability to one, two, three-bedroom apartments [18:01]
2. What will drive apartment prices to the next level? [23:32]


3. Are “lifestyle compounds” worth the investment? [24:40]
1. Anything new ages fast [33:04]


4. What you need to know about upfront deposits and auctions [36:53]
1. Do your due diligence before anything else [38:29]
2. Explaining auctions in hot and slow markets [41:05]
3. Find a really good mortgage broker [45:09] 


5. Thoughts on subsidized social housing & landowners willing to lend their land [51:15]

Links from the Show:

• Get Auction Ready by Veronica Morgan (Use code ELEPHANT for 30% off)
• Home Buyer Academy’s FREE Courses
• Episode 191 - The Growing House Affordability Crisis | Michelle Adair
• Suburb Trends July 2021 | Best Metrics to Measure Growth?
• Episode 162 - Houses vs Apartments | Stuart Weymss

Connect with Us:

• Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au
• Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan
• Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au
• Work with Chris: [email protected] 
• Send in your questions to: [email protected] 

Find this episode on our website:

https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/196

If you’ve enjoyed this episode, don’t forget to like, share, rate and subscribe for more!

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

With half of the country in lockdown and Sydney just completing its third month, much has been made about the vaccination targets of 70% and 80% of eligible adults being our golden ticket to freedom.

How much have these lockdowns affected the economy and the nation’s mental health? Will Australia’s strategy for reopening do the job of balancing health outcomes with growth and prosperity for all? 

How well are we managing the health and the economic trade-offs - and what might the next few months look like?

Grattan Institute’s Economic Policy Program Director, Brendan Coates, joins us for a very colourful and informative discussion on Australia’s plan to reopen, the strategy being used, how realistic it really is, the challenge with reaching the 80% vaccine rollout, plus so much more!

We’ll see you in the episode!

Episode Highlights:

1. How realistic & effective are the steps to reopening the country? [02:32]
2. Is “Covid Zero” now a thing of the past? [06:09]
1. How quickly will we be able to get everyone vaccinated? [09:20]
2. What about the UK’s decision to reopen fully with a 70% vaccination rate? [14:42]
3. Should we have gotten Covid out in the community to avoid burning ourselves in the end? [16:02]


3. Thoughts on Labor’s negative gearing policy [17:38]
4. The challenge of getting to an 80% vaccination rollout [19:17] 
1. Does stopping Covid rely so much on vaccinating kids? [22:36]
2. How about top-ups and boosters? [24:37]
3. Let’s talk about vaccines available & their potency [24:56]


5. Are we rushing vaccine shots too much just to get everyone through? [27:05]
6. Anti-vax proponents & how much they impact the rest of the population [29:22]
7. Did prioritizing physical health cause more mental health problems? [32:20]
8. What we’ve lost to Covid, in an economic aspect [34:42]
1. The debt impact of the pandemic [36:55]


9. Migrant intake and impact when the borders reopen [40:49]
10. The problem with reassuring people that the 80% rollout is our ‘ticket to freedom’ [44:58]
1. On estimate, when will we hit the 80% vaccine rollout? [48:57]


11. Learning, observing & testing before moving to Phase D [51:31]
12. How about people who die due to other causes that couldn’t get an ICU bed? [53:52]
13. What should be happening (that isn’t) at a government level in terms of spending? [55:11]
14. “Leaning against the wind” [58:50]
15. Brendan’s property dumbo [01:02:45]

Links from the Show:

• Check out The Grattan Institute’s Report: Race to 80  
• Episode 153 - Accessing Super for Home Buying?
• Episode 124: The New Normal: Will Your Household Finances Hold Up?
• Episode 89 - Australia’s Home Ownership Crisis

About our Guest:

Brendan Coates is the Economic Policy Program Director at Grattan Institute, where he leads Grattan’s work on tax and transfer system reform, retirement incomes and superannuation, housing, macroeconomics, and migration. He is a former macro-financial economist with the World Bank in Indonesia and consulted to the Bank in Latin America. 

Connect with Us:

• Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au
• Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan
• Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au
• Work with Chris: [email protected] 
• Send in your questions to: [email protected] 

Find this episode on our website:
https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/195

If you’ve enjoyed this episode, don’t forget to like, share, rate and subscribe for more!

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Regardless of location, expats have had to adapt and deal with the effects of Covid.

There’s been evidence of expats returning and re-occupying their properties, leading to a shortage of family homes on the rental market. We’ve also heard of people staying put because they’re reluctant to abandon a promising international career and settle for a lesser role in Australia. 

Then there are those who want to return when they find the right job and are now actively looking to buy so they’ll have a home to come back to.

Most local buyers get spooked by the last group, thinking that they have a lot more money to spend - but do they really? Well, it’s not that simple.

You see, buying and selling property while you live overseas brings with it a range of financial - tax - implications.

We’re speaking with Brett Evans, the Managing Director for the Europe, Middle East and African region (EMEA) and a Financial Planner with Atlas Wealth Management. We’ll cover a wide range of topics surrounding property, tax, and expat life amid Covid, and dig into some advice that will truly benefit those abroad or those planning to leave the country.

See you in the episode!

Episode Highlights:

1. How has Covid affected the expats’ financial plans? [02:47]
1. Are expats still willing to stay abroad despite the financial instability? [05:07]


2. The perception that the government doesn’t care about expats [07:12]
3. Taxation changes for expats [08:53]
1. The impact of the main residence exemption [10:36]
2. The unintended consequences of the changed tax policy [13:34]
3. New qualifying tests to classify which rules apply to you [17:38]


4. Where are expats moving around to? [22:28]
5. What does it mean to be an AU tax resident but live in a different country? [24:58]
6. Does the government double-dip? [28:17]
7. What do expats need to be thinking of in regards to stamp duty? [34:23] 
8. How the policy change is affecting Aussies’ decision to come home [39:23]
9. Do non-residents have to pay more stamp duty than residents? [42:53] 
10. Factors that affect where Aussies move to when coming back home [46:25]
11. The biggest issue with working in Australia from afar [49:35]
12. Advice for expats who want to buy property [54:32]
13. The industry is adept at utilising buyers’ emotions [59:18]

Links from the show:

• Visit Atlas Wealth
• Check out NEOM
• Read about the Saudi Crown Prince’s Vision for Neom on the WSJ
  

About our Guest:

Brett Evans is the founder and Managing Director for the EMEA region for Atlas Wealth Management which is the leading provider of financial advice to Australian expats. With over 24 years of experience in the finance and investments industry, Brett has worked for blue

chip companies that include the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX), HSBC, Suncorp and Citigroup. Brett & Atlas Wealth Management have been nominated as a finalist (and have won) numerous domestic and international awards for their specialised advice to Australian expats.

Connect with Us:

• Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au
• Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan
• Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au
• Work with Chris: [email protected] 
• Send in your questions to: [email protected] 

Find this episode on our website:
https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/194

If you’ve enjoyed this episode, don’t forget to like, share, rate and subscribe for more!

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

It’s no mystery that COVID has affected everyone in one way or another, and some effects will no doubt carry on even after the pandemic has passed.

Knowing this, how different will life be when this blows over?

What will the new normal look like?

Today, Simon Kuestenmacher, Director of Research at the Demographics Group shares his insights into how the pandemic and lockdowns have changed Australia on a number of fronts. If you’ve heard the past episodes we’ve had with Simon, you know you’re in for a treat.

We also talk about the changes in population, housing preferences, and consumer behaviour among a whole heap of other valuable topics!

We’ll see you in the episode!

Episode Highlights:

1. Lockdown surprises and impact from a demographer’s point of view [01:49]
2. The effect of COVID on boutiques and smaller operators [04:38]
3. Is the flexible work from home setup here to stay? [09:00]
4. Contentment (and discontentment) with working from home [17:00]
5. Have HR regulations kept up with Integrators & Separators who work from home? [19:04]
6. Chris’s ‘elephant in the room’: migration [22:02]
1. Will there be higher or lower skill shortages in the coming future? [26:02]


7. How are Australians coping in & out of the country? [29:31]
8. The census this year was both a blessing and a curse [32:04]
9. Why are people moving away to live outside the city? [35:40]
10. Fertility rate and its effect on the property market [45:17]
11. Balancing the demographics of a city with available housing stock [49:02]
12. The increase in ‘early inheritance’ cases [51:21]
13. Europe’s property market and their rental and home-owning expectations [54:10]
14. Could the Australian property market move into a similar situation as Europe? [56:42]
15. Simon’s property dumbo for this episode [59:35]
16. Growth is the goal [01:01:10]

Links from the show:

• Episode 40
• Episode 138
  
  

About our Guest:

Simon Kuestenmacher is the Director of Research at the Demographics Group. He has amassed 140,000 followers globally in just two years, who enjoy his insights and his quirky observational style. He is a columnist for The Australian on demographic trends and urban development.

• Visit Simon’s website: https://www.simonkuestenmacher.com/
• Check out The Demographics Group: https://www.tdgp.com.au/simon-kuestenmacher

Connect with Us:

• Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au
• Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan
• Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au
• Work with Chris: [email protected] 
• Send in your questions to: [email protected] 

Find this episode on our website:

https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/193

If you’ve enjoyed this episode, don’t forget to like, share, rate and subscribe for more!

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

We’re living in such a crazy time.

COVID is still rampant globally and has more or less affected most markets for better or worse. The property market has also been affected, but how much has it been really hit?

Today we’re having a chat with Martin North because we want to get a contrarian perspective. We’ll be uncovering the dark underbelly of what’s driving this property market and seeking his perspective on these crazy times we live in.

We talk about whether or not the government has run out of stimulus, what businesses have been hit by COVID, why properties actually CAN go down contrary to popular belief, and so much more.

We’ll see you in the episode!

Episode Highlights:

1. Has the government run out of stimulus? [01:46]
2. How sustainable is pumping stimulus at the lower end of the margin? [06:49]
3. These businesses feel the impact of COVID more than others [11:21]
4. Different markets behave differently [14:32]
5. The unit market versus the rest [16:17]
6. The current state of the high-rise property market [19:05]
7. The continuous ‘supply’ of house and land packages [23:12]
8. What’s with New Zealand possibly lifting their interest rates? [24:13]
9. Property prices CAN go down [25:49]
10. Some people are deceptive with how they talk about property & success [27:19]
11. Thoughts on the responsible lending change [32:24]
12. What can APRA do (and not do) about bank lending? [38:27]
13. Is the property market too big to fail? [42:20]
14. RBA: “Immigration is the cause of low price growth” [44:06]
15. What’s the government’s strategy around opening the borders? [46:33]
16. Will increasing interest rates be enough to slow down asset prices? [50:41]
17. Martin’s property dumbo: a story about a granny flat [55:59]

Links from the show:

• Episode 123
• Episode 143
• Episode 178
  
  

About our Guest:

Martin North is the founder of Digital Finance Analytics, a boutique research, analysis and consulting firm that specialises in offering insight into the dynamics of the mortgage, lending, savings, payments and superannuation sectors.

• Learn more about Martin’s new charity: Asbestos Awareness Australia

Connect with Us:

• Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au
• Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan
• Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au
• Work with Chris: [email protected] 
• Send in your questions to: [email protected] 

Find this episode on our website:

https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/192

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Housing affordability is on everyone’s mind but what’s being done?

In this episode, we welcome back Michelle Adair, CEO of The Housing Trust. The Housing Trust, which is the second-largest housing provider in the Illawarra, delivering subsidised rental homes to over 2000 people, with almost 1100 properties from Thirroul to Nowra. Michelle is at the forefront of the housing affordability crisis. Her professional and personal experiences will move you as she illustrates how deep this problem runs, and who has the ability to rectify it.

Here’s what we cover:

• What’s wrong with the current housing policy?
• Is focusing on first home buyers an effective strategy?
• What is the role developers play in this crisis?
• What is the economic case for providing more social housing
• Is welfare enabling further social problems or remedying them?
• How to balance a growing and a stabilising market?
• Does the government want low housing prices?
• Who benefits the most from housing concessions?
• What role can investors play?

RELEVANT EPISODES:

Episode 104 | Build-To-Rent the new standard for renters | Adam Hirst

Episode 81 | Will a crisis in confidence kill our apartment market? | Eliza Owen

Episode 66 | What's causing Australia's housing affordability crisis? | Michele Adair

GUEST LINKS:

https://housingtrust.org.au/
Housing: Taming the elephant in the economy [full report]
Housing: Taming the elephant in the economy [4-page summary]
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7319955/governments-ignoring-holy-grail-of-affordable-rentals/

https://www.smh.com.au/national/before-she-was-a-ceo-michele-and-her-kids-lost-everything-20210427-p57mqu.html

HOST LINKS:

Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au
Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan

Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au
Work with Chris: [email protected]

Send in your questions to: [email protected]

EPISODE TRANSCRIPT:
Please note that this has been transcribed by half-human-half-robot, so brace yourself for typos and the odd bit of weirdness…
This episode was recorded in August 2021

https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/191

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

We talk to Rebeka Morgan, co-founder of the BuildHer Collective and CEO of Beirin Projects which focuses on high-end renovation and construction in Melbourne’s inner North. Rebekah worked for 14 years in construction management before becoming a developer herself and is passionate about sharing knowledge and experience, both as a tutor at Swinburne University and through the courses and events run by the BuildHer Collective.

BuildHer Collective has a huge reach and audience with hundreds of thousands of followers, their influence has transformed lives and properties. This episode is dedicated to our audience who have constructions or renovations currently in the works or being planned out. We tap on all the relevant ways to make the most of your skills and execute a successful build.

RELEVANT EPISODES:Episode 163 | Smart Houses: Fad or Necessity? | Brett Savill Episode 109 | Expert Property Styling Secrets & Tricks that sell | Amy Stead Episode 106 | Dodgy developers & Strata Living | Jimmy Thomson

GUEST LINKS:BuildHer Collective - Resources Facebook - BuildHer Collective Instagram - BuildHer Collective Pinterest - BuildHer Collective Instagram - Beirin Projects

HOST LINKS:Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan

Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au Work with Chris: [email protected]

Send in your questions to: [email protected]

EPISODE TRANSCRIPT: Please note that this has been transcribed by half-human-half-robot, so brace yourself for typos and the odd bit of weirdness…This episode was recorded in July 2021.

https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/190

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.