The Hurdle Rate Podcast

The Hurdle Rate Podcast

By thehurdleratepodBusinessInvesting
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The Hurdle Rate Podcast episodes

  • We’re Playing For Trillions | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 67

    Episode 67: We’re Playing For Trillions


    In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down Strategy’s Q2 2026 earnings call and its focus on returning STRC to par while building a trillion-dollar digital credit market. We explore why liquidity, simplicity, and preserving Bitcoin’s upside remain central to the strategy, along with the risks of borrowing against Bitcoin or using derivatives for short-term cash flow. Matt and Ben share lessons from meeting investors in Hong Kong, while Jeff explains how Strive is working to differentiate itself within the insurance industry. We close with a discussion on bringing Bitcoin to traditional institutions and the Federal Reserve’s shift away from heavy forward guidance.

     

    Here’s the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, and Ben Werkman.

     

    Timestamps:

    00:00 - Welcome to The Hurdle Rate
    01:30 - Why Digital Credit Is a Trillion-Dollar Opportunity
    03:00 - Consolidating Liquidity Around STRC
    07:30 - Building an Ecosystem Around Digital Credit
    10:30 - Reading the Market and Maintaining the 12% Dividend
    13:30 - STRC, Short Interest, and Minimizing Volatility
    16:30 - The Risks of Borrowing and Derivative Strategies
    22:30 - MSTR’s Long-Term Leverage and Holding Period
    24:00 - Bringing Digital Credit to Hong Kong Investors
    30:00 - Why Strive Rejects the “DAT” Label
    33:00 - Strive’s Balance Sheet Growth Despite Bitcoin’s Decline
    34:30 - Bringing Bitcoin to Wall Street
    42:00 - Fed Policy and Kevin Warsh’s Communication Strategy
    45:00 - Closing Thoughts

     

    Follow us on X: https://x.com/HurdleRatePod

    All episodes now live: https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/

     

    Disclaimer: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. We are not financial advisors, and you should consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. All investments involve risks, and you are responsible for your own decisions.

     

    True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).*

     

    Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.

     

    46 min
  • Episode 66: Social Investing

    In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down the slow summer market and strategy's focus on building up its balance sheet to improve credit quality. We explore how Strategy and Strive are navigating macro uncertainty, steadying operations, and executing consistent Bitcoin buys through the summer doldrums. We also dig into the derivatives market, short interest dynamics for ASST and SATA, and how lending out shares ultimately impacts corporate dividend payments and tax treatment. We close with a broader discussion on structured finance, the emergence of AI agents in retail investing, and the long-term potential of building durable digital credit structures to onboard massive institutional capital into the Bitcoin era.

    Here’s the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, and Ben Werkman.

    Timestamps:

    00:00 – Welcome Back to the Hurdle Rate
    11:09 – Trading Volumes: MSTR vs. IBIT
    12:33 – Analysis of Short Interest & Derivatives Markets
    16:04 – Tax Treatments for Lending Shares & Manufactured Dividends
    20:10 – Short Squeezes & Conserved Energy in Equities
    28:49 – Robinhood Retail AI Trading Agents
    30:00 – Deconstructing Chamath’s Crypto Tweet
    31:59 – Unlocking Institutional & Corporate Demand for Bitcoin
    32:52 – Private Credit Markets, Structured Finance & Insurers
    51:50 – Step Function Improvements in Leverage Solutions
    56:28 – Battle Testing Management Teams & Risk-First Approaches

    Follow us on X: https://x.com/HurdleRatePod

    All episodes now live: https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/

    Disclaimer: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. We are not financial advisors, and you should consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. All investments involve risks, and you are responsible for your own decisions.

    True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).*

    Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.

     

    1 hr
  • Episode 65: Shifting Institutional

    Shifting Institutional | The Hurdle Rate Podcast | Ep. 65


    In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew opens with updates from Strategy, Strive, and the digital credit market before recapping the major developments from Q2. We cover Strategy’s growing cash reserve, market feedback, and the evolution of Bitcoin-backed credit. We also explore institutional adoption, structured products, AI, intellectual property, and the limits of government intervention in the debt crisis. We close it off with thoughts on outdated financial systems and Bitcoin’s expanding role in traditional capital markets. Here’s the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, and Ben Werkman.

    Time Stamps:
    0:00 Welcome to The Hurdle Rate

    5:19 Digital Credit During Quiet Markets

    8:01 Strategy Rebuilds Its Cash Reserve

    11:51 Market Uncertainty And Bullish Catalysts

    17:21 STRC And Convertible Debt

    19:37 AI, The Fed, And Protecting IP

    24:14 The U.S. Debt Crisis

    31:39 Bitcoin-Backed Institutional Credit

    35:30 Building Structured Bitcoin Products

    43:12 Growing Institutional Bitcoin Interest

    48:02 Stablecoins And Outdated Settlements

    53:05 Bitcoin Stewardship And Constructive Engagement

    58:29 Closing Thoughts

    Follow us on X: https://x.com/HurdleRatePod

    All episodes now live: https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/

    Disclaimer: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. We are not financial advisors, and you should consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. All investments involve risks, and you are responsible for your own decisions. True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at [www.sec.gov](http://www.sec.gov).* Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.

    59 min
  • Episode 64: Building The Track Record

    Episode 64: Building The Track Record


    In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down Strategy’s sale of Bitcoin to fund dividend payments and why the market’s reaction may signal growing confidence in Bitcoin as a liquid capital asset. We explore how Strategy and Strive are using balance sheet management, digital credit, and capital markets access to keep their models moving through volatility. We  also dig into SATA’s short interest, the idea of a “controlled burn,” and how Strive is thinking about protecting shareholders while allowing the market to function. We close with a broader discussion on patience, positioning, and building durable structures in the Bitcoin capital markets era.

    Here's the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, and Ben Werkman.

    Time Stamps:

    00:00 Welcome to the Hurdle Rate
    03:20 Why Selling Bitcoin Helps STRC Confidence
    05:37 Matt Cole on Strategy’s Long-Term Move
    09:05 Bitcoin Absorbs the Sale
    13:53 Bitcoin Liquidity Compared to Real Estate
    17:29 Why the Model Still Works Without Capital Markets
    19:03 Bitcoin CAGR + Balance Sheet Strength
    23:14 Strive’s Dividend Math Compared to Strategy
    27:40 SATA Short Interest + “Controlled Burn”
    34:20 Jeff Explains Controlled Burns and Wildfire Incentives
    41:56 Why Strive May Let SATA Trade Freely
    44:05 Patience, Positioning, and Market Discipline
    45:07 Closing Thoughts

    46 min
  • Episode 63: The Digital Credit Capital Framework

    Episode 63: The Digital Credit Capital Framework


    In this week's Hurdle Rate, the crew opens with the latest on digital credit volatility and the broader market backdrop, before digging into Strategy's capital framework and how management is navigating stress in the system. The conversation turns to institutional behavior, the realities of managing a cash balance sheet, and the dynamics of leverage and short interest within digital credit. We unpack high yield investing perspectives, what resilience and company DNA actually look like in this market, and the specific investor protections built into SATA. We close with reflections on what it takes to build durable structures in the digital credit era.

    1 hr 15 min
  • Episode 62: Digital Credit Weakness

    Episode 62: Digital Credit Weakness


    Full episodes: https://tnorth.com/hurdle-rate/

    In this week's Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down the mechanics of volatility and liquidation events, before turning to shifting investor behavior and how markets react to sudden liquidations. We dig into how digital credit stacks up against traditional financial instruments, the innovations shaping the future of the lending landscape, and what it takes for protocols to remain resilient in brutal bear markets. We close with a deeper look at the Federal Reserve, the opinions surrounding Kevin Warsh, and why navigating economic uncertainty requires a unique strategy for the anticipated super cycle ahead.

    Here’s the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, and Ben Werkman.

    00:00 - Welcome To The Hurdle Rate
    06:24 - Analyzing Volatility and Liquidation Events
    11:28 - Understanding Market Reactions and Investor Behavior
    17:23 - Comparing Digital Credit to Traditional Financial Instruments
    22:11 - The Future of Digital Credit and Market Innovations
    30:52 - Resilience in Bear Markets
    36:07 - Opinions on Kevin Warsh and the Fed
    41:48 - Navigating Economic Uncertainty
    51:53 - Optimism for a Super Cycle

    54 min
  • Episode 61: What’s Your Time Preference?

    In this week's Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down the latest corporate Bitcoin market activity and Strive's growing Bitcoin holdings, before turning to Strategy's Bitcoin sale and what the balance sheet math actually reveals about risk and permanent impairment. We dig into historical bear market scenarios, how to manage amplification ratios, and the product management and demand dynamics shaping the treasury company landscape. We close with a deeper look at what digital credit actually is, and why it matters for the road ahead.


    Full episodes: https://tnorth.com/hurdle-rate

    Timestamps
    00:00 Welcome to the Hurdle Rate Podcast
    01:44 Market Acceleration and USD Reserves
    06:04 Holistic Capital Structure Strategy
    12:20 Designing Long-Term Capital Vehicles
    17:21 Analyzing Recent Bitcoin Flows
    18:11 SpaceX IPO and Major Capital Events
    29:18 Bitcoin on Institutional Balance Sheets
    36:51 Takeaways from Bitcoin Prague
    41:20 Onboarding New Investors via Digital Credit

    53 min
  • Episode 60: The Math of Amplification

    Episode 60: The Math of Amplification


    In this week's Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down the latest corporate Bitcoin market activity and Strive's growing Bitcoin holdings, before turning to Strategy's Bitcoin sale and what the balance sheet math actually reveals about risk and permanent impairment. We dig into historical bear market scenarios, how to manage amplification ratios, and the product management and demand dynamics shaping the treasury company landscape. We close with a deeper look at what digital credit actually is and why it matters for the road ahead.

    00:00 - Welcome To The Hurdle Rate
    00:50 - Corporate Bitcoin Market Activity
    2:42 - Strive's Bitcoin Holdings Update
    04:41 - Market Transparency And Liquidity
    13:11 - Strategy Sells Bitcoin: Balance Sheet Analysis
    18:01 - Risk And Permanent Impairment
    19:59 - Historical Bear Market Scenarios
    27:36 - Managing Amplification Ratios
    40:15 - Product Management And Demand
    45:32 - Defining Digital Credit

    51 min
  • Episode 59: Scale Like Crazy

    Episode 59: Scale Like Crazy 


    0:00 - Welcome Back to The Hurdle Rate

    1:08 - Jeff’s Podcast Circuit & Strategy Retires Debt

    21:27 - Strive’s Big Week

    32:42 - Strategy’s Retail Q&A

    41:29 - Kevin Warsh is The New Fed Chair

    48 min
  • Episode 58: Exponential Innovation

    Episode 58: Exponential Innovation


    0:00 - Welcome Back to The Hurdle Rate

    1:30 - Strive: The Daily Dividend Company

    5:32 - Ringing The Opening Bell at Nasdaq

    23:50 - How Strive Paid Off Its Debt

    27:00 - How Big Is This Idea?

    41:21 - The Infrastructure Behind The Scenes

    47:00 - How Bitcoin Will Be Involved In Strive’s Future


    All episodes are posted on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCR9Q6w9zyf_KS2ujrzhoLyA
    All episodes are hosted on https://tnorth.com/shows/hurdle-rate/ 

    55 min

About The Hurdle Rate Podcast

From the publisher's feed

Join Matt, Ben, Jeff, and Tim for an entertaining and informative weekly podcast cutting through conventional wisdom on Bitcoin, investing, and macroeconomics. Every Wednesday, this forward-thinking team delivers unique perspectives and innovative insights that challenge mainstream financial narratives, empowering listeners to make more independent decisions for their corporate or personal financial lives.

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