A big Vancouver Real Estate Developer goes belly up on over $700M in debt. Is this the canary in the coal mine? The Bank of Canada admits they had to pause over extreme household indebtedness. The Fed says disinflation is underway. The yield curve is now the most inverted since the 1980's.

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More rate hikes from the Fed, the ECB, and the Bank of England. Are markets overly optimistic about the future of interest rates? Is the Canadian housing market nearing a bottom? We have Ron Butler join us for a guest interview to discuss the good, the bad, and the ugly in the Canadian mortgage market.

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The Bank of Canada has raised interest rates another 25bps but has signalled they will pause and hold from here. What does this mean for housing and financial conditions? Is a soft landing achievable or wishful thinking? Consumer confidence is increasing but models suggest there is still near a 50/50 chance of a US recession this year.

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National house prices continued their slide in December and are now down 17% since peaking. Inflation continues to fall but businesses don't believe we will see 2% inflation anytime soon. Twinkie bets are out, the Bank of Canada is poised for a rate hike next week. Investors are lining up to withdraw nearly $20B worth of funds from private Real Estate.

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CPI inflation in the US continues to decelerate, right in line with expectations. We discuss the market implications and guess where inflation could be later this year. Canadian Bank CEO's send out a warning to regulators over vulnerable borrowers. The Fed says rising house prices created a wealth effect that boosted inflation. Meanwhile, another central banker says it's not their job to fight climate change.

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Toronto and Vancouver home sales fell nearly 50% in the month of December. The comps are going to look awful from now until March. Is the Fed looking in the rearview mirror? Why the jobs data is lagging and why it's possible inflation can come down quicker than we might expect. Another recession signal just flashed red.

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Liquidity is scarce to end the year. Stocks are down, bond yields are rising once again. Delinquencies are set to rise. The boys discuss the outlook for 2023 and provide some forecasts on possible scenarios.

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Canada added over 800,000 people to the population, the largest increase going back to the 1970s. The economic machine that is immigrating people and selling them housing continues to churn. CPI inflation remains rather sticky, leaving the Bank of Canada with some difficult decisions in January. Stock market volatility remains elevated as recession risks remain firmly anchored.

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National home prices continue to slide lower, now down 16% since peaking in March. US headline inflation continues to move lower but the Fed ain't pivoting! More rate hikes from the US, Europe and England this week. Could passive investors see little to no returns for several decades?

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The Bank of Canada raised rates another 50bps, however they are now signaling a pause is in order. What are the implications for markets moving forward? More stress in the housing market, government spending sprees, and the probabilities of a financial crisis.

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