The Transfer Flow Podcast

On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss who will claim the Premier League’s remaining champions league spots. Will the table stay it is with Chelsea and Manchester City staying safe, or will Newcastle, Bournemouth, or someone else knock them out? Then, the transfer rumour window is heating up. Patrick fires rumours from the weekend at Ted to see if they are a good idea or bad idea, as well as plausible or straight BS. Enjoy!Ted's Variance Betting update: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-scoop-on-variance-betting-march-update

Don't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@ManDown.Podcast

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Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:00:36 - Mandown Podast launch!

00:01:47 - The Race for UCL spots in the premier league

00:02:30 - Futures bets

00:03:30 - Fixture congestion + remaining schedule

00:04:51 - Nottingham Forest have been pretty lucky, but are seemingly safe

00:06:29 - Why this season has been so weird

00:07:56 - 10th place Bournemouth

00:10:35 - A good long-shot bet?

00:10:56 - Manchester City SHOULD be fine

00:11:51 - Haaland is back

00:12:13 - Odds to finish in the top 5

00:13:48 - Are Chelsea in trouble?

00:14:10 - DGF explanation

00:15:37 - Palmer has been mortal since Christmas

00:16:12 - Chelsea’s injury problems

00:17:50 - Uptick in possession, but worse results?

00:18:41 - Arsenal are the only team of that style that destroys transition

00:20:35 - So will Chelsea drop out?

00:21:05 - Newcastle and Brighton’s resurgence

00:22:10 - Newcastle fans are angry at us

00:23:33 - Newcastle’s remaining games

00:24:50 - Are Brighton good now?

00:27:07 - Danny Welbeck

00:27:31 - Brighton’s schedule

00:28:26 - Matthew Benham/Tony Bloom rivalry

00:30:30 - Aston Villa’s should focus on the Champions League

00:31:29 - Poor goal difference and bad underlying numbers

00:32:47 - Some Parisian slander

00:34:00 - Patrick’s final predictions

00:34:40 - Ted’s prediction

00:35:31 - Ted’s Red Star story

00:40:01 - Early transfer window rumours

00:40:39 - Rashford to Villa for 40M?

00:42:09 - Why this is a bad idea for Villa

00:43:07 - Felix Nmecha to Man United?

00:44:01 - Lack of ball progression with Nmecha and Ugarte

00:44:17 - Xavi Simons to Liverpool?

00:45:26 - Rebuilding bad teams and strengthening good teams

00:45:59 - Adam Wharton to Manchester City for 70M, is it too little money?

00:47:10 - Tyler Dibling to Spurs

00:49:07 - Good dribbler, but no end product

00:49:20 - Angel Gomes to West Ham on a free

00:50:10 - Caoimhin Kelleher to Bournemouth?

00:53:34- B-roll Conversations

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On this episode, Ted and Patrick begin by discussing Barcelona's 4-2 comeback victory over Atletico Madrid. What went wrong for Atleti and what does it mean for the La Liga title race? After a quick discussion of Villarreal vs Real Madrid, the conversation switches to Newcastle's 2-0 victory over Liverpool to claim their first trophy in 56 years. How can the Magpies build off this moment? Then, Inter Milan has a firm lead in Serie A, but will Champions League commitments and lack of depth hurt their title aspirations? The episode finishes with Chelsea fans finally seeing the truth and if Como are preparing to spend this summer. Enjoy!

Don't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@mandown.podcast

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00:00 - Intro

00:39 - Ted’s shoutout

02:37 - Podcasts as a record of yourself to leave behind

03:33 - Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona

04:42 - How Atleti exploited Barca’s high line

05:56 - Why xG is an imperfect metric

07:11 - South American strikers and Wenger

08:41 - Lewandowski’s ridiculous finish

09:15 - Did an uncalled handball lead to the finish we got?

10:00 - Lamine Yamal’s goal and Goalkeepers vs. deflections

11:24 - Atleti didn’t deserve the results they got this week

12:09 - Villarreal vs Real Madrid

13:24 - Even when Real Madrid are off they find a way to win

14:15 - La Liga table

16:27 - With no UCL, Atleti can focus on the La Liga race

18:10 - Raphinha to Man United for £70M?

20:04 - Patrick and Ted’s NEW podcast

20:47 - Newcastle Win the Leagues Cup and end their trophy drought

21:15 - Why was Mac Allister marking Dan Burn?

23:55 - How Liverpool uses Salah’s movement before they win the ball back

24:52 - Leicester City and Mourinho’s Real Madrid were great at countering from corners

26:14 - How Newcastle countered this strategy

27:56 - Joelinton’s physicality

29:24 - Newcastle are good at frustrating top sides, but are not set up to deal with bad teams every week

30:14 - Newcastle will have to do some squad building in the summer

31:56 - Inter Milan vs Atalanta and Ederson’s red card

33:37 - Inter really didn’t do much until the red card

34:07 - Depth a problem with Inter still being in the UCL or is the international break more scary?

35:54 - Chelsea fans are finally seeing the truth

37:00 - It looked like Chelsea were off to a great start, but the problems are showing now

38:04 - Jackson and Palmer can’t ALWAYS save chelsea

38:55 - First season with a new manager, give Maresca time to adapt

40:32 - Como and Cesc Fabregas

41:51 - will Como spend big this summer?

43:07 - Will Juventus fire Motta?

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On this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down the action from Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, Barcelona vs. Benfica, and Dortmund vs. Lille and look ahead to the quarterfinal matchups. Can Arsenal defeat Real Madrid, will Dortmund upset Barcelona, and who will prevail in Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan? The episode ends with predictions for the next UCL round. Enjoy!

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00:00 - Intro

00:33 - New UCL Format + a great 2 days of games

01:14 - PSG shock Liverpool

02:52 - Did Slot’s gameplan make sense?

03:26 - Luis Enrique’s tactics and Dembele

04:33 - Donarumma was VULNERABLE early

05:42 - If you can weather PSG’s storm they drop off considerably

06:38 - How PSG’s “micro-midfield” ran the game

07:43 - How does PSG stack up against Aston Villa?

10:01 - Luis Enrique is an excellent problem solver

11:09 - Real Madrid SURVIVE Atletico Madrid

12:05 - Modric and Bellingham did not have a geat game

14:22 - Real Madrid need someone other than Vinicius and Mbappe to unlock defenses

15:10 - What will Arsenal’s gameplan be?

17:04 - If Saka is back, how will Arsenal set up?

18:56 - Saka’s gravity and two-footedness

20:16 - Barcelona vs Dortmund

20:41 - Lille scored “too quickly” against Dortmund

21:38 - Barcelona will NOT allow Dortmund to have the ball and attack all game

22:03 - Raphinha is in ridiculous form + Barcelona matchup perfectly against Dortmund

23:29 - Barcelona can score their way out of trouble

24:46 - Lewandowski might be declining, but he’s what Barcelona need

26:10 - Bayern Munich vs. Inter Milan

26:41 - Will Bayern break down Inter, or will Inter be able to counterattack?

27:34 - The biggest game of Vincent Kompany’s managerial career

29:15 - Does each club's domestic title race impact this matchup?

31:01 - UCL Quarterfinals predictions

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On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss how the numbers may have lied about the first leg of PSG vs. LIverpool and what they mean for the 2nd leg. Then, Arsenal have hired Andrea Berta to be their next director of football. Who is he, what does he need to do, and how should Arsenal fans feel about the hire? Next, a quick look at games from the Bundesliga over the weekend and a discussion on how fitness professionals can impact teams the most. The episode ends with a look at Claudio Ranieri’s Roma team, Inter Milan being a good longshot for the UCL, the Serie A table, and Arsenal vs. Manchester United. Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:22 - PSG vs Liverpool

01:59 - Stats from the game

03:22 - 1st half vs 2nd half

05:01 - PSG were much more open in the 2nd half

06:08 - How does this line up for the 2nd leg?

06:59 - You can’t just “be more defensive”

08:25 - PSG needs to allow their creativity to create chances, not pound shots

11:09 - A look at the Champions League matches

12:23 - Arsenal hire Andrea Berta as director of football

13:16 - How the media handle these things and Raul Senllehi

16:03 - Arsenal have a clear idea of what they need to do

17:07 - Why the Berta hire makes sense

19:21 - Saka coming back for Arsenal, will he be cautious or come back at full speed?

21:02 -Stability with Arteta should make Arsenal fans feel confident

22:05 - A quick look at the bundesliga - Why were they running so much?

23:33 - Bayern’s PPDA were crazy even with 10 men

25:05 - Sprint management

26:20 - FItness people being on the same page as coaches

26:45 - How fitness coaches can give teams absurd value

27:51 - We’re hiring!

28:48 - Rainieri and Roma

30:13 - Napoli are in a rough stretch

30:39 - Inter a sharp bet to win the UCL?

32:22 - The Italian table

33:51 - We’ll talk the top 5 race in England next week

35:04 - Raya was UNBELIEVEABLE for Arsenal v. Manchester United

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On this episode, Patrick and Neel take a look at the Champions league Games from Tuesday, focusing on Real Madrid's 2-1 win over Atletico Madrid and Arsenal's 7-1 BATTERING of PSV. How did Real Madrid get the advantage and what can Atletico do to win in the 2nd leg? Why did Arteta decide to play such attacking football? Plus two players you NEED to watch Wednesday, Vangelis Pavlidis and Igor Paixão. Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:03 - Real Madrid Defeat Atletico Madrid, 2-1

01:51 - Individual efforts were the story of the game

02:56 - Real Madrid and Ancelotti are breaking the mold of top teams

05:31 - If not for Alvarez, Atletico would have produced very little

07:05 - Real Madrid dropping their defensive line

07:51 - Luka Modric’s introduction to the game

08:53 - Atletico are good are breaching high lines

10:25 - Atletico’s defense was shocking on the second goal

12:27 - Atletico can shop for defensive centerbacks that other big teams wouldn’t go for

14:14 - How can Real Madrid be exploited in the 2nd leg?

17:28 - Arsenal BATTER PSV

17:55 - Why no haramball from Arteta?

19:12 - Arsenal beat PSV at their own game

20:16 - Was the scoreline a bit harsh?

21:54 - Benitez had a horrible game

23:33 - Dortmund vs Lille was definitely a game of football

23:44 - Club Brugge vs Aston Villa and pure haramball from Emery

24:51 - The last goal makes it REALLY hard for Club Brugge to comeback, but they’ve had a great campaign

25:36 - Brugge’s young talent

28:22 - PLEASE watch the Madrid derby next week instead of Villa v Brugge

29:05 - Pavlidis has been on a TEAR for Benfica

30:05 - He’s 3rd in the UCL in non-penalty expected goals

31:23 - His movement is what sets him appart

33:33 - Benfica have made some interesting Striker signings

38:30 - Pavlidis’ left foot

39:56 - Igor Paixao is a player to watch Wednesday for Feyenoord

41:41 - Paixao’s shot map and decision making

42:30 - Inter have defensive problems

43:09 - Will he leave the Eredevisie?

44:21 - Premier League fit + Playing with Yankuba Minteh

45:15 - Paixao is dynamic, but lacking in the final third

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On this episode, Ted and Patrick break down every matchup in the Champions League Round of 16. Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, and Benfica vs. Barcelona be the standout matches of the round, or will we see a surprise result? Enjoy!

Ted's article on recruitment from Monday: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/what-recruitment-teams-are-doing-right-now

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:14 - Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid

02:19 - Was Modric starting vs Betis the right call?

03:01 - Isco’s performance and history

05:29 - Atletico are looking great

07:01 - Julian Alvarez’ insane form

08:17 - How will Real Madrid beat Atletico’s defense?

10:23 - La Liga standings are crazy right now

10:46 - PSV vs Arsenal and Arteta’s Haramball

12:19 - Liverpool vs PSG and Dembele’s form

13:15 - Liverpool’s physicality + PSG’s attack

15:24 - Gamblers thoughts on the game

15:57 - Salah vs PSG’s defense

17:34 - Luis Enrique vs Arne Slot?

17:57 - Benfica Barcelona

18:43 - Dortmund vs Lille tangent

19:14 - Barcelona’s recent form and Benfica won’t make it easy

19:56 - Club Brugge vs Aston Villa

21:38 - Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen

22:20 - Will Leverkusen beat Bayern AGAIN?

24:08 - You can’t judge teams now based on their early season form

24:42 - Bayern withdraw Kimmich contract offer + Next team and replacements

26:03 - Finding valuable archetypes

28:31 - Feyenoord vs Inter Milan and Inter v Napoli

29:02 - Inter stopped attacking

31:05 - Hope for Feyenoord? No, look at their injury list

33:37 - An exciting round of fixtures

34:05 - Patrick’s disclaimer

35:06 - Ted and Patrick’s new venture

36:10 - B-Roll

36:15 - Watching 4 games at once and being cool in school

37:23 - Commentators having no clue what they’re talking about

39:59 - Cristiano Ronaldo Free-kick perception vs Lionel Messi’s

40:48 - Ted and Patrick’s beef with Journalists

42:39 - Patrick goes off

44:32 - Ted’s story time from his time working in football

49:41 - Ted’s (almost) time at Lyon

51:07 - Ridiculed for leaning on a goalpost

52:36 - Patrick’s realization and more honesty from him

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On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss the Championship playoff race. Leeds seem poised to take the top spot, but who will get the second automatic promotion seed and who will make the playoffs? Then, Manchester United have fired MORE staff and cut back on their canteen under INEOS and Jim Ratcliffe. Why would they do this, how does this impact the staff, and what do they need to do going forward? The episode ends with each host sharing a player that you NEED to watch as the season comes to a close. Enjoy!

Our episode with NTT20 to start the season: https://youtu.be/_LymoQM0MvE?feature=shared

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:51 - The Championship playoff race

01:51 - Burnley’s defense and Leeds’ attack

03:06 - Promoted teams having to reinvent themselves

03:58 - Burnley’s retooling and a bet with J.J. Watt

05:17 - The race for second

06:20 - Spots 3-6 are WIDE open

07:42 - Hope for Middlesbrough?

09:52 - Frank Lampard and Coventry

12:31 - Lampard didn’t revolutionize much, but brought what the team needed

14:19 - Predicting the top 6 that will make the playoffs

17:11 - Patrick’s predictions

18:24 - Manchester United cutting 200 more jobs + food options

20:19 - Why teams have meals for their staff

21:58 - Why would United make these cuts?

23:46 - United don’t need someone to develop a culture of excellence

25:34 - United’s commitment to Amorim

27:06 - United still have players coming into the first team despite their troubles

27:47 - 2 Players you should be watching

29:14 - Jorthy Mokio

31:04 - Who does Mokio compare to?

32:43 - Ajax is a good place for him to develop

34:12 - Patrick’s player - Emanuel Emegha

35:44 - Benefiting from a weak league?

37:13 - Emegha’s ability to use both feet

38:14 - Comparison to Dembele’s ability and recent form

38:59 - The traditional number 9 is making a comeback

40:43 - Is he someone to take a chance on this summer?

#manchesterunited #manutd #premierleague #efl #eflchampionship #leedsunited #sheffieldunited #burnley #coventry #football #soccer

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On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss Manchester City’s 2-0 loss to Liverpool over the weekend. How reliant are City on Haaland, is this Mo Salah’s best form EVER, and is it finally time to call Kevin De Bruyne washed? Then, the conversation switches to the race for the Champions League spots. Will City secure a spot, or will one of Chelsea, Forest, Newcastle, Bournemouth, or Aston Villa knock them out? Next, Bayern defeated 3rd place Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 over the weekend, but do they have weaknesses that may cost them in the Champions League? And finally, the Serie A title race is as close as ever. Who will be on top when the season ends? All that and more on today’s episode, enjoy!

Kim's newsletter on Mo Salah and when great players become washed:

https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/how-long-can-mohamed-salah-stay-on-top

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Timestamps:

01:20 - Liverpool vs Manchester City 2-0

02:22 - City’s Issues with Haaland out

03:19 - City’s success hinges on Haaland’s fitness

04:09 - Liverpool’s passive press

06:43 - Arne Slot and the press

08:53 - Salah’s Best ever form? and Kim’s article on when players become washed

09:59 - Kevin De Bruyne might be past it

11:03 - How Liverpool are reliant on Salah

12:40 - How do Liverpool figure out Salah’s contract given his form and age?

14:26 - A whole right-sided rebuild is coming?

15:39 - Will City make the champions league next season + Top 5 predictions

18:00 - How european matches may impact the top 5 race

21:02 - Final spot predictions

21:44 - Bayern pummel Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 + Freiburg goal difference

24:25 - How good Bayern can be + Frankfurt's Marmoush replacement

25:25 - What are Bayern not good at?

27:13 - How teams can hurt Bayern in transition

30:41 - Bayern's draw in the UCL and their chances there

31:54 - Can Inter trouble Bayern in the next round?

33:42 - What’s going on with Leipzig?

35:56 - The difficulties of trying to switch styles of play

37:21 - The Serie A title race narrows

39:20 - Atalanta ahead of Napoli, but are Inter still the favorites?

41:36 - Inter vs Napoli next weekend

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On this episode, Hayden and Patrick discuss Kylian Mbappe and Real Madrid dismantling Manchester City, 3-1. What caused City’s defense to collapse, could this be a good thing for City, and have things finally clicked for Real Madrid? Next, Atalanta was shocked by Club Brugge in both legs and their manager had harsh comments for their star player after the game. Is Ademola Lookman’s time at Atalanta done after this season? Then, Italian teams struggled in the Champions League while Dutch clubs had great success. What caused this sudden deviation from expectations? And finally, the title race in La Liga is heating up with Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico Madrid separated by just one point. Who is in the best position to win the title? Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:59 - Real Madrid Defeat Manchester City 3-1

02:28 - Mbappe was a mismatch

03:18 - Was it coaching or the players making mistakes?

05:09 - How Madrid got their goals

06:01 - Man City get a break now and Madrid REALLY needed this

07:47 - Have things clicked for Madrid?

09:36 - Atalanta lose to Club Brugge in both legs

11:53 - Tolio’s red card

12:22 - Lookman penalty situation + Gasperini’s response

14:33 - Lookman’s response and reactions

15:49 - Will Lookman leave in the summer?

17:35 - Potential landing spots for Lookman

19:58 - Italian clubs suffered while Dutch teams excelled

21:32 - PSV have been excellent for 18 months

22:54 - Why can’t Serie A clubs perform in the UCL + Juventus continue to be BORING

25:26 - Has Peter Bosz improved as a manager?

26:56 - PSV have let Ajax back into the Eredivisie title race

28:12 - Feyenoord will be a tough environment for visiting teams next round

29:46 - The La Liga title race

30:40 - Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico are in a stalemate

31:33 - Are Barcelona in the best position to win La Liga and will Real Madrid focus on the Champions League?

33:06 - Unsung heroes performing for Barca/Real Madrid

33:47 - Does signing players from the top end of the market mean they are able to solve problems better?

34:58 - Jude Bellingham’s ability to be better than the opponent when needed

36:32 - Messi is another problem solver

37:20 - Players Hayden worked with that surprised him with what they saw

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On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Chelsea's woeful form and their 3-0 loss to Brighton this weekend. Then, the conversation switches to Manchester City and their revived attack. Is Ederson's long ball ability to Haaland and Marmoush the key to saving their season? Next, Arsenal seem to have found their Kai Havertz replacement, but it's not one you would expect. Is Mikel Merino the man for the job going forward? The episode ends with a woeful Tottenham vs. Manchester United game, an apology to Everton fans, and questioning if Liverpool fans should start to get a bit nervous after their last 2 games. Stay tuned to find out about a new venture that Ted and Patrick are planning to launch! Enjoy!

Kim's INEOS roundup: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/tottenham-and-man-united-meet-in-the-disaster-bowl

The singles party Ted Mentions: https://zalevska.webflow.io/korporatyv-eng?fbclid=PAY2xjawIgUyFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABpt1fCOH1LFRprRYsrkjme9YNvHf3jEzhHhjK6K_1gUJkMpCKrSINKTr7Qw_aem_rBiF6cicDe8OwUAqTsAoGg

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Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:00:48 - New host hires

00:01:39 - A damaging for months for Chelsea

00:03:08 - Sanchez finally out of goal

00:03:58 - Chalaba and Colwill

00:05:17 - Ederson vs Raya vs Sanchez distribution

00:07:08 - Is it a coaching issue? + Cucurella struggles

00:08:03 - Very high PPDA for Chelsea

00:09:51 - How Arsenal play out of possession + Wenger anecdote

00:12:47 - Nicolas Jackson out 6-8 weeks

00:13:28 - Marmoush, Haaland, and Ederson

00:15:27 - Haaland takes so much attention

00:17:33 - Newcastle vs. United

00:19:17 - Spurs games are FUN for neutrals

00:20:16 - United completed 2 dribbles and Zirkzee playing like Felliani

00:21:17 - Amorim has dealt with injuries, but United are BAD

00:22:35 - Ted’s preseason prediction

00:24:23 - Kim’s INEOS writeup

00:24:58 - Arsenal’s new number 9 + Raheem sterling seems DONE

00:27:32 - Mikel Merino slotting in as your center forward

00:28:42 - Merino = Land shark

00:30:18 - An apology tour for our Everton takes

00:30:46 - Same level of play, different results

00:32:36 - Will this run continue?

00:35:14 - Should Liverpool fans be concerned?

00:36:34 - Salah is playing great, but he will need some rest

00:37:36 - A tough run of games coming up

00:38:35 - Liverpool’s FA cup loss could help them rest

00:39:36 - Share your topic suggestions with us!

00:40:24 - Ted and Patrick’s new podcast

00:41:33 - Patrick’s thoughts on Another Round

00:43:45 - Ted’s TikTok inspired adventure

00:47:45 - Ted’s history

00:49:18 - No history of dating with smartphones or on apps

00:50:52 - Experimenting to optimize Ted’s profile

00:52:08 - Why Patrick is qualified to speak on this topic

00:54:25 - What the podcast will be about

00:55:22 - Pilates and Yoga are a great way for men to meet people

00:56:29 - Ted gets vulnerable and talks about himself

01:00:36 - Breaking up with someone, but breaking your own heart

01:03:28 - Doubling down to vulnerability after being avoidant

01:05:29 - Men love sports because they get to feel

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