The Transfer Flow Podcast

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss the many strikers that have been linked to Arsenal. Is the answer Victor Osimhen, Benjamin Sesko, or someone else? Next, Erling Haaland signed an extension with Manchester City until 2034. Why did both City and Haaland choose to get this deal done? Then comes Romain Esse's move to Crystal Palace. Have Palace gotten enough credit for their recent decision making? The conversation moves to Rayan Cherki, with the hosts trying to find the best league and team for the talented, but hard to work with, Frenchman. The episode ends with discussion of the weekends Premier League games, Liverpool stepping on the gas, and how Manchester United fans should feel. Stick around to see Patrick and Ted discuss Ralph Lauren, Coco Channel, and just how hot Olivier Giroud is.

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:56 - Strikers linked to Arsenal

02:38 - What Arsenal need and don’t need

04:58 - The type of player that fits their squad

06:01 - Does Victor Osimhen make sense?

07:22 - Why Osimhen is still at Napoli + what will they do with him

08:54 - What is a good price for Osimhen?

10:43 - Negatives with Osmihen?

12:09 - What about Benjamin Sesko?

14:42 - Lower shot volume since moving to Germany a worry?

15:51 - Is targeting pre-peak players a risk?

19:10 - Erling Haaland’s big extension with Man City

20:24 - City’s perspective for making this happen

22:46 - Perspective from Haaland’s side

24:59 - Could this hurt City in the long run?

26:44 - If Barcelona did this with Messi

27:45 - Champagne and Oysters for Fulham

28:28 - Ted and Patrick’s train beer preferences

30:09 - Romain Esse to Crystal Palace

31:30 - A good bet for the future

32:38 - Tottenham and Archie Gray

33:33 - Do Palace get enough credit?

34:42 - Glasner’s potential to be a top coach

36:53 - Rayan Cherki available to leave Lyon

37:35 - A talented but difficult to work with footballer

39:41 - He’s the type of player you dream for as a fan

40:47 - He needs to be on a team that can keep him focused

41:31 - The best league and team for him

43:04 - What club will make the next coaching move?

43:58 - Liverpool have stepped on the gas

46:08 - How good Virgil Van Dijk and Konate are

46:34 - The champions league race + how United fans should feel

48:32 - Behind the scenes (is Giroud hot, double denim, and Coco Channel)

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On the 8th episode of Variance Betting, Ted goes over how his bets have fared at the mid-way point of the season, gives you a way to get better prices on your bets, and goes over his EPL Matchday 22 picks.

Get better prices on Bet105: https://btone.servclick1move.com/?mid=248446_1462437&utm_source=www.thetransferflow.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=variance-betting-17-jan-2025&_bhlid=379169a1e683fa1a289c2ed91425b14a56c4246c

Ted's mid-season Variance Betting roundup: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-update-on-variance-betting

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:33 - Why we paused

01:27 - Where to get better prices on your bets

03:24 - Why do you care?

04:44 - Ted’s results so far

06:08 - Betting £1 for every Variance Betting subscriber

07:13 - EPL matchday 22 picks

07:16 - Newcastle v Bournemouth

08:29 - Leicester v Fulham

09:45 - West Ham v Crystal Palace

10:43 - Brentford v Liverpool

11:39 - Arsenal v Aston Villa

13:48 - Everton v Tottenham

15:11 - Nottingham Forest v Southampton

16:21 - United v Brighton

17:05 - Ipswich v Man City

18:15 - Chelsea v Wolves

20:11- Join Variance Betting for more betting related content

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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Arsenal closing in on signing Martin Zubimendi. How does he fit, do they need him, and will signing him cost them a player in the future? Next comes Barcelona’s 5-2 thrashing of Real Madrid. What caused Real Madrid issues in the game, would they be better off if they didn’t sign Mbappe, and can Vinicius Jr. and Mbappe have a good game at the same time? The episode ends by touching on Nkunku being linked to Bayern Munich and Loic Bade getting interest from Aston Villa. This is Ravi’s last episode with us, show him some love in the comments!

How to get a job in Football podcast: https://youtu.be/nI_qZHXA1eI

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:27 - Ravi announcement

01:19 - Arsenal close to signing Zubimendi

01:57 - Is this the player Arsenal need most?

03:41 - Too many defensive midfielders?

04:46 - Freed up wages, but what is the plan?

05:33 - Did the key in on Zubimendi too hard?

06:49 - Will they miss out on someone because of this transfer?

07:45 - Who is the player that sits?

09:53 - Are they building too hard into one style even if they get Nico Williams?

12:06 - Would Williams and Saka open up enough space?

13:55 - How the finances work

15:36 - What if they don’t get their ideal targets?

16:43 - Opportunity costs

17:17 - Barcelona thrash Real Madrid

18:35 - Multiple Madrid issues in this game

20:26 - Stats that can be misleading

21:24 - Should Ascensio have started?

22:31 - Real Madrid need immediate solutions

23:59 - Which of their attackers will sit?

24:54 - How easily Barca scored some of their goals

26:56 - Madrid turned Bellingham into a more of an attacker

28:23 - Pass accuracy against both Barcelona and Real Madrid

29:35 - Hansi Flick’s coaching job

30:18 - What if Madrid didn’t add Mbappe in the Summer?

31:30 - Can both Vinicius and Mbappe have a good game at the same time?

33:32 - Would a different coach be better for them?

34:43 - Xabi Alonso rumoured, but does the squad fit?

35:16 - What will make Real Madrid make a change

37:18 - Nkunku leaving Chelsea for Bayern Munich?

39:47 - Being able to cover for Musiala

41:27 - What should the price be?

42:22 - Chelsea cannot set the price too high

43:28 - Loic Bade linked with Aston Villa

46:17 - Concern from moving from La Liga to the Premier League

49:14 - Aston Villa have been busy

51:09 - Goodbye to Ravi

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On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s move from Napoli, potential suitors, and how much he should cost. Next, Manchester United are having a fire sale, but will anyone be interested in the players they are offering? Then, Manchester City are close to completing a few deals, but are they overspending? And how will Pep Guardiola be able fit Omar Marmoush into the squad? The episode ends with Everton firing Sean Dyche (and their fans getting mad at Ted) and a potential move for Kyle Walker to AC Milan? Enjoy!

Ted's Friday Variance Betting Column: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-update-on-variance-betting

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:18 - Khvicha Kvaratskhelia set to leave Napoli

02:37 - Napoli need to sell him for budget reasons

03:48 - Liverpool, United, and PSG are alleged suitors

04:57 - Why would PSG be interested?

06:46 - Could Ligue 1 be a draw for Kvara?

07:16 - Kvara vs. Barcola

08:54 - The problem with Kvara’s shots

10:27 - His shot map + worse radar from last season

11:12 - A Garnacho replacement for United?

13:02 - Atletico Madrid’s form

14:30 - Manchester United’s fire sale

15:14 - Kobbie Mainoo’s fan perception + United’s incompetence

17:52 - How would you price Mainoo and Garnacho?

19:08 - What to do with Mainoo

20:46 - Amorim and United are in damage limitation mode

21:35 - What makes sense for Garnacho?

25:30 - Man City getting closer to a few deals for BIG money

26:43 - Should City fans temper expectations for Marmoush?

27:34 - Why does he have a low dribble rate?

28:15 - Marmoush radar + shot map and what they tell us

29:21 - How does Pep fit him in?

30:32 - Everton fans are mad at Ted

31:15 - Sean Dyche did one of the best managerial jobs this season?

32:49 - He changed his style to keep Everton up

34:55 - Kyle Walker to AC Milan?

36:50 - Variance Betting information

38:04 - Behind the scenes

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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Randal Kolo Muani's move from PSG, teams that he's linked to, and what his best fit would be. Then comes West Ham, who have a rift between manager Julen Lopetegui and sporting director Tim Steidten. Can it be fixed, or is the situation too far gone? The episode ends with a look at two new options for the Arsenal attack, Kang-in Lee and Mikkel Damsgaard. Which player is the best option for Arsenal, how much will they cost, and will Arsenal just wait for Nico Williams in the summer? Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:41 - Randall Kolo Muani is on the market

04:06 - Kolo Muani as a player

05:58 - What are the questions with him?

07:34 - How Kolo Muani’s age impacts what teams will get from him

09:36 - Comparison to Nicolas Jackson

12:06 - Kolo Muani’s best fit

13:27 - Do Arsenal, United or Spurs make sense?

14:28 - A Timo Werner replacement for Spurs?

16:17 - A rift at West Ham

17:41 - Julen Lopetegui and Tim Steidten drama

19:21 - West Ham’s Summer window

20:34 - How does this rift between manager and Sporting Director impact the club?

22:44 - Is a Lopetegui sacking inevitable?

24:03 - Did Moyes keep West Ham together?

25:02 - 2 new targets for Arsenal

25:36 - Kang-in Lee’s history

26:49 - How Lee’s role has changed at PSG

28:18 - What’s his best position?

29:50 - Would he be worth the price?

32:15 - Will Arsenal just wait for Nico Williams in the Summer?

33:28 - The value of a young player who has played multiple roles

36:05 - Mikkel Damsgaard’s history

36:49 - Damsgaard’s skillset

38:02 - He makes sense as a backup

38:56 - Low pass success rate, but high chances created

39:57 - Comparing Lee and Damsgaard

41:32 - Arsenal do not dribble much, but how does Nico Williams fit in?

43:13 - Arsenal run a NBA half-court offense

44:52 - The differences between Liverpool and Arsenal

46:36 - Arteta will have to “open the playbook” for Williams

48:30 - Do Arsenal need a more diverse attacking profile?

49:14 - The constant push and pull of sporting directors and managers

50:22 - Bob Voulgaris’ strategy for Castellon

52:26 - Different philosophies to combat variance

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On this episode, Ted and Patrick begin by discussing Frankfurt forward Omar Marmoush. Who will sign him, how much will it cost, and what is his best fit? Then, Donyell Malen has been linked with Aston villa, but are there better teams for him to sign with? Next comes City, who have been linked with 20-year-old CB Abdulkadir Khosanov. Is he their Kyle Walker replacement? After City, Ted goes in-depth on the state of pricing in football, who benefits and suffers, and how owners can handle it differently. The episode ends with discussion of Liverpool v. United, Crystal Palace v Chelsea,Southampton v Brighton. Stay till the end for an easter egg, plus Patrick teaching us how to pronounce Abdulkadir Khosanov.

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:00 - Omar Marmoush linked with multiple teams

02:37 - Marmoush’s history and skillset

05:23 - Does he make sense for Liverpool?

06:16 - What does he excel at?

09:24 - Marmoush’s fit at Arsenal, City and United

13:05 - What price for him?

14:39 - Villa linked with Donyell Malen

15:30 - Malen’s traits

17:12 - The rumoured fee

18:05 - His career numbers + time at Arsenal

19:25 - More fun destinations for Malen

20:00 - City linked with 20-year-old CB Abdulkadir Khosanov

21:20 - Kyle walker replacement?

22:27 - Is Benfica’s Antonio Silva the long-term replacement?

23:23 - How do city approach the window?

24:10 - City’s last few games

26:14 - We don’t know what teams should be pricing players at right now

28:21 - We’re already seeing prices come down from their peaks

29:16 - Who benefits and suffers from this?

32:33 - How do owners handle this?

36:05 - Will we see teams start to sell aggressively?

36:48 - Ben Doak linked with Palace and Ipswich

38:22 - Should Liverpool sell him?

39:53 - What should the price be if they do sell?

41:04 - Liverpool vs. Man United Thoughts

43:56 - United have a lot of mismatched toys right now

44:28 - Brentford's 5-0 win over Southampton

45:16 - Brentford tried to maximize transition opportunities

46:08 - Chelsea draw Crystal Palace, 1-1

47:02 - Chelsea controlled the game pretty well

48:13 - Chelsea’s Sanchez problem

50:03 - Arsenal were pretty poor over the weekend

51:11 - Ted’s easter egg for those who stick around

52:40 - B-roll (Trying to pronounce Abdulkadir Khosanov)

#premierleague #transfernews #liverpool #manchestercity #arsenal #manchesterunited #chelsea

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On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss what Arsenal best course of action after Bukayo Saka's injury. Can they replace him, who are their best options, and is the replacement already in the squad? Next, they move to Barcelona failing to register Dani Olmo. Can Barca fix this issue, or will Olmo leave the squad? Along the way they discuss Virgil Van Dijk and Mo Salah's extensions, Marcus Thuram replacing Darwin Nunez, and Joshua Zirkzee's struggles. Lastly, Nottingham Forest have been on an incredible run in the Premier League. Will they finish in a Champions League spot? Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:45 - Games over the break

03:13 - A good time to have a great Academy

03:25 - Saka’s injury

04:21 - Salah’s incredible run of form (James Yorke tweet)

05:06 - Alexander Isak’s story

07:18 - Erling Halaand’s transfer history

09:26 - What should Arsenal do about Saka’s injury?

10:58 - Buying a replacement vs. playing youngsters

11:52 - Is Omar Marmoush an option?

12:55 - Could the be after Marcus Rashford?

14:03 - Teams taking the money vs waiting for the “right” price (Chelsea…)

15:34 - Names that could be Saka replacements

15:40 - Does Bryan Mbeumo make sense?

18:11 - He has high risk reward passing style

19:18 - Mathys Tel on Loan?

20:28 - Evan Ferguson to bolster the attack?

21:09 - Will Brighton sell?

22:55 - Leroy Sane as a direct replacement?

23:46 - Sane brings a broad skillset, but is he too old

26:55 - Barcelona fail to register Dani Olmo

27:51 - Barca are the only thing to make Ravi angry

29:18 - Hansi Flick should be furious + Olmo Landing spots

31:08 - La Masia is their saving grace and will they scapegoat Frenkie de Jong

32:27 - de Jong = Bobby Bonilla?

33:37 - Manchester United players are “available”

34:07 - Should City sign him + What is his actual position?

37:03 - Giggs hamstring story

38:38 - Marcus Thuram to Liverpool?

41:14 - Extensions for VVD and Salah?

42:29 - How does Thuram fit in the squad?

44:37 - Joshua Zirkzee saga continues

45:34 - Missing a lot of big chances means you are in good positions a lot

47:18 - Can Nottingham Forest continue their run of form?

50:28 - Forest’s attack is fragile, will it cost them?

52:49 - A coin flip for top 4 or for top 5?

54:40 - How Forest have won their recent games

56:32 - Going full circle

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On this episode, Patrick and Ted start by discussing Liverpool's 6-3 battering of Spurs. Mo Salah is ageless, should Ange Postecoglou change his style of play, and do Liverpool have the best attack in the world? Then, Southampton have hired Ivan Juric as manager. Who is he, what is his style, and how is he different than Russell Martin? After that comes Arsenal, have they finally flipped the switch and fixed their attack? Next, Barcelona lost 2-1 to Atletico Madrid. Are Barcelona in crisis, or do the numbers tell a different story? And finally, Manchester United lost 3-0 to Bournemouth, but is there reason for United fans to be hopeful? Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:01 - Liverpool Defeat Spurs, 6-3

03:21 - Injured defense against the best frontline in the world?

04:21 - How Liverpool created their chances

05:15 - Ange Postecoglou’s style of play

07:51 - Ange won’t change his philosophy

09:51 - How good would Spurs be with one elite midfielder?

11:42 - Mo Salah is ridiculous

13:09 - It’s getting hard to see how Liverpool doesn’t win the title

14:29 - Southampton hire Ivan Juric as manager

17:01 - Differences between Juric and Russell Martin

18:21 - The new generation of Italian football

19:03 - Big Shakespeare fan

19:38 - We fixed Arsenal

21:07 - Gabriel Jesus’ last 2 games

21:47 - Arsenal played much for attacking football

22:38 - Kai Havertz is very versatile

23:49 - Can Arsenal find the right balance?

24:28 - Saliba had a poor game

25:22 - How teams are trying to stop Arsenal’s set piece advantage

28:20 - The more variation you throw at them the better

30:13 - Calling basketball plays in open play

31:09 - Ben White/ Cristiano Ronaldo’s approach to getting open for crosses

32:11 - Saka injured in this game, should fast-attacking teams un-invert their wingers?

34:26 - Are Barcelona in Crisis after 2-1 loss to Atletico?

35:44 - The numbers are still good despite the results

37:57 - Lamine Yamal was out injured

39:00 - Go and watch Pedri in this game

40:04 - United are the leakiest club in the league

41:21 - Man United are in a multi-year rebuild

42:29 - They’re trending well on Defense

45:19 - Ted’s request for the listeners

#liverpool #barcelona #arsenal #tottenham #manchesterunited #saka #lamineyamal #pedri #arteta #angepostecoglou #atleticomadrid

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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by Discussing Vincent Kompany's tenure at Bayern Munich. They lead the Bundesliga, but have struggled in big matches. What's the best way to evaluate Kompany's performance? Then, the conversation switched to Lyon, who need to make 100M in sales this January to avoid being sent to Ligue 2. How has the happened, who will they sell, and what teams might those players go to? Finally, the Serie A title race has been close since the start of the season, but is it now down to 3 teams? Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - Vincent Kompany’s tenure as Bayern manager

02:51 - What would be a successful first season?

04:14 - Lack of success in Big Matches

06:49 - They’ve missed key players for multiple matches

08:00 - Do they have the squad for Kompany?

10:26 - Bayern by the numbers this season

13:35 - How Kompany has approached this season

16:15 - How do you evaluate Kompany?

17:33 - Should Bayern manage expectations?

19:30 - Do you evaluate Kompany solely on big matches?

21:36 - What positions should Bayern target in January?

23:15 - Kimmich has played the most minutes and may leave

24:50 - Why Lyon need to make 100M in January

26:15 - Lyon have spent money poorly

27:50 - Lyon are not a team that spend big money historically

30:29 - Players Lyon can sell for significant money (Caqueret and Cherki)

33:05 - Why hasn’t Cherki left Lyon yet?

35:52 - Georges Mikautadze

36:48 - Malick Fofana is a great prospect

38:46 - Ernest Nuamah

39:45 - What club for Fofana and Nuamah?

40:51 - The Serie A title race

41:29 - Is it a 3-team race (Inter Milan, Napoli and Lazio)?

44:00 - Why Fiorentina is likely not a challenger

44:38 - Napoli’s advantage

45:27 - Upcoming schedules for the top teams

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On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Arsenal's recent run of poor results. What's going wrong, how can they fix it, and do they need to add someone in January? Next, Russell Martin and Gary O'Neil were sacked this weekend. Why did it happen and should the firings have come sooner? The conversation moves to the Manchester Derby after United edge out a 2-1 win over City thanks to 2 late goals. What's wrong with City, can Pep fix it, and just how good is Amad Diallo? To end the episode they discuss Diego Gomez' move from Inter Miami to Brighton, marking the first move of the January window. Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - What’s wrong with Arsenal?

02:22 - An accumulation of imperfect choices

04:07 - Lack of squad depth

06:31 - Injuries have been a factor, but they have played conservatively

07:59 -The piece they’re missing

09:51 - Martinelli

11:30 - Why Odegaard might be tired + stories from Ted

15:06 - Should Arteta be playing more aggressively?

16:30 - The risk/reward trade off of pushing for more goals

18:16 - What kind of player should Arsenal target in January?

21:28 - Russell Martin FINALLY sacked by Southampton

24:21 - Why did they keep him so long?

26:01 - Wolves Firing Gary O’Neil

29:18 - How many EPL teams allowed over 60 xG last season?

30:09 - Late drama in the Manchester Derby

31:09 - City couldn’t get anything going

32:21 - Lack of quality at DM and fullback are hurting Pep

33:52 - Can pep fix it?

34:32 - Can they buy their way out of it in January?

35:17 - Amad Diallo

35:57 - The first transfer of the window: Gomez to Brighton

36:54 - Neymar to join Lionel Messi at Inter Miami?

38:41 - Brighton’s strategy of stacking up useful talent

39:59 - It may allow them to make consistent Champions League runs soon

41:51 - Ted’s recent run on Variance Betting

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