Please join Ralf Preusser in conversation with Alex Cohen, Stephen Juneau and Meghan Swiber to discuss the US labor market. The US rate market continues to look for an anchor against the backdrop of the twin uncertainty shocks of AI and now Iran. Given developments in the Middle East it may seem backward looking to focus on payrolls, and retail sales. We disagree. Data remains of utmost importance in providing some signal about the underlying path that the US economy is taking after the shutdown. In driving risk asset performance, Friday's data may also matter more than usual for the FX market.

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