Welcome back to another highly anticipated episode of Freight Expectations! This week, Craig and Matt dive deep into the massive, real-time shifts hitting global supply chains, trade policies, and military spending.

First, they break down the unfolding aftermath of the IEEPA (International Economic Emergency Powers Act) tariffs. With billions of dollars already refunded to importers, the hosts debate what this means for the American economy—and whether everyday consumers will ever see a dime of that money back. Craig shares a personal story of dealing with international shipping tariffs firsthand, while Matt explains how to navigate the government’s new refund portal before the window closes.

Later in the episode, the conversation shifts to the high-stakes geopolitics of the Strait of Hormuz and the ongoing conflict with Iran. Matt and Craig engage in a fiery debate over the true health of the US consumer. Is energy volatility about to sap consumer demand, or is the US economy uniquely positioned as a global energy powerhouse to treat this disruption as an industrial stimulant?

Finally, they unpack the staggering new $1.5 trillion US defense budget proposal, the rising threat of asymmetric drone warfare, why the military is spinning up a brand-new anti-drone branch, and what the US must do to ensure its manufacturing supply chain is ready for future global adversaries.

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