Epistemic status: Uncertain in writing style, but reasonably confident in content. Want to come back to writing and alignment research, testing waters with this.

Current state and risk level

I think we're in a phase in AI>AGI>ASI development where rogue AI agents will start popping out quite soon.
Pretty much everyone has access to frontier LLMs/VLMs, there are options to run LLMs locally, and it's clear that there are people that are eager to "let them out"; truth terminal is one example of this. Also Pliny. The capabilities are just not there yet for it to pose a problem.

Or are they?

Thing is, we don't know.
There is a possibility there is a coherent, self-inferencing, autonomous, rogue LLM-based agent doing AI agent things right now, fully under the radar, consolidating power, getting compute for new training runs and whatever else.

Is this possibility small? Sure, it seems [...]

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Outline:

(00:22) Current state and risk level

(02:45) What can be done?

(05:23) Rogue agent threat barometer

(06:56) Does it even matter?

The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.