As I think about "what to do about AI x-risk?", some principles that seem useful to me:

1. Short timelines seem plausible enough that, for the next year or so, I'd like to focus on plans that are relevant if takeoff begins in the next few years. In a year, if it looks more like there are some fundamental bottlenecks on true creative thinking, I may consider more projects that only payoff in longer-timeline stories.
2. Given "short timelines", I feel most optimistic on plans that capitalize on skills that I'm already good at (but maybe multiclassing at things that I can learn quickly with LLM assistance).
3. I think "UI design" is a skill that I (and Lightcone more broadly) am pretty good at. And, I believe the Interfaces as a Scarce Resource hypothesis – the world is often bottlenecked on ability to process and make-use-of information in complicated, messy [...]

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(01:25) Some thoughts so far

(03:58) ...

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