In this week’s episode, we discuss the notion of correlation between volatility and risk, why it can be a bad idea to equate a manager’s performance with their skill-level, when a losing trade should still be considered a good trade, how much opportunity is in Low-Volatility Targeting strategies, and we also give our end-of-year reviews.  Questions answered this week include: Is Trend Following another form of price prediction?  Do you follow the weekly Commitments of Traders report? Can you can you make money in the markets without the need for predictions?

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Episode Summary

0:00 - Intro

0:55 - Macro recap from Niels

3:10 - Weekly review of returns

18:41  - Top tweets

43:29 - Question 1: Woody; Is Trend Following another form of predicting price moves?

1:00:18 - Question 2 William; Do you follow the weekly COT (Commitments of Traders) report?

1:05:02 - Performance recap

1:08:52 - End of year recap

1:19:32 - Top tweets (cont.)

1:20:59 - Thank you to our listeners in 2019

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