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Market volatility has soared, and investors are more bearish than they've been since 2008 – even more so than during COVID. But what if this extreme pessimism is actually a buying signal? Eric Nyquist of Howard Capital makes a compelling case that "bears sound smart, but they're usually wrong," highlighting how contrarian indicators often provide the clearest path forward during market uncertainty.
In this fascinating conversation, Eric breaks down Howard Capital's systematic approach to navigating turbulent markets. Their proprietary "Byline" and "Pivot Point" systems work together like a head coach and coordinator – the Byline determining overall market exposure based on trend analysis, while the Pivot Points fine-tune shorter-term adjustments. This rules-based methodology eliminates emotional decision-making, which Eric identifies as the primary reason most investors significantly underperform the market over time.
Drawing from Howard's impressive track record during previous market downturns, Eric explains how tactical management isn't about predicting market movements but responding systematically to what's actually happening. Their approach allowed them to navigate 2008 with less than 10% drawdowns and position clients optimally during the 2020 COVID crash. Most enlightening is Eric's perspective on risk itself – arguing that true risk isn't volatility but the erosion of purchasing power, making quality equities potentially less risky than bonds over the long term.
For advisors and investors struggling with client emotions during market turbulence, this episode provides invaluable insights into how disciplined, tactical approaches can deliver both peace of mind and superior long-term results. As Eric notes, "the value of a good advisor and money manager far outsees the cost," particularly when they save clients from making costly behavioral mistakes during times of market stress.
DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Howard Capital and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.
Support the show
By Michael A. Gayed, CFA4.6
8888 ratings
Market volatility has soared, and investors are more bearish than they've been since 2008 – even more so than during COVID. But what if this extreme pessimism is actually a buying signal? Eric Nyquist of Howard Capital makes a compelling case that "bears sound smart, but they're usually wrong," highlighting how contrarian indicators often provide the clearest path forward during market uncertainty.
In this fascinating conversation, Eric breaks down Howard Capital's systematic approach to navigating turbulent markets. Their proprietary "Byline" and "Pivot Point" systems work together like a head coach and coordinator – the Byline determining overall market exposure based on trend analysis, while the Pivot Points fine-tune shorter-term adjustments. This rules-based methodology eliminates emotional decision-making, which Eric identifies as the primary reason most investors significantly underperform the market over time.
Drawing from Howard's impressive track record during previous market downturns, Eric explains how tactical management isn't about predicting market movements but responding systematically to what's actually happening. Their approach allowed them to navigate 2008 with less than 10% drawdowns and position clients optimally during the 2020 COVID crash. Most enlightening is Eric's perspective on risk itself – arguing that true risk isn't volatility but the erosion of purchasing power, making quality equities potentially less risky than bonds over the long term.
For advisors and investors struggling with client emotions during market turbulence, this episode provides invaluable insights into how disciplined, tactical approaches can deliver both peace of mind and superior long-term results. As Eric notes, "the value of a good advisor and money manager far outsees the cost," particularly when they save clients from making costly behavioral mistakes during times of market stress.
DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Howard Capital and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.
Support the show

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