Can stock market highs exist alongside falling earnings estimates? Join us as Michael Kramer, founder of Mott Capital, unravels this intricate paradox, offering his seasoned perspective on the unpredictable dance between stock trends and earnings. With a background transitioning from a buy-side trader to managing a long-only thematic growth portfolio, Michael shares insights that transcend typical stock predictions, shedding light on market mechanics, bond yields, and the impact of international equities. His unique approach to portfolio management blends bearish outlooks with strategic long-term positions, presenting a fascinating strategy for navigating today's financial landscape.

We journey through the global market's surprising behaviors, focusing on the DAX and S&P 500 indices defying conventional expectations by climbing despite declining earnings estimates. Michael guides us through the complexities of current market valuations, contrasting them with historical norms and questioning the sustainability of unprecedented profit margin forecasts across sectors, including small caps. Are these high valuations a symptom of optimism or a harbinger of challenges? As we dissect valuation trends, we consider whether economic revitalization under new leadership could balance the scales or exacerbate existing market tensions.

Cryptocurrencies, tariffs, and global economic dynamics form the crux of our final discussions, where Bitcoin's contested value and the yen's strengthening play pivotal roles. With the looming possibility of a Bank of Japan rate hike, we explore the ripple effects on global markets. Meanwhile, the strategic implications of tariffs and inflation create a complex tapestry of economic strategies, where liquidity becomes a central theme. Drawing on insights from financial luminary Druckenmiller, we ponder whether interest rates need a recalibration to align with GDP growth. Listen in as we navigate these multifaceted challenges, offering a rich tapestry of insights for investors seeking to understand and strategize in today's volatile financial climate.

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Unlock the secrets of successful municipal bond investing with insights from industry experts. Join us as we promise to transform your understanding of the municipal bond market, featuring critical insights from Jay McAndrew, Columbia Threadneedle's ETF maestro, and Nicole Vance, a dedicated client portfolio manager. We tackle the financial intricacies of Chicago, challenging conventional ratings and exploring the impact of fiscal and monetary shifts post-election. Nicole shares her personal journey into the world of fixed income and municipal bonds, providing a passionate perspective on the opportunities and challenges within this sector.

Our conversation extends to the strategic intricacies of municipal bond investments, emphasizing the significant role of credit research and the seasoned approach needed in navigating this market. Explore the allure of tax-exempt investments amid political changes and tax reforms, and discover the potential sectors ripe for investment, such as utilities and charter schools. With a focus on evolving strategies, we highlight the market's shift towards mutual funds and ETFs, offering insights into high yield municipal funds and the unique prospects of the municipal market curve. Jay McAndrew further enlightens us on the benefits of the intermediate ETF approach, ensuring you're well-equipped to harness the full potential of municipal bond investing.

DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Columbia Threadneedle and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Foodies unite…with HowUdish!

It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!

Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!

HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.

So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

Explore the fascinating world of investment with us as we journey through shifting market sentiments and opportunities. Our special guest, Michelle Connell, brings a wealth of knowledge from her diverse career, spanning museum management to leading roles in the tech sector and private equity. Discover how Michelle navigates the complexities of alternative investments, focusing on enhancing portfolios for foundations, charities, and high-net-worth individuals. Her unique perspective offers invaluable insights into the evolving landscape of modern finance.

Venture into the intricacies of the small-cap market and the challenges it presents amidst speculation and market euphoria. Drawing parallels to the early 2000s, we stress the significance of discernment and thorough analysis to separate valuable options from market "junk." Our discussion extends to the private credit space, where we delve into its potential benefits and risks, particularly emphasizing the importance of manager selection and understanding default rates. The episode also explores the nuances of serving institutional clients, where unique strategies are crucial to effectively meet their complex needs.

Embrace the importance of financial advisors and the potential pitfalls of managing investments independently. Through personal anecdotes, including an unforgettable meet with Steve Jobs, we illustrate key investment lessons and the power of storytelling in financial education. You'll also get a sneak peek into an upcoming book that blends humor with practical advice, aiming to engage and inform. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting, this episode promises to offer insights that are both enlightening and entertaining.

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Foodies unite…with HowUdish!

It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!

Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!

HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.

So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

Could a potential Trump presidency in 2025 redefine the financial landscape? Join us as we engage with the  Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, who shares his expert insights on how such political shifts, alongside the compelling rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, might influence the markets. Michael illuminates the intricate dance between market skepticism, Federal Reserve policies, and gold prices, drawing fascinating comparisons to historical stock market performances across various administrations. Dive deep into the complex interplay of liquidity, market momentum, and asset pricing, and discover what these elements mean for investors looking to navigate potential risks and seize opportunities in 2025.

As we dissect the current market sentiment, we question whether we're on the brink of speculative mania, fueled by retail investors' frenzy in leveraged single stock funds. Get ready for an eye-opening discussion on the potential impacts of a Bank of Japan rate hike and its ripple effects across global markets. Michael also offers a compelling analysis of the intriguing relationship between Bitcoin and gold, touching on generational differences in asset preferences. Prepare for an insightful exploration of bullish assets, like long-duration treasuries and small caps, and their roles amid deflation scares and yield collapses. With a keen look at mortgage rate trends despite fluctuations in the 10-year yield, this episode promises to challenge your investment paradigms and equip you with fresh strategies for the future.

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Unlock the secrets to smart investing with insights from the illustrious Money Show conference. This episode promises a journey through the event's rich history, from its origins in San Francisco to its expansion across major cities like Orlando, Miami, and Toronto. With captivating contributions from market-savvy speakers like Mike Larson, who boasts a track record of accurately predicting market trends, and gold aficionados Peter Schiff and Brian London, this episode guarantees valuable lessons and memorable experiences for investors of all levels.

Peek behind the curtain as we reveal the meticulous planning that goes into crafting these high-profile gatherings, drawing a diverse crowd from budding investors to the ultra-wealthy. We discuss the strategic alignment of event agendas with current financial trends, ensuring that topics range from crypto to macroeconomic factors. Explore the vibrant social scene that accompanies these events, offering ample networking opportunities and the chance to unwind. Plus, join us for a personal narrative as I recount my financial market journey, from intern to industry expert, and share actionable insights to enhance your investment acumen. Tune in to transform your understanding of the financial world with Money Show.

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Support the show

Renowned entrepreneur and YouTuber Meet Kevin joins us for a thought-provoking conversation on the evolving economic landscape and investment strategies. Discover how Trump's future policies might unexpectedly benefit from Biden's Inflation Reduction Act, creating a deflationary environment, and hear from Kevin about his transformation from a real estate broker to a YouTube sensation and political contender. Kevin's knack for spotting undervalued assets before they gain momentum is a skill he generously shares, offering listeners a fresh perspective on navigating the financial world.

We also tackle the challenges of investing in uncertain times, highlighting critical factors such as valuation, bankruptcy risk, and pricing power in stock selection. Discussing companies like an AI infrastructure firm rebounding from scandal and the embattled solar energy company Enphase, we provide insights into their potential. Meanwhile, the looming threat of a recession and potential future Trump administration policies set the stage for a deflationary cycle. Yet, amidst these hurdles, we maintain optimism for hard asset investors anticipating a dip in interest rates.

In a lively discussion on Tesla, AI, and crypto, we explore the hurdles Tesla faces with Full Self-Driving technology and the broader implications of AI advancements. Kevin also shares his vision for HouseHack, a real estate venture inspired by giants like Berkshire Hathaway, focused on long-term growth through strategic corporate structuring. Throughout, we challenge prevailing market sentiments, drawing attention to the overlooked deflationary trends and the opportunities they present. Tune in for a rich mix of economic insights, personal branding wisdom, and bold predictions that could reshape your investment approach.

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Foodies unite…with HowUdish!

It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!

Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!

HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.

So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

Unlock the secrets of efficient growth with Seth Cogswell of Running Oak Capital. Our latest episode features Seth's fascinating journey from a math-loving North Carolina native to founding a successful investment firm. Seth shares how his father's investment strategy, focused on maximizing earnings growth while minimizing large drawdowns, continues to shape his unique approach. He gives us an insider's view of the launch of Running Oak's ETF, RUINN, and the principles steering his firm's impressive growth. If you're intrigued by how family legacy can influence financial strategy to deliver standout returns, this conversation offers invaluable insights.

We dig deep into Seth's effective investment strategy, challenging conventional market hypotheses. Discover how Seth identifies undervalued companies and capitalizes on market inefficiencies by using forward consensus earnings growth and relative valuation techniques. The discussion also sheds light on risk management and portfolio diversification, with Seth advocating for a broad strategy to manage downside risk and maximize growth. Learn how his disciplined valuation criteria and industry diversification offer a robust margin of safety, especially during market downturns. Tune in to uncover the thoughtful strategy behind Running Oak's success and why Seth believes a proactive approach is key in navigating today's financial landscape.

DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Running Oak Capital and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Unlock the secrets to modern market strategies that are reshaping the financial landscape. Join us as we sit down with Fabio Ruggeri, former Bloomberg professional and current AI-driven finance innovator, to uncover the shift from traditional fundamental analysis to technical and alternative data in market strategies. Through Fabio's journey, we explore how major events like the credit crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic have catalyzed the adoption of alternative data sources, such as geolocation and credit card information, fundamentally transforming how we predict market movements and create quantitative trading strategies.

Discover how the world of options trading has transformed over the past decade, fueled by retail traders seeking more accessible and simplified strategies. Options have not only become pivotal in market liquidity and volatility but have also seen their volumes sometimes surpass traditional equities. This episode uncovers the critical role of options in shaping market dynamics, with zero DTE options emerging as key players in driving sudden market shifts and enabling institutional strategies like covered calls. Our discussion highlights the innovative ways derivatives are now integral to market analysis.

Immerse yourself in the cutting-edge tools and educational resources provided by MenthorQ, designed to democratize complex options data analysis for retail traders. From advanced features like gamma level analysis to intuitive option data visualizations, learn how MenthorQ's platform is revolutionizing the trading experience. Fabio shares insights on the importance of education in mastering options trading, using real-world examples like NVIDIA's earnings to demonstrate the power of MenthorQ's tools. We also spotlight the platform’s growth journey, the role of community engagement, and Fabio's invaluable contributions to advancing market analysis.

DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of MenthorQ and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Foodies unite…with HowUdish!

It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!

Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!

HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.

So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

Discover the strategies that keep investors ahead of the curve in a volatile political landscape with our special guest, Porter Collins, known for his pivotal role in "The Big Short." Join us as Porter and I, Michael Gayed, dissect the unpredictable impacts of political outcomes on investments, from Trump-era policies to the influence of high-profile figures like Elon Musk. We tackle the art of maintaining objectivity in a politically charged environment, examining specific trades such as GEO and Fannie Mae securities.

Explore the intricate dynamics of market trends and how they intersect with potential political shifts, particularly under a possible Trump administration. We delve into the implications of military and immigration policies on investments and the strategic role of GSE preferred stocks. Porter shares his insights on the future of corporate tax strategies and the expected scrutiny of major corporations, while we ponder on the economic consequences of budget cuts in sectors like healthcare.

Navigate the complexities of the current economic landscape with an eye on treasury challenges, inflation, and the volatility of financial markets. We reflect on the lessons of the 1970s inflation era and discuss the potential benefits for gold and Bitcoin investors today. From asymmetric investment opportunities to geopolitical factors affecting oil prices, we cover it all. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis of market outlooks, energy trends, and the looming commercial real estate crisis, offering a wide-angle view of the forces shaping today's investment world.

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Foodies unite…with HowUdish!

It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!

Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!

HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.

So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

Could deregulation be the key to unlocking a wave of economic growth? Join us as we sit down with Hal Lambert from Point Bridge Capital to explore this bold idea, especially in the context of a potential second Trump administration. We discuss the launch of the MAGA ETF, a conservative alternative to the ESG-dominated market, and its focus on mid-sized banks and investment giants like JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs. With insights from Lambert, we unpack how easing regulations could accelerate mergers, acquisitions, and market growth, reminiscent of the shifts during Trump's first term.

Tech giants are driving the S&P 500, but could political scrutiny shift the tides? We'll uncover how Microsoft's and Amazon's market influence might change and why the MAGA ETF's minimal tech exposure offers a unique risk profile. Our conversation touches on the evolving healthcare landscape under Trump and the potential legal hurdles to new policies. By focusing on industrials and materials, the ETF aims to provide a more balanced investment strategy in a politically charged climate.

What role do politics play in shaping corporate strategies and investments? We highlight the evolving priorities in corporate America and the division within the Democratic Party, with a spotlight on economic growth and national defense. Lambert shares insights on the America-first ETF, aligning investments with conservative values by focusing on Republican-supporting companies. This episode concludes with reflections on leadership dynamics in political parties and corporations, and how these changes could shape future market opportunities.

DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Point Bridge Capital and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Foodies unite…with HowUdish!

It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!

Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!

HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.

So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show