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Oil just hit $100 for the first time since 2022. Could it go to $150?

John Love of USCF Investments joins Michael A. Gayed, CFA on Lead-Lag Live at Future Proof Miami to break down the biggest oil shock since 1973. With 20% of the world's oil supply at risk through the Strait of Hormuz, Iran vowing to keep the waterway closed, and crude spiking 36% in six days — this is the most consequential energy crisis in decades.

In this episode, John explains:

• Why this oil shock is more dangerous than the 1973 Arab oil embargo
• How 6% of global supply has already been shut in — and 20% is at risk
• The Iran war scenario: drone warfare, small boat threats, and the new Ayatollah
• What happens to oil prices if Trump calls off the war vs. prolonged conflict
• Strategic petroleum reserves: why a coordinated G7 release may not be enough
• China-Taiwan risk: why China quietly built up reserves over the past year
• The Iraq War playbook: could oil see a 33% single-day drop on resolution?
• Where to invest in commodities through USCF Investments

This interview was recorded live at Future Proof Miami on March 10, 2026, as oil prices surged past $100/barrel amid the escalating Iran conflict.

Links & Resources:

• USCF Investments: uscfinvestments.com
• Lead-Lag Media: leadlagmedia.com
• The Lead-Lag Report: theleadlag.report
• Subscribe: theleadlag.report/subscribe

DISCLAIMER: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.

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In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Hervé Van Caloen, President of Mercator Investment Management, to discuss why Europe’s long-standing political and economic models are breaking down — and why that might be exactly what the continent needs for a revival.

From Germany’s historic decision to become Europe’s largest military power by 2029 to the shift toward a “two-tier” European Union, Van Caloen explains how a new reality of realism is replacing years of complacency.

We also explore the investment opportunities emerging from this shift, looking beyond traditional sectors to uncover hidden opportunities in European defense, semiconductor equipment, and biotech.

In this episode:
• The End of Complacency – Why the invasion of Ukraine shattered the old French-German leadership model.
• Germany’s Military Pivot – How massive defense spending is fueling a revival in German technology and cybersecurity.
• The Two-Tier Europe – Chancellor Merz’s vision for a streamlined, decision-oriented European Union.
• Investment Frontiers – Why defense leaders like Rheinmetall, Thales, and BAE, along with semiconductor giant ASML, are key players.
• Cutting the Red Tape – The urgent need for Europe to return to its 1992 free-market roots and reduce overregulation.

Previous Episode: https://youtu.be/hN2qCZv9irY

Lead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.

#Investing #Europe #Geopolitics #DefenseStocks #Semiconductors #Germany #EuropeanUnion #MarketAnalysis #LeadLagLive #ASML #Biotech #Economy

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In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Henry Greene, Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to discuss how a weakening U.S. dollar and global AI capital spending could reshape leadership in technology markets.

From Taiwan and South Korea’s semiconductor dominance to China’s growing AI innovation ecosystem, Greene explains why emerging markets technology may offer exposure to the same growth themes investors love in the U.S. — but with lower multiples and broader diversification.

In this episode:
– Why dollar weakness is a tailwind for emerging markets
– How Taiwan and Korea benefit from AI CapEx
– China’s role in large language model innovation
– The case for diversifying beyond top-heavy US tech
– How KEMQ captures emerging markets technology exposure

Lead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.

#EmergingMarkets #AIInvesting #Semiconductors #USdollar #GlobalMarkets

 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to explore why humanoid robotics is moving from research labs into real-world deployment — and what that means for investors.

From embodied AI and general-purpose robotics to global supply chain dynamics between the U.S. and China, Yan explains why the KraneShares Global Humanoid and Embodied Intelligence ETF (KOID) focuses on the full ecosystem — not just headline mega-cap names — and even brings KOID, a working humanoid robot, into the interview to demonstrate the theme in real time.

In this episode:
– What “embodied AI” actually means
– Why humanoids are reaching an inflection point now
– How labor shortages are accelerating adoption
– Why the “body” of robotics may hold the most value
– How KOID captures the entire humanoid value chain

Lead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.

#HumanoidRobotics #EmbodiedAI #ArtificialIntelligence
#FutureOfWork #ThematicInvesting

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In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to explore how the next phase of the AI boom may be driven by emerging market technology companies rather than US mega caps alone.

With nearly 40 percent of the S&P 500 concentrated in just ten names, Derek explains why investors may be underexposed to critical parts of the global AI supply chain, including semiconductor manufacturing, memory production, and materials essential to infrastructure buildout.

We also discuss how a weakening US dollar has historically acted as a powerful tailwind for emerging market equities and why improving fundamentals, lower valuations, and AI-linked demand could position EM technology for a multi-year cycle of outperformance.

In this episode:
– Why S&P 500 concentration is near decade highs
– How emerging markets drive AI manufacturing
– Why memory chips are a bottleneck in AI growth
– How a weaker dollar benefits EM equities
– Where advisors may be missing diversification

Lead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.

#ArtificialIntelligence #EmergingMarkets #Semiconductors
#StockMarket #SP500 #KEMQ

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In this special episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Peter Todd, Founder of OpenTimestamps, for a conversation that goes far beyond Bitcoin volatility or market narratives.

Peter joins us directly from Kyiv, where he has been working on the ground to support Ukrainian units through targeted fundraising efforts including delivering repaired and donated 4x4 vehicles to frontline teams and supporting interceptor drone initiatives designed to stop attacks on civilian infrastructure.

But this discussion also touches on something larger. As debates over the Epstein files dominate online discourse, Peter explains how even truthful information can be used as a form of informational warfare by diverting attention away from conflicts that are unfolding in real time. In a world where deepfakes, AI generated media, and manufactured receipts can spread within minutes, tools like OpenTimestamps are being used to prove that digital evidence existed in the past and has not been recently modified.

From Bitcoin’s role in enabling anonymous charitable donations to the use of cryptographic timestamping to document events in wartime, this episode explores how technology, trust, and truth intersect in an increasingly uncertain geopolitical environment and how viewers can directly support verified aid efforts in Ukraine through organizations working on interceptor drones and frontline logistics.

In this episode:
– Why Bitcoin drawdowns may be less important than geopolitical risk
– How truthful information can still be weaponized
– Why the Epstein debate may be crowding out more urgent realities
– How OpenTimestamps helps verify digital evidence
– How viewers can directly support Ukrainian aid efforts

Lead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.

X:https://x.com/peterktodd
https://opentimestamps.org/

#EpsteinFiles #Trump #Bitcoin #UkraineWar #Geopolitics #Crypto #InformationWarfare #WarInUkraine #GlobalConflict #BreakingNews

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In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Kai Wu, Founder and CIO of Sparkline Capital, to break down why the AI boom may be entering a new phase and why investors concentrated in infrastructure stocks could be taking more risk than they realize.

With nearly half of the S&P 500 tied directly or indirectly to AI infrastructure buildout, Kai explains the dangers of crowded positioning, excessive capital spending, and valuation expansion. Drawing on historical technology cycles from railroads to the internet, he outlines why the biggest long-term winners often aren’t the builders, but the early adopters who use new technology to gain efficiency and market share.

We also dive into enterprise adoption rates, proof-of-ROI versus hype-driven AI mentions on earnings calls, and how to distinguish companies generating measurable productivity gains from those simply telling the story.

In this episode:
– Why the AI cycle may be shifting from buildout to adoption
– How only about 10 percent of firms are currently using AI in production
– The valuation risk embedded in infrastructure-heavy portfolios
– Why early adopters may outperform the AI builders
– How advisors can rethink AI exposure without abandoning the theme

Lead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.

#AI #StockMarket #SP500 #NVDA #TechStocks #Tesla

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