(0:00) The Besties intro Travis Kalanick!

(2:11) Travis breaks down the future of food and the state of CloudKitchens

(13:34) Sacks breaks in!

(15:38) DeepSeek panic: What's real, training innovation, China, impact on markets and the AI industry

(50:14) US vs China in AI, the Singapore backdoor

(1:01:51) OpenAI reportedly in talks to raise ~$40B with Masa as the lead investor

(1:10:37) DOGE's first 10 days

(1:25:13) Future of Self Driving: Uber, Waymo, Tesla

(1:38:04) Fed holds rates steady, how DOGE can impact rate cuts

(1:44:17) Fatal DC plane crash

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://github.com/deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-R1/blob/main/DeepSeek_R1.pdf

https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/chinese-company-trained-gpt-4-rival-with-just-2-000-gpus-01-ai-spent-usd3m-compared-to-openais-usd80m-to-usd100m

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/27/nvidia-sheds-almost-600-billion-in-market-cap-biggest-drop-ever.html

https://x.com/shrihacker/status/1884414667503853749

https://x.com/balajis/status/1884975064283812270

https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2025/01/29/meta-platforms-meta-q4-2024

earnings-call-transcri

https://x.com/mrexits/status/1885017400308806121

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-01-28-2025/card/deepseek-s-ai-learned-from-chatgpt-trump-s-ai-czar-says-LoCYvz2Lm0riS0AuEoB5

https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/why-distillation-has-become-the-scariest-wordfor-ai-companies-aa146ae3

https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/27/why-deepseeks-new-ai-model-thinks-its-chatgpt

https://x.com/rauchg/status/1875627666113740892

https://www.ft.com/content/a0dfedd1-5255-4fa9-8ccc-1fe01de87ea6

https://x.com/satyanadella/status/1883753899255046301

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

https://x.com/pitdesi/status/1883192498274873513

https://x.com/rihardjarc/status/1884263865703358726

https://x.com/austen/status/1884444298130674000

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/30/openai-in-talks-to-raise-up-to-40-billion-at-340-billion-valuation.html

https://x.com/america/status/1884372526144598056

https://x.com/DOGE/status/1884396041786524032

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFSD

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/establishing-and-implementing-the-presidents-department-of-government-efficiency

https://x.com/Jason/status/1884671945800573018

https://abcnews.go.com/538/trump-starts-term-weak-approval-rating/story?id=118146633

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/15/cpi-inflation-december-2024-.html

https://x.com/chamath/status/1885068981905875241

(0:00) Ray Dalio joins Friedberg!

(0:50) The current US fiscal situation

(6:23) Breaking down "The Big Debt Cycle," a potential US debt spiral, and the impact on real wealth

(24:54) USD vs other currencies and assets, best hedges against the dollar

(33:20) Portfolio construction, how China increases risk for US AI companies, why this market reminds Ray of 1998-1999

(41:45) How the US can avoid a debt crisis

(53:29) DOGE, Trump, and AI's greatest risk

(1:05:31) Chances of conflict between the US and China

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Read Part 1 of "How Countries Go Broke":

https://x.com/RayDalio/status/1878840018770210979

Pre-order "How Countries Go Broke":

https://www.amazon.com/Principles-Investment-Economic-Ray-Dalio/dp/1501124064

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/government-debt-to-gdp

https://www.crfb.org/press-releases/treasury-confirms-calendar-year-2024-deficit-tops-20-trillion

https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61172

https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/2bstne1l09npgdk1s5yww/corner-office/ray-dalio-makes-his-exit-from-bridgewater

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL

https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/fed-meeting-september-2024

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertfarrington/2024/11/08/fed-cut-interest-rates-so-why-do-mortgage-rates-keep-climbing

https://www.chathamfinancial.com/insights/fomc-recap-december-2024

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/14/a-global-bond-sell-off-is-deepening-as-hopes-for-multiple-fed-rate-cuts-fizzle.html

(0:00) The Besties intro Thomas Laffont!

(6:22) Behind the scenes: Inauguration Weekend recap!

(15:58) Biggest takeaways from DC during the Inauguration

(31:38) Trump Executive Action breakdown

(33:39) TikTok's grace period extended, valuing the business, US new equity strategy?

(57:01) Jan 6th pardons, birthright citizenship

(1:09:49) Stargate: $500B AI investment, is Masa the GOAT?, bull case for OpenAI

(1:23:41) How electricity production capacity plays into the global AI race

(1:36:20) Netflix's stock rise correlates with some alarming societal trends

(1:47:40) BREAKING: AI/Crypto Czar David Sacks joins to discuss the President's three new EOs

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/dontcallmeraylo/status/1882444994264629402

https://x.com/craigkellyXXX/status/1882170281722339700

https://www.wdsu.com/article/donald-trump-executive-orders-inauguration-parade/63486993

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/21/us/trump-birthright-citizenship.html

https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/amendment-14

https://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed74.asp

https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1881830103858172059

https://x.com/sama/status/1882106524090482701

https://x.com/GavinSBaker/status/1882081746877063677

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1881923570458304780

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1882303826214162580

https://x.com/satyanadella/status/1882340818289307954

https://x.com/GregKamradt/status/1881762305152872654

https://x.com/chamath/status/1881773205498876255

https://x.com/documentingbtc/status/1882530869010989287

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/strengthening-american-leadership-in-digital-financial-technology

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/removing-barriers-to-american-leadership-in-artificial-intelligence

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/presidents-council-of-advisors-on-science-and-technology

https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/489251-in-this-age-in-this-country-public-sentiment-is-everything

https://x.com/SpeakerJohnson/status/1882083118032846868

(0:00) House Whip Tom Emmer on Trump's political talent, the Biden conspiracy, taking back the Democratic party, immigration, the role of Whip

(33:53) California Rep. Eric Swalwell on where Democrats went wrong, how to rebrand the party, TikTok ban, and more

(1:08:01) California Rep. Ro Khanna on reforming the Democratic party, Bob Iger as LA Mayor, CA Leadership, TikTok ban

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Besties intro Senator Ted Cruz; history of the "Come and take it" flag

(2:21) Texas vs. California: how to approach building and entrepreneurship

(10:25) Thoughts on immigration, serving in the Senate, over-politicization

(16:55) How to create a bipartisan consensus on immigration, increasing prosperity through opportunity

(23:54) How Sen. Cruz would approach Trump's first two weeks of his second term

(29:02) DOGE's two major challenges, unlimited Congressional terms, ideology over party, the great political flip

(35:22) Trump's strategy on Greenland/Denmark, Panama Canal, and Canada

(42:45) Thoughts on Senate confirmation hearings

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) The Besties welcome Mark Pincus!

(3:53) Mark's background

(6:02) How Mark got red-pilled for Trump, maintaining friendships despite political differences

(23:21) LA Wildfires update: Newsom's EOs, market impact of price controls

(51:32) Congestion pricing in NYC, fixing broken cities

(1:08:33) TikTok ban: origin and potential outcomes

(1:19:15) MBA hiring downturn

(1:34:37) Conspiracy Corner: Mark's take on UFOs and UAPs!

Follow the Besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.piratewires.com

https://x.com/micsolana

https://www.athena.com

https://nypost.com/2024/11/04/us-news/tech-billionaire-mark-pincus-reveals-hes-voting-for-trump

https://x.com/TheTechnXMedia/status/1878459564980392410

https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/EO-N-4-25-Rebuilding-Final-signed.pdf

https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/EO-N-7-25-_-Land-Speculation-1.14.25-bl-_GGN-Signed_.pdf

https://x.com/MayorOfLA/status/1878630125786566664

https://congestionreliefzone.mta.info

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/13/nyregion/congestion-pricing-nyc.html

https://x.com/friedberg/status/1652334973586915328

https://x.com/markpinc/status/1878575249505333606

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T72DfPEBn0A&t=29s

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-14/china-discusses-sale-of-tiktok-us-to-musk-as-one-possible-option

https://www.wsj.com/lifestyle/careers/harvard-mba-employment-rate-job-hunt-difficulty-addfc3ec

(0:00) The Besties welcome Cyan Banister!

(9:16) Reacting to the LA wildfires: broken incentives, leadership failures, lessons learned

(36:51) Insurance issues, rebuilding headwinds, reclaiming the government

(59:44) Zuck goes full free speech, fires third-party fact-checkers, opts for Community Notes model

(1:20:19) Nvidia goes consumer at CES: market cap impact, most interesting vertical

(1:34:49) Why Trump wants Greenland

(1:40:05) Conspiracy Corner: Who built the pyramids?

Follow the Besties:

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https://x.com/cyantist

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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SQ_myzmV_Q

https://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/awipsProducts/RNORR4RSA.php

https://x.com/JonVigliotti/status/1877020919475884110

https://x.com/FearedBuck/status/1877355797245514085

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vKJ5WeBc7Us

https://x.com/CrazyyHub/status/1823574726738092402

https://www.latimes.com/visuals/photography/la-me-fw-archives-the-1961-bel-air-brush-fire-20170419-story.html

https://www.rainmaker.com

https://www.ksbw.com/article/california-fire-evacuation-maps/63382651

https://x.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1877366727547433382

https://x.com/WorldTimesWT/status/1876887200526111017

https://x.com/ericabbenante/status/1877207054105886836

https://x.com/laurapowellesq/status/1877143625588682940

https://x.com/jeremykauffman/status/1877128641802285064

https://x.com/deb8rr/status/1877539354802876576

https://x.com/Jason/status/1877183155821494513

https://about.fb.com/news/2025/01/meta-more-speech-fewer-mistakes

https://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/PDFFiles/Mark-Zuckerberg-Letter-on-Govt-Censorship.pdf

https://x.com/townhallcom/status/1876684277787873397

https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/nvidia-ceo-pitches-robotics-cars-as-growth-areas-to-consumer-electronics-audience-68905f2d

https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/project-digits

https://polymarket.com/markets/creators/all-in

(0:00) The Besties welcome Gavin Baker and recap ski week!

(5:38) Biggest Political Winner

(9:26) Biggest Political Loser

(17:34) Biggest Business Winner

(32:43) Biggest Business Loser

(46:54) Biggest Business Deal

(57:04) Most Contrarian Belief

(1:12:59) Best Performing Asset

(1:22:56) Worst Performing Asset

(1:30:19) Most Anticipated Trend

(1:38:59) Most Anticipated Media

(1:43:03) Super Predictions

(1:46:50) Bonus: Drones, UFOs, and more

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://shop.unitree.com/products/unitree-go2

https://shop.unitree.com/products/unitree-g1

https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/article/state-of-crypto-report-2024

https://x.com/chamath/status/1873144394100187263

https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-become-a-for-profit-business-before-april-2025

(0:00) Bestie intros

(3:07) The Besties welcome Box CEO Aaron Levie!

(5:40) Thoughts on Sacks's new role, what areas he can have immediate positive impact on in crypto and AI

(18:42) DOGE's first casualty and its paradigm-shifting potential

(48:25) Conspiracy Corner: What are the drones over New Jersey!?

(57:36) Zuck joins Team Elon against OpenAI, AI's competitive landscape and downstream impact on business software

(1:27:29) Google's AI turnaround, future of AI physics and video models

Follow the besties:

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https://x.com/friedberg

Follow Aaron Levie:

https://x.com/levie

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Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/government-shutdown-continuing-resolution-march-14

https://x.com/Jason/status/1869816646954823916

https://docs.house.gov/billsthisweek/20241216/CR.pdf

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/government-shutdown-house-vote-continuing-resolution

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1869730547851051029

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/continuing-resolution-government-shutdown-2024

https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1869407887983821089

https://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed58.asp

https://x.com/patrickc/status/1869422495985750459

https://x.com/chamath/status/1869773044832718917

https://x.com/SpeakerPelosi/status/1869871681830879256

https://x.com/RepJayapal/status/1869823494588162475

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869485580276629975

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869482581181554704

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869487359420727338

https://www.wsj.com/politics/biden-white-house-age-function-diminished-3906a839

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/19/faa-drone-flights-are-temporarily-banned-new-jersey.html

https://x.com/KanekoaTheGreat

https://x.com/AutismCapital

https://x.com/Geiger_Capital

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/27/openai-sees-5-billion-loss-this-year-on-3point7-billion-in-revenue.html

https://www.axios.com/2024/12/19/openai-bret-taylor-nonprofit-restructuring

https://openai.com/index/scale-the-benefits-of-ai

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/25/technology/mira-murati-openai.html

https://apnews.com/article/elon-musk-openai-lawsuit-sam-altman-chatgpt-36bc55dbb8b4f9e1e5675ff7564e5fa0

https://www.theverge.com/2024/12/13/24320880/meta-california-ag-letter-openai-non-profit-elon-musk

https://x.com/DailyPalantir/status/1869097046889882057

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-28/openai-cfo-says-75-of-its-revenue-comes-from-paying-consumers

https://x.com/GoogleDeepMind/status/1868703624714395907

https://x.com/_philschmid/status/1869639246434246966

(0:00) The Besties welcome Keith Rabois!

(4:01) Keith explains why he returned to Khosla Ventures, the differences between Founders Fund and Khosla, and his husband Jacob Helberg's role in Trump Admin

(13:09) Business acumen of Trump's cabinet and appointees, diversity of opinion

(25:59) Google's new quantum chip: potential impact on encryption, cryptography, and more

(43:50) Apple developing new server chip for AI inference, iOS flop, why its product culture is failing

(54:30) TikTok panics after appeals court upholds the "divest-or-ban" law, with a January 19th deadline

(1:03:55) State of Venture Capital, why Stripe is still private, thoughts on crypto

Follow the besties:

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Follow Keith:

https://x.com/rabois

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.tiktok.com/@frankielapenna/video/7010077215576575238

https://www.axios.com/2024/12/06/trump-billionaires-cabinet-elon-musk

https://blog.google/technology/research/google-willow-quantum-chip

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08449-y

https://research.google/blog/suppressing-quantum-errors-by-scaling-a-surface-code-logical-qubit

https://quantumai.google/roadmap

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hartmut_Neven

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double-slit_experiment

https://www.discovery.com/science/Double-Slit-Experiment

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schr%C3%B6dinger%27s_cat

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/apple-is-working-on-ai-chip-with-broadcom?rc=pxkrxo

https://x.com/rabois/status/870673635375104000

https://www.amazon.com/Company-Giants-Conversations-Visionaries-Digital/dp/0070329656

https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/09/tech/bytedance-tiktok-halt-us-ban-intl/index.html

https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-us-ban-sale-china-congress-de12b4d22aa8095e62cb0982a6e62235

https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-ban-congress-bill-1c48466df82f3684bd6eb21e61ebcb8d

https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q3-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/12/servicetitan-starts-trading-on-nasdaq-after-ipo.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/11/business/dealbook/ftc-trump-ferguson-khan.html

https://www.ben-evans.com/benedictevans/2021/6/15/antitrust

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-05/convertible-bond-arbs-are-making-microstrategy-wall-street-s-hottest-trade