Episode #1431: Today we’re joined by Steve Greenfield, General Partner at Automotive Ventures and we’re talking about lenders opening the credit taps even as delinquencies stay near record highs. Plus Amazon’s Zoox clears a major robotaxi hurdle and the next wave of in-car AI that could make vehicles more useful.
Show Notes with links:
Credit is getting easier to find even as serious auto delinquencies remain near record highs. Lenders aren’t backing away from the market—in fact, competition is increasing and dealers are seeing more flexibility getting customers approved.
Dealertrack’s credit availability index rose to 105 in July, up 6.9% year over year and near its loosest level in 11 years.
Approval rates held at 74%, while lenders competed harder on pricing.
At the same time, 5.5% of auto debt was 90+ days delinquent in Q2, just under the record 5.6% set in Q1. Loan write-offs, though, stayed at just 0.2%.
Subprime’s share of auto loans rose to 16.4%, up from 13.7% last year, with dealers reporting that some subprime lenders are getting more aggressive.
Friendship Cars’ Adam McCoy said, “The [banks] going after it. It’s a competition right now. It’s good for us.”
Amazon’s Zoox just cleared a major hurdle in the robotaxi race. Its purpose-built vehicles are now charging for rides in Las Vegas, and regulators have given the company room to scale—putting Amazon in a more serious competitive position against Waymo and Tesla.
Amazon bought Zoox for $1.2 billion in 2020. Today the fleet is around 100 vehicles, but has logged more than 3 million driverless miles and carried nearly 1 million riders.
The NHTSA recently approved Zoox to operate up to 5,000 vehicles over the next two years.
The approval still comes with limits: no operation in heavy rain, snow, large amounts of leaves, or on roads above 45 mph.
Zoox is known for their iconic vehicle that looks like a toaster on wheels and says building from the ground up lets it design around the rider experience instead of retrofitting a traditional car.
Zoox CEO Aicha Evans said, “It takes a lot of imagination, belief, resilience and tenacity to do this when you’re going against conventional wisdom.”
AI agents in the car are moving beyond “better voice assistants” toward actually completing tasks for drivers. That could make the cabin dramatically more useful—but it also means automakers may have to give up some control as vehicle experiences become dependent on outside networks, cloud services, and AI providers.
ABI Research estimates AI-driven in-cabin experiences could grow from about 5 million vehicles today to 70 million by 2035.
The challenge is making the experience fast and seamless enough that drivers don’t give up and reach for their phones, especially while voice remains the safest primary interface.
Some examples: booking a restaurant, ordering flowers, handling productivity tasks, or completing other requests through a natural voice conversation.
For automakers, the bigger risk is dependency. Once an AI request leaves the vehicle, the experience depends on connectivity, latency, mobile networks, cloud infrastructure, and third-party services.
Cubic3’s Steven Cochrane said, “No one can possibly own the whole ecosystem across what’s in the vehicle, in the network and in the cloud.”
0:00 Intro with Paul J Daly and Steve Greenfield
2:52 Credit Availability Rises, Late Payments Climb
6:01 Zoox Approved for 5,000 Vehicles, Paid Rides
11:58 In-Car AI Expected to Rise To 70M Cars by 2035