Show from 8/18/23

Prof. Siegel and Jeremy Schwartz begin by highlighting the significant surge in 10-year and TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) yields to their highest levels in decades. They discuss the remarkable increase from negative rates a few years ago, along with the equity premium's alignment with historical averages, reflecting overall strength in the economy. With upcoming talks from Powell, no significant changes are anticipated, emphasizing a continued commitment to data dependency. (10:24) Peter and Julia then join the discussion to examine the nuanced economy and the current state of the labor market. The conversation shifts to the impact of rising interest rates on small and medium-sized businesses and the factors contributing to inflation, highlighting cautious spending and the indication that higher inflation may persist. They also delve into the quality of labor statistics, challenges with response rates in surveys, biases in capturing data, and a bullish outlook on energy, underscoring potential reasons for a rise in oil prices.

Guest: Peter Boockvar is solely an investment advisor representative of Bleakley Financial Group, LLC, a registered investment adviser and separate entity from LPL Financial. Peter serves as Chief Investment Officer of Bleakley Financial Group.

Learn more at: https://www.bleakley.com/about/our-team

Follow him on Twitter: @pboockvar

Guest: Julia Pollak is Chief Economist at ZipRecruiter. She leads ZipRecruiter's economic research team, which provides insights and analysis on current labor market trends and the future of work.

Learn more at: https://www.ziprecruiter.com/blog/

Follow her on Twitter: @juliaonjobs