Odd Lots

Citi's Dirk Willer on How You Know When the Bubble Is Over


Listen Later

According to Dirk Willer, the Global Head of Macro Strategy at Citigroup, we are definitely in bubble territory. Per his research, the stock market has been in a bubble since May. Unlike many people, whose definitions of bubbles are a bit more vague or a bit more based on sentiment, Dirk's work focuses on precise timing and price indicators that distinguish bubbles from mere booms. Furthermore, he argues that when the bubble first forms, the correct move historically is to buy into it and then just accept that you'll never nail the top perfectly. On this episode, we talk about his overall approach as well as the signs of when the bubble has come to an end. We also talk about current parallels to the dotcom bubble, why gold has had such a monster year, and the signs from the Treasury market that make the US look increasingly like an emerging market.

Read more:
Stock Bounce Wanes on Fed Angst as Bitcoin Plunges: Markets Wrap
Gold ‘Trading Like a Meme Stock’ Sets Up Miners as Levered Bet

Only Bloomberg - Business News, Stock Markets, Finance, Breaking & World News subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox each week, plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at  bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots

Join the conversation: discord.gg/oddlots

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Odd LotsBy Bloomberg

  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5

4.5

1,766 ratings


More shows like Odd Lots

View all
Exchanges by Goldman Sachs

Exchanges

985 Listeners

Macro Voices by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Macro Voices

3,056 Listeners

Bloomberg Intelligence by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Intelligence

410 Listeners

Bloomberg Surveillance by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Surveillance

1,178 Listeners

Masters in Business by Bloomberg

Masters in Business

2,189 Listeners

Bloomberg Businessweek by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Businessweek

431 Listeners

Trumponomics by Bloomberg

Trumponomics

350 Listeners

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing by The Idea Farm

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

943 Listeners

Foundering by Bloomberg

Foundering

971 Listeners

Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry by Ted Seides – Allocator and Asset Management Expert

Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry

792 Listeners

Trillions by Bloomberg

Trillions

196 Listeners

Eye On The Market by Michael Cembalest

Eye On The Market

292 Listeners

The Compound and Friends by The Compound

The Compound and Friends

2,166 Listeners

Out of Office by Bloomberg

Out of Office

30 Listeners

The Memo by Howard Marks by Oaktree Capital Management

The Memo by Howard Marks

419 Listeners

Listen to the Story by Bloomberg

Listen to the Story

4 Listeners

The Big Take by Bloomberg

The Big Take

154 Listeners

Into the Metaverse by Bloomberg Intelligence

Into the Metaverse

58 Listeners

Forward Guidance by Blockworks

Forward Guidance

272 Listeners

Bedrock, USA by iHeartPodcasts and Bloomberg CityLab

Bedrock, USA

233 Listeners

Zero: The Climate Race by Bloomberg

Zero: The Climate Race

230 Listeners

Bloomberg Tech by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Tech

64 Listeners

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

84 Listeners

Bloomberg News Now by Bloomberg

Bloomberg News Now

79 Listeners

The Deal with Alex Rodriguez and Jason Kelly by Bloomberg

The Deal with Alex Rodriguez and Jason Kelly

82 Listeners

Money Stuff: The Podcast by Bloomberg

Money Stuff: The Podcast

405 Listeners

Bloomberg Talks by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Talks

22 Listeners

In the City by Bloomberg

In the City

12 Listeners

Bloomberg Opinion by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Opinion

7 Listeners

The Cable by Bloomberg News

The Cable

2 Listeners

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley by Jack Farley

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

155 Listeners

The Sixth Bureau by Bloomberg and iHeartPodcasts

The Sixth Bureau

118 Listeners