Odd Lots

Citi's Dirk Willer on How You Know When the Bubble Is Over


Listen Later

According to Dirk Willer, the Global Head of Macro Strategy at Citigroup, we are definitely in bubble territory. Per his research, the stock market has been in a bubble since May. Unlike many people, whose definitions of bubbles are a bit more vague or a bit more based on sentiment, Dirk's work focuses on precise timing and price indicators that distinguish bubbles from mere booms. Furthermore, he argues that when the bubble first forms, the correct move historically is to buy into it and then just accept that you'll never nail the top perfectly. On this episode, we talk about his overall approach as well as the signs of when the bubble has come to an end. We also talk about current parallels to the dotcom bubble, why gold has had such a monster year, and the signs from the Treasury market that make the US look increasingly like an emerging market.

Read more:
Stock Bounce Wanes on Fed Angst as Bitcoin Plunges: Markets Wrap
Gold ‘Trading Like a Meme Stock’ Sets Up Miners as Levered Bet

Only Bloomberg - Business News, Stock Markets, Finance, Breaking & World News subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox each week, plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at  bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots

Join the conversation: discord.gg/oddlots

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Odd LotsBy Bloomberg

  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5

4.5

1,727 ratings


More shows like Odd Lots

View all
Bloomberg Intelligence by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Intelligence

404 Listeners

Bloomberg Surveillance by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Surveillance

1,166 Listeners

Masters in Business by Bloomberg

Masters in Business

2,171 Listeners

Bloomberg Businessweek by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Businessweek

415 Listeners

Trumponomics by Bloomberg

Trumponomics

353 Listeners

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy by Colossus | Investing & Business Podcasts

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy

2,358 Listeners

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing by The Idea Farm

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

944 Listeners

Foundering by Bloomberg

Foundering

968 Listeners

Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry by Ted Seides – Allocator and Asset Management Expert

Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry

796 Listeners

Animal Spirits Podcast by The Compound

Animal Spirits Podcast

2,029 Listeners

Trillions by Bloomberg

Trillions

192 Listeners

Eye On The Market by Michael Cembalest

Eye On The Market

290 Listeners

The Compound and Friends by The Compound

The Compound and Friends

2,112 Listeners

Out of Office by Bloomberg

Out of Office

30 Listeners

The Memo by Howard Marks by Oaktree Capital Management

The Memo by Howard Marks

454 Listeners

Listen to the Story by Bloomberg

Listen to the Story

4 Listeners

The Big Take by Bloomberg

The Big Take

155 Listeners

Into the Metaverse by Bloomberg Intelligence

Into the Metaverse

58 Listeners

Forward Guidance by Blockworks

Forward Guidance

272 Listeners

Bedrock, USA by iHeartPodcasts and Bloomberg CityLab

Bedrock, USA

233 Listeners

Zero: The Climate Race by Bloomberg

Zero: The Climate Race

228 Listeners

Bloomberg Tech by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Tech

62 Listeners

Bloomberg News Now by Bloomberg

Bloomberg News Now

72 Listeners

The Deal with Alex Rodriguez and Jason Kelly by Bloomberg

The Deal with Alex Rodriguez and Jason Kelly

85 Listeners

Money Stuff: The Podcast by Bloomberg

Money Stuff: The Podcast

393 Listeners

Bloomberg Talks by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Talks

17 Listeners

In the City by Bloomberg

In the City

12 Listeners

Bloomberg Opinion by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Opinion

8 Listeners

The Cable by Bloomberg News

The Cable

2 Listeners

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley by Jack Farley

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

157 Listeners

IVF Disrupted: The Kindbody Story by Bloomberg and  iHeartPodcasts

IVF Disrupted: The Kindbody Story

72 Listeners