Lead-Lag Live

Dissecting the Cryptocurrency Landscape: A Seasonality Study and Strategy Insights with Jeff Hirsch and Adrian Zdunczyk


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Welcome to another insightful episode where our distinguished guests, Jeff Hirsch, a veritable authority in market seasonality, and Adrian Zdunczyk, a rising star in the crypto world, join us for an enlightening discussion on the intriguing world of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Have you ever wondered how traditional stock market strategies could be applied to the burgeoning world of cryptocurrencies? This episode delivers a comprehensive breakdown of a collaborative seasonality study by Jeff and Adrian, revealing how they’ve ingeniously adapted Jeff's renowned seasonality method from the Stock Traders Almanac to chart the crypto landscape.

Our guests draw compelling parallels between Bitcoin and NASDAQ, noting an astounding 400% correlation over the past eight years. In an investing universe often accused of unpredictability, their findings underscore the importance of seasonality, fundamentals, technicals, monetary policy, and market internals in crafting informed market outlooks. We also delve into the speculative nature of Bitcoin's value and the rising institutional acceptance of cryptocurrencies. Uncover how Bitcoin is carving a niche as both a digital gold and a risk asset, offering unique opportunities for investment in a world increasingly shaken by military conflict and geopolitical uncertainty.

But it's not all about the big picture! Jeff and Adrian also take us on a deep dive into the programmed halving cycle of Bitcoin, explaining its far-reaching implications on market volatility, liquidity, and scarcity. They correlate this with the four-year presidential cycle, offering valuable insights for those considering incorporating Bitcoin into their portfolios. We round off the episode celebrating Adrian’s recognition by Forbes magazine and appreciating both Adrian’s and Mike's significant contributions to the crypto conversation. So, whether you're a seasoned crypto investor or a curious newbie, this episode is packed with fascinating insights that will leave you with a much better understanding of this revolutionary financial frontier.

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Lead-Lag LiveBy Michael A. Gayed, CFA

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