The Trivium China Podcast

Ep 52 - China's economic slowdown – not as bad as it seems


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November economic data was a bit of a letdown, suggesting China’s economy is rapidly losing growth momentum.

  • Fixed asset investment declined by double digits
  • Industrial output grew at its slowest rate in 15 months
  • Retail sales of consumer goods grew at the slowest rate in three years

But things aren’t as bad as they seem.

This week, host Andrew Polk is joined by Trivium’s lead macro-econ analyst Joe Peissel to dig into November’s economic data. The gents cover:

  • China’s supply-side slowdown, and why it’s partially policy-driven
  • Why China’s consumption dynamics are more resilient than headline data suggest
  • The reason Beijing appears willing to tolerate a slight economic correction

Andrew and Joe then round things off by discussing China’s policy and economic outlook going into 2026.

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The Trivium China PodcastBy Trivium China

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