Neil Howe, Managing Director of Demography, Hedgeye Risk Management and author of "The Fourth Turning" series of books, discusses the rising chances of a "nullification crisis", and the scenarios in which this could lead to a civil war.

Watch my last interview with Neil: https://youtu.be/Vjn2d3dyvUk?si=Vf9RoqCBQxMT5BLm

*This video was recorded on September 12, 2024

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0:00 - Intro

1:40 - Is the "Fourth Turning" here?

6:10 - Neil's prior predictions that turned true

7:30 - Nullification crisis

17:30 - Path for succession of states

23:30 - Obstacles to civil war

31:20 - Road to world war

34:05 - Popular sentiment against wars

35:40 - Global war or civil war more likely?

44:52 - Is NATO still necessary?

49:00 - Investment implications for Fourth Turning

52:30 - Inflation hedges

56:10 - Economy under rise of millennials

#economics #demographics #investing