It may be all about US tariffs in early 2Q, with the April 2 US tariff announcements and possible retaliation from trading partners risking to entertain increased risk aversion, which bodes well with our bullish view for defensive FX such as the yen. In this episode of FX Moment, Bloomberg Intelligence's chief G-10 FX strategist Audrey Childe-Freeman talks to Bloomberg Economics Chief Trade and Climate Economist, Maeva Cousin, about what tariffs are in place already, what may come next and what are the likely implications - growth and inflation - for the US economy and its key trading partners.

In particular, Maeva shares her latest model findings and how the long list of US grievances with the international trade system could turn into hefty tariff hikes and a sizable stagflation risk for the US.

Real estate private credit is uniquely positioned amid the recent wave of loan maturities and reduction in bank capital. Ricardo Gennari, managing director and head of US Real Estate Credit at Leste Group, joins Damian Sassower, Bloomberg Intelligence’s chief fixed-income strategist, to discuss his firm’s approach to loan origination, liquidity maintenance and portfolio management. Gennari and Sassower assess the potential for alpha generation in real estate private credit, from traditional office and multifamily to data centers and self-storage.

Factor-driven, trend and pure alpha are among the sleeves within systematic investing that can fuel returns. Jeffrey Rosenberg, managing director and senior portfolio manager for BlackRock Systematic, has spent years identifying and mining such returns. He joins Bloomberg Intelligence’s Noel Hebert on Credit Crunch to discuss the evolution of systematic investing, defensive alpha, the opportunity in high-dispersion markets, the evolving microstructure of credit and BlackRock’s “glass box” approach. That and more in this latest episode. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast series.

There has been growth in the product offering in the crypto options market, which often has a right-tail skew and exhibits spot-up, vol-up dynamics. This edition of All Options Considered is the recording of part of the Bloomberg Volatility Forum 2025 held in London on March 18. The panel discussion on the crypto adoption curve was moderated by Anna Edwards, Boomberg News' Anchor, with Carol Alexander, Professor of Finance, University of Sussex and Exponential Science Foundation, Catherine Clay, Global Head of Derivatives, Cboe Global Markets, and James Harris, CCO, Zodia Custody.

A comfortable environment of US exceptionalism has been replaced by noise around tariff risks, the EU’s fiscal bazooka and US policy pivots, which has supported cross-asset volatility. This edition of All Options Considered is the recording of part of the Bloomberg Volatility Forum 2025 held in London on March 18. Bloomberg Intelligence’s chief global derivatives strategist Tanvir Sandhu gave an opening speech on macro and volatility across markets. A panel discussion on the options market was moderated by Noel Hebert, BI’s global director of FICC strategy, with Dennis Davitt, CEO at Millbank Dartmoor Portsmouth, Pierre-Henri de Monts de Savasse, senior portfolio manager at RBC BlueBay and Pierre de Saab, Former Partner at Dominice & Co Asset Management.

With municipal bond exemptions potentially endangered and credit risks on the horizon, some may consider this to be a transformational time in the muni market. This month we welcome Patrick Haskell, managing director and head of the Municipal Bond Group at BlackRock, to discuss why he thinks it’s a “generational opportunity to capture income” within the muni market. In this Masters of the Muniverse podcast, hosts and Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Eric Kazatsky and Karen Altamirano talk with Haskell about the opportunities in high yield, the rise of active ETFs and the outlook for munis amid the backdrop of tax-policy uncertainties.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell rehabilitated the word “transitory” and injected it into our understanding of where the economy and inflation are now, says Tim Horan, in this Macro Matters edition of the FICC Focus podcast. Horan, the chief investment officer of fixed income at Chilton Trust, joins host and Bloomberg Intelligence chief US rates strategist Ira Jersey and senior US and Canada rates strategy associate Will Hoffman to discuss the economy and fixed-income markets. Horan said he is avoiding longer-maturity Treasuries, but notes that he finds municipal bonds attractive for investors in some states.

Direct lending remains a pillar of private credit, providing companies with new and flexible sources of financing in today’s high interest-rate environment. Laura Holson, Chief Operating Officer of Credit and Managing Director at New Mountain Capital, joins Bloomberg Intelligence’s Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on Credit Crunch to discuss the firm’s focus on “defensive growth” direct lending, and expansion into other areas of the private credit markets, including BDCs and CLOs. The conversation touches on collaboration within New Mountain, deal sourcing, the addressable market, direct lending risk premiums, secondary market viability, and more.

Government bonds sold off in the past weeks, due to tariff news from the US and the debt brake being eased soon in Germany and this has increased the probabilities of rate cuts by central banks, including the Fed. Credit rallied through this mayhem and the big question is, will this strength continue? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, Global Head of Credit Strategy at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Pierre Krief, Head of Credit at CDC (Caisse Des Depots ET Consignations) discuss tariffs and debt brake effect on inflation, growth and central bank policy, its impact on global credit and the challenges of taking a directional view after the big rates moves.

They discuss rates, yields and credit spreads along with curve steepening, the dollar weakness and their impact on credit.

“Even if we hear rumblings that NDAs are out there with third parties and private lenders are looking at assets,... we’re still in a position where — why wouldn’t they come back to us — because we have more to give,” said Patrick McGrath, partner at Anchorage Capital. “If I’ve invested in a structure and I have a group, I can give them more time. That’s valuable. I can address interest rates. I can probably provide the money a little bit cheaper and I can give them certainty as opposed to them saying I’m going to finance the business away.” McGrath sat down with Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Phil Brendel and Negisa Balluku at the Wharton Restructuring & Distressed Investing Conference last month (8:00). He dove into the intricacies of liability management exercises, including the asymmetry of information, discerning whether “deals away” are credible, and the importance of institutional reputation.

Prior to that, BI’s Noel Hebert and Brendel discuss how March may shake up complacent high yield and syndicated loan markets. The podcast concludes with a BI roundtable discussion covering J&J, Franchise Group, Spirit Airlines, Yellow, Ardagh, WW International, and Serta Simmons (1:14:20).