FYI - For Your Innovation

On this episode of FYI, we showcase our latest episode of In The Know, a monthly video series on which our CEO and CIO Cathie Wood discusses fiscal policy, monetary policy, market signals, economic indicators, and innovation. You can find the full In The Know video series at our video center here.

Cathie also weighs in on the Inflation Reduction Act, productivity, inventory build-ups, the latest employment report, commodities, why we’re already in a recession, and more. She also touches on the Bitcoin Monthly, a Bitcoin “earnings report” that details relevant on-chain activity and showcases the openness, transparency, and accessibility of blockchain data. Please subscribe here to download The Bitcoin Monthly Report.

• Inflation Reduction Act

As improbable as it may seem, the metaverse is well under construction, but not in the way it’s been communicated to us in the mainstream. Joining us today to reconstruct all we know about the metaverse and its potential is Herman Narula, the co-founder and CEO of the privately owned metaverse technology company, Improbable. Improbable isn’t necessarily taking a different approach, they’re trying to solve a completely different problem. In this episode, we hear how their aim and approach differ from those of other game developers and the relationship the company has with the traditional gaming sector. Herman describes both the business and discovery model of Improbable’s M2 platform and the extent to which interoperability could be possible. We delve into blockchains and their role in the metaverse, which should fair best in the realm, and how M2 interacts with blockchains. Furthermore, Improbable has partnered with Yuga Labs: “The NFT Company Taking Over the World,” and Herman describes the intention behind it and what the partnership involves, before breaking down how he defines and views NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens). Tune in to hear Herman’s thoughts on augmented and virtual reality, why he believes presence is more important than immersion, and discover how Improbable is making value transfer possible!

• Herman Narula gives an overview of his metaverse tech company, Improbable.

E-commerce is taking the world by storm and today, we are joined by the President of Bukalapak, Teddy Oetomo, to find out how they’re revolutionizing the market in Indonesia. Bukalapak is a publicly traded Indonesian e-commerce company operating as a platform for both online and offline services for smaller retailers. The company partners with mom-and-pop kiosks to make its services easily accessible to customers in a cash-dominant society while enabling these small businesses to increase their revenue. In our conversation with Teddy, we learn more about Bukalapak and the Indonesian e-commerce market, and how the country’s unique socio-economic factors have lent to Bukalapak’s unique e-commerce strategy. We find out how the Indonesian market differs from other markets, and the various customer journeys available with Bukalapak. Teddy fills us in on Bukalapak’s acquisition strategy, financial services, and future plans. Tune in to find out about the nuances of the ever-expanding Indonesian e-commerce market and the versatile approach Bukalapak has adopted to meet the country’s needs.

• Teddy Oetomo’s career background and his current role as President of Bukalapak.

Please note: as of 3/31/22, ARK’s clients own greater than 1% of the shares outstanding of Roku Inc.

We believe there’s a major shift taking place in the TV ecosystem in terms of people moving from linear (cable) TV to connected (streaming) platforms and it’s only going one direction. The advertising world hasn’t quite caught up; In Roku’s first quarter earnings call, CEO Anthony Wood reiterated that US audiences spend 46% of their TV time on streaming while advertisers spend only 18% of their TV ad budgets on streaming.[1] We believe there is an enormous investment opportunity here, and in today’s episode we are going to be talking about why we believe Roku, the only purpose-built operating system for TVs today, is positioned to be a prime beneficiary of the shift from linear to connected TV. Tune in today to hear our predictions for the next five years, the factors required for our thesis to crystalize, exciting developments taking place at Roku, and more! You can read the full Roku valuation blog here.

• An overview of what Roku is.

DISCLOSURE

The forecasted performance and price estimates herein are subject to revision by ARK and provided solely as a guide to current expectations. There can be no expectation that the specific security will achieve such performance or that there will be a return of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FORECASTED PERFORMANCE RESULTS ARE HYPOTHETICAL AND HIGHLY SPECULATIVE, AND PRESENT MANY RISKS AND LIMITATIONS. The recipient should not consider these estimated prices alone in making an investment decision. While ARK believes that there is a sound basis for the forecasts presented, no representations are made as to their accuracy, and there can be no assurance that such forecasts or returns will be achieved by the specific security.

The recipient is urged to use extreme caution when considering the forecasted performance, as it is inherently subjective and reflects ARK’s inherent bias toward higher expected returns. Any higher returns should be viewed as a measure of the relative risk of such investments, with higher forecasted performance generally reflecting greater risk. There is no guarantee that any results will align with the forecasted performance, and they might not be predictive. Some or all results may be substantially lower than projected results and, as with any investment, it is possible that you could lose money.

FORECASTED performance results (single security model simulation forecasts) have many inherent limitations. A recipient account might or might not hold this single security, and the account performance will be affected in proportion to its holding size and the amount of price fluctuation over time. No representation is being made that any client account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses tied to a security in the security model forecasts. In fact, there could be significant differences between these forecasted performance results and the actual results realized.

Forecasted performance has not been achieved by the security, and like all modeled, projected or hypothetical performance, it is important to note that there are multiple versions of a model, and ARK has a conflict of interest in that we have an incentive to show you the best performing results. These forecasts rely on models, which calculate hypothetical performance. Several of the limitations of hypothetical performance models include: 1) reliance on a variety of data obtained from sources that are believed to be reliable, but might be incorrect, inaccurate or incomplete and ARK does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information obtained from any third party, 2) potential inclusion of inherent model creation biases, data discrepancies and/or calculation errors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected, 3) NO reflection of the impact that material economic and market factors might have had on investment decisions that would have been in actual portfolios being managed at the time and do not involve market risk, and 4) NO guarantee of future investment results. The forecasted results rely on assumptions, forecasts, estimates, modeling, algorithms and other data input by ARK, some of which relies on third-parties, that could be or prove over time to be incorrect, inaccurate or incomplete.

The forecasted returns are based on a variety of criteria and assumptions, which might vary substantially, and involve significant elements of subjective judgment and analysis that reflect our own expectations and biases, which might prove invalid or change without notice. It is possible that other foreseeable events that were not taken into account could occur. The forecasted performance results contained herein represent the application of the simulation models as currently in effect on the date first written above, and there can be no assurance that the models will remain the same in the future or that an application of the current models in the future will produce similar results because the relevant market and economic conditions that prevailed during the performance period will not necessarily occur. The results will not be updated as the models change, or any information upon which they rely changes. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the public equity security specifically that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of forecasted performance results, all of which can adversely affect actual results. For these reasons, forecasted performance results will differ, and could differ significantly from actual results. FORECASTED PERFORMANCE RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO REVISION AND PRESENTED FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY.

While ARK’s current assessment of the subject company may be positive, please note that it might be necessary for ARK to liquidate or reduce position sizes prior to the company attaining any forecasted valuation pricing due to a variety of conditions including, but not limited to, client specific guidelines, changing market conditions, investor activity, fundamental changes in the company’s business model and competitive landscape, headline risk, and government/regulatory activity. Additionally, ARK does not have investment banking, consulting, or any type of fee-paying relationship with the subject company.

Please note: as of 3/31/22, ARK’s clients own greater than 1% of the shares outstanding of Mynaric.

Mynaric CEO Bulent Atlan began his career as one of the first employees at the then newly-established SpaceX in 2004, having graduated from Stanford University and following completion of his studies at the Technical University of Munich. At SpaceX, he was essential in growing the company’s avionics department from seven people to over 200 and was as Vice-President responsible for the avionics of the Falcon rockets as well as the Dragon capsule. Bulent is now the CEO of Mynaric and Investment Partner at Alpine Space Ventures. Publicly owned, Mynaric produces the optical fiber for the skies and enables as a pioneer of laser communication extremely fast and secure wireless data transmission between aircraft, drones and satellites. On today’s episode, ARK Associate Portfolio Manager Sam Korus and Director of Research Brett Winton talk to Bulent about space laser communication, drone to drone communication, Mynaric’s partnership with the military and much more!

• Bulent Atlan’s introduction to the space industry and working at SpaceX

On this episode of FYI, we showcase our latest episode of In The Know, a monthly video series on which our CEO and CIO Cathie Wood discusses fiscal policy, monetary policy, market signals, economic indicators, and innovation. You can find the full In The Know video series at our video center: https://ark-invest.com/videos/

Today, Cathie highlights our latest initiative: The Bitcoin Monthly, an “earnings report” that details relevant on-chain activity and showcases the openness, transparency, and accessibility of blockchain data. Please subscribe here to download The Bitcoin Monthly Report: https://ark-invest.com/lp-bitcoin-monthly/ Cathie also weighs in on the Fed, inflation, deflation, yield curves, interest rates, gold and copper prices, the crypto markets, and more.

• An overview on our latest content initiative, the Bitcoin Monthly.

Please note: as of 3/31/22, ARK’s clients own greater than 1% of the shares outstanding of Zoom Video Communications.

Read our full valuation article here.

According to ARK’s open-source research and model, Zoom’s share price could approach $1,500, compounding at a 76 percent annual growth rate in 2026. In today’s episode, Will Summerlin and Andrew Kim talk through their thesis for Zoom, as well as their open-source Zoom model that’s available on GitHub. They cover the type of top-down research that we do at ARK, as well as some of the research that they have done for Zoom. Tuning in, you’ll hear their bottoms-up analysis of Zoom as Will and Andrew dig into the modes that they believe Zoom has, as well as the competitive dynamics they think are going to play out in the communication software space. They also talk through their model and key drivers and, finally, close out with the overall AI opportunity that ARK sees playing out over the next decade and how they believe Zoom can capture some of that opportunity. For all this and more, make sure not to miss today’s conversation!

• The type of top-down research we do at ARK.

DISCLOSURE

The forecasted performance and price estimates herein are subject to revision by ARK and provided solely as a guide to current expectations. There can be no expectation that the specific security will achieve such performance or that there will be a return of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FORECASTED PERFORMANCE RESULTS ARE HYPOTHETICAL AND HIGHLY SPECULATIVE, AND PRESENT MANY RISKS AND LIMITATIONS. The recipient should not consider these estimated prices alone in making an investment decision. While ARK believes that there is a sound basis for the forecasts presented, no representations are made as to their accuracy, and there can be no assurance that such forecasts or returns will be achieved by the specific security.

The recipient is urged to use extreme caution when considering the forecasted performance, as it is inherently subjective and reflects ARK’s inherent bias toward higher expected returns. Any higher returns should be viewed as a measure of the relative risk of such investments, with higher forecasted performance generally reflecting greater risk. There is no guarantee that any results will align with the forecasted performance, and they might not be predictive. Some or all results may be substantially lower than projected results and, as with any investment, it is possible that you could lose money.

FORECASTED performance results (single security model simulation forecasts) have many inherent limitations. A recipient account might or might not hold this single security, and the account performance will be affected in proportion to its holding size and the amount of price fluctuation over time. No representation is being made that any client account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses tied to a security in the security model forecasts. In fact, there could be significant differences between these forecasted performance results and the actual results realized.

Forecasted performance has not been achieved by the security, and like all modeled, projected or hypothetical performance, it is important to note that there are multiple versions of a model, and ARK has a conflict of interest in that we have an incentive to show you the best performing results. These forecasts rely on models, which calculate hypothetical performance. Several of the limitations of hypothetical performance models include: 1) reliance on a variety of data obtained from sources that are believed to be reliable, but might be incorrect, inaccurate or incomplete and ARK does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information obtained from any third party, 2) potential inclusion of inherent model creation biases, data discrepancies and/or calculation errors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected, 3) NO reflection of the impact that material economic and market factors might have had on investment decisions that would have been in actual portfolios being managed at the time and do not involve market risk, and 4) NO guarantee of future investment results. The forecasted results rely on assumptions, forecasts, estimates, modeling, algorithms and other data input by ARK, some of which relies on third-parties, that could be or prove over time to be incorrect, inaccurate or incomplete.

The forecasted returns are based on a variety of criteria and assumptions, which might vary substantially, and involve significant elements of subjective judgment and analysis that reflect our own expectations and biases, which might prove invalid or change without notice. It is possible that other foreseeable events that were not taken into account could occur. The forecasted performance results contained herein represent the application of the simulation models as currently in effect on the date first written above, and there can be no assurance that the models will remain the same in the future or that an application of the current models in the future will produce similar results because the relevant market and economic conditions that prevailed during the performance period will not necessarily occur. The results will not be updated as the models change, or any information upon which they rely changes. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the public equity security specifically that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of forecasted performance results, all of which can adversely affect actual results. For these reasons, forecasted performance results will differ, and could differ significantly from actual results. FORECASTED PERFORMANCE RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO REVISION AND PRESENTED FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY.

While ARK’s current assessment of the subject company may be positive, please note that it might be necessary for ARK to liquidate or reduce position sizes prior to the company attaining any forecasted valuation pricing due to a variety of conditions including, but not limited to, client specific guidelines, changing market conditions, investor activity, fundamental changes in the company’s business model and competitive landscape, headline risk, and government/regulatory activity. Additionally, ARK does not have investment banking, consulting, or any type of fee-paying relationship with the subject company.

Today’s guest believes strongly that healthcare needs blockchain and blockchain needs healthcare. In this episode, Dr. Alex Cahana returns to the show to discuss how blockchain can be the impetus for societal change in the healthcare industry. Dr. Cahana is a medical doctor, an ambassador to the UN for blockchain, and a theme developer for ARK Invest. He is on a mission to “block change healthcare and healthify the crypto space”. In our discussion, Dr. Cahana explains how he has seen the world change over the past two years in terms of healthcare and blockchain technology. He talks about why healthcare needs blockchain, the benefits and vast potential of tokenizing health data, and his three steps to addressing the current problems in healthcare with decentralization. Dr. Cahana also sheds light on his work in Sub-Saharan Africa and why the general adoption of crypto across Africa is much higher than of the rest of the world, as well as what it means for El Salvador to be the first country that has adopted Bitcoin as legal tender, before discussing the difference between “lean and obese” economies and the adoption of blockchain. To find out where Dr. Cahana sees healthcare, blockchain, and the world at large going in the next two to five years, as well as the three things that he’s most excited about in the near future, don’t miss this episode!

• An introduction to today’s guest Dr. Alex Cahana and his career in healthcare and blockchain.

Please note: as of 3/31/22, ARK’s clients own greater than 1% of the shares outstanding of Velo3D.

ARK expects 3D printing to revolutionize manufacturing by collapsing the time between design and production, reducing costs, and providing greater design complexity, accuracy and customization. We believe 3D printing can enable digital inventory and distributed manufacturing, adding flexibility to supply chains. On today’s episode, ARK Research Analyst Tasha Keeney and Research Associate Pierce Jamieson interview Benny Buller, founder and CEO of Velo3D, a leader in end-to-end 3D printing space. Benny observed the additive manufacturing (AM) industry with fresh eyes and no prior manufacturing experience. In doing so, he observed a fundamental flaw limiting the speed of AM adoption: Engineers not only had to learn a new manufacturing process (AM), but they also had to learn a new design process (DfAM). He built Velo3D from the ground up, solving for this root challenge, enabling design to inform manufacturing not the other way around.

• The origin story of 3D Printing and why Benny started Velo3D.

In the world of aerospace, our wildest imaginings are steadily becoming a reality. Joining us today to discuss the future of air traffic, autonomous flight, and the phenomenon of Hamburger Helper being delivered to your door via drone, is aviator, entrepreneur, and investor, Cyrus Sigari. Cyrus has an impressive track record in the field of aviation and is currently the Co-founder and Managing Partner of UP Partners, a privately-owned company that builds and invest in technologies that help move people and goods. In this episode, we discuss the undeniable crossover between military and civilian applications of aviation technology, the challenges the FAA faces when it comes to certifying revolutionary technologies, and what exciting drone-related developments we could see in the next five years! Cyrus fills us in on China’s interesting aviation model, speculates on which areas the US could improve, and explains why focusing on transporting things, rather than humans, could free up the innovation process. Tune in to find out what’s going on in the aviation world, what might be some future possibilities, and what to consider as an early-stage investor in aerospace technologies!

• Cyrus Sigari’s background and involvement in the field of aviation.