Azeem Azhar's Exponential View

My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?


Listen Later

Can AI stocks beat Big Tech? In this episode, I discuss OpenAI and its decision to expand a secondary share sale that lets insiders sell about $10.3 billion of stock at roughly a $500 billion valuation. Although skeptical at first, the calculations reveal there is a path for OpenAI to deliver outsized returns.

I cover:

(0:00) The $500B question 

(01:11) Why the Nasdaq Index is the benchmark 

(03:35) Inside the OpenAI-Microsoft deal 

(05:50) The bull case: OpenAI’s trillion-dollar path 

(09:33) The AI market explosion 

(12:39) The bear case: Competition and constraints 

(17:13) Exploring the models of tomorrow 

(20:58) The disruption premium 

(23:21) Where will OpenAI’s revenue come from? 

(29:14) The final verdict


Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Azeem Azhar's Exponential ViewBy Azeem Azhar

  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9

4.9

603 ratings


More shows like Azeem Azhar's Exponential View

View all
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch by Harry Stebbings

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

535 Listeners

The Knowledge Project by Shane Parrish

The Knowledge Project

2,684 Listeners

Conversations with Tyler by Mercatus Center at George Mason University

Conversations with Tyler

2,450 Listeners

a16z Podcast by Andreessen Horowitz

a16z Podcast

1,093 Listeners

HBR IdeaCast by Harvard Business Review

HBR IdeaCast

1,843 Listeners

Cold Call by HBR Presents / Brian Kenny

Cold Call

195 Listeners

NVIDIA AI Podcast by NVIDIA

NVIDIA AI Podcast

338 Listeners

Masters of Scale by WaitWhat

Masters of Scale

3,985 Listeners

Women at Work by Harvard Business Review

Women at Work

1,381 Listeners

Dear HBR: by Harvard Business Review

Dear HBR:

744 Listeners

After Hours by TED Audio Collective / Youngme Moon, Mihir Desai, & Felix Oberholzer-Gee

After Hours

1,251 Listeners

Inside the Strategy Room by McKinsey & Company

Inside the Strategy Room

169 Listeners

Google DeepMind: The Podcast by Hannah Fry

Google DeepMind: The Podcast

199 Listeners

Dwarkesh Podcast by Dwarkesh Patel

Dwarkesh Podcast

503 Listeners

Hard Fork by The New York Times

Hard Fork

5,487 Listeners

Coaching Real Leaders by Harvard Business Review / Muriel Wilkins

Coaching Real Leaders

668 Listeners

No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups by Conviction

No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups

134 Listeners

Possible by Reid Hoffman

Possible

123 Listeners

The AI Daily Brief: Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis by Nathaniel Whittemore

The AI Daily Brief: Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis

596 Listeners

AI + a16z by a16z

AI + a16z

35 Listeners