The Investor's Podcast (We Study Billionaires) - The Investor’s Podcast Network

 Wall Street veteran and macro expert, James Lavish, and Preston Pysh have a candid back and forth about the Trump tariffs and what the impact in game theory looks like moving forward.

They also talk about how it's impacting fixed income, equities, and Bitcoin. Plus how the U.S. might navigate things from here and what's expected ahead.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

04:14 - How MAG 7 dynamics differ from MAGA trade policies

04:48 - Insights from the Street on where equities and crypto are headed

14:07 - How the U.S. dollar contributed to structural trade imbalances

14:49 - Why China's bond selloff may be a response to U.S. tariffs

15:56 - The potential size of the “boggie” in market selloffs and debt

16:23 - Ray Dalio’s framework for understanding today’s deeper economic shifts

16:41 - The case for the end of globalism and what replaces it

23:42 - Why Elon Musk might be at odds with his economic circle

28:02 - What tariffs mean for inflation and the bond market

36:19 - The role of Dollar Stablecoins in the evolving financial system

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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In today's episode, Stig Brodersen shares 20 pieces of advice with his 20-year-old self.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

02:02 - Why the limits of your language are the limits of your world

06:35 - Why you need to leave your comfort zone

09:05 - Why you can grow from making yourself vulnerable

21:29 - Why you can have anything but not everything

33:29 - Why you should do what you say and say what you do

53:02 - Why you should be intentional with your relationships - but not too much

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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On today’s episode, Clay is joined by Arif Karim to discuss Netflix and Ferrari. Arif has studied both businesses for many years as a co-Portfolio Manager at Ensemble Capital and knows these companies as well as about anybody.

Arif has been in the investment industry for over 25 years, and is currently working on transitioning to his new venture in the industry.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

01:31 - What is Netflix’s moat, and what makes it a great business?

10:45 - How Arif managed the share price volatility of Netflix in recent years.

21:34 - The growth initiatives Netflix pursued in light of the slowdown in subscriber growth.

42:02 - Why Ferrari is a business with win-win relationships similar to Costco.

01:09:04 - How Arif thinks about Ferrari’s and Netflix’s valuation.

And so much more!

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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Jesse Myers breaks down MicroStrategy’s bold new move, the MSTR preferred stock, and shares big-picture views on Bitcoin, scarcity, and economic transformation.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

02:58 - What MicroStrategy’s new preferred stock offering means for investors.

04:34 - The implications of MSTR’s free cash flow and interest expense dynamics.

07:23 - A sneak peek at Jesse’s Global Asset Value chart and what it reveals.

10:16 - How Bitcoin continues to shape MicroStrategy’s balance sheet and strategy.

15:48 - Whether we’re approaching a “debt event horizon” and what that might mean.

16:33 - Jesse’s insights on Bitcoin yield and accretive dilution.

23:29 - Misconceptions people have about the current economic landscape.

23:49 - Why appreciating scarcity is a key mindset shift in investing.

36:36 - What Jesse’s excited about in today’s rapidly evolving financial world.

37:24 - Jesse’s take on Elon Musk and Howard Lutnick’s vision for rewiring the U.S. economy.

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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On today’s episode, Kyle Grieve explores how common stocks, paired with contrarian thinking and an understanding of cycles, can generate strong returns. We’ll cover lessons Ed shares from his journey—like allowing for imprecise valuations and learning from disappointing investments. We’ll also look at the value of investing alongside great investors and acting decisively during market panics.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

04:00 - Why common stocks offer more than just solid returns.

06:14 - One mindset shift to sharpen your contrarian investing edge.

07:43 - Three questions that clarify any tough investing decision.

12:54 - How averaging up became Ed’s unfair advantage.

16:14 - The shortcut Ed uses to spot great investments.

18:08 - Earnings, multiples, and perception: the formula behind significant returns.

24:35 - A turnaround playbook for deep value opportunities.

29:36 - Cyclicality decoded: spotting hidden patterns before the crowd.

49:23 - When bad investments still make you a better investor.

59:25 - Ed’s surprising win in a sector everyone hates.

And so much more!

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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On today’s episode, Clay is joined by François Rochon to discuss his long-term investing philosophy. François firmly believes that buying great businesses at fair prices is the key to success as a long-term investor. He also believes that trying to time the market is a fool’s errand and that stock price volatility is a gift to investors seeking to beat the market.

Since Francois started the Rochon Global Portfolio in 1993, he’s compounded capital at 13.6% per year on average net of fees, and the S&P 500 has compounded at 10.6%.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

01:28 - Why François spends the time to write a letter for his partners each year.

05:03 - François’s takeaways and lessons from 2024.

08:13 - The types of businesses François looks to invest in.

11:05 - How concentrated he prefers to make his fund.

13:18 - Why Giverny Capital will always remain fully invested.

29:47 - The four key risks for equity investors to consider.

40:07 - Why Francois recently made Booking Holdings and Brown & Brown core positions in his portfolio.

56:46 - Francois’s updated views on Alphabet.

And so much more!

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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From ETF debates to home heat mining, Jessy brings deep insights on navigating Bitcoin's evolution, securing your crypto, and building a future with sound strategy and security.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

13:24 - Whether Bitcoin can serve as a reliable retirement asset

22:41 - Practical steps for passing down Bitcoin to future generations

27:32 - How to safely and effectively donate Bitcoin to charity

29:36 - How Bitcoin ETFs are reshaping market dynamics and investor behavior

35:24 - Risks of centralized exchanges and why they’re considered “honeypots”

35:47 - Whether investing in MicroStrategy is a smart Bitcoin proxy play

36:08 - The pros and cons of Bitcoin ETFs vs. private keys

42:03 - How mining pool centralization could threaten Bitcoin’s decentralization

42:26 - Jessy's personal journey with home mining and heating

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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On today’s episode, Kyle Grieve chats with Harris Kupperman about his investing strategy based around concentrated bets on macro and events. Harris has decades of market experience and shares his thoughts on why investors have so much difficulty navigating the markets.

Harris Kupperman is Praetorian Capital Management LLC's founder and chief investment officer. He focuses on inflecting trends and event-driven strategies. He’s also the author of Kuppy’s Korner, a widely followed investment blog. In addition to his investing work, he serves as Chairman and CEO of Mongolia Growth Group, giving him firsthand experience as an operator.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

02:57 - Unlocking macro investing secrets that actually work in real markets

15:58 - How Harris shifts between strategies based on market conditions

19:58 - Why cutting low-conviction positions can unlock capital for bigger winners

25:35 - The hidden advantage of focusing on absolute returns over benchmarks

28:18 How averaging up in commodity cycles can multiply your returns

31:13 - Why Harris believes many MAG-20 stocks aren’t worth the hype

42:38 - Why asset-heavy businesses still hold massive value in today’s economy

53:13 - Why stubbornness and patience are key to real investing success

56:54 - Hedging: A smart risk strategy or just a waste of returns?

1:01:32 - The case for moving fast when investing in inflection point businesses

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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In this episode, Clay explores When Genius Failed by Roger Lowenstein, the gripping story of the rise and fall of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM). 

Founded by Wall Street’s brightest minds, including Nobel Prize-winning economists, LTCM generated astronomical returns using complex mathematical models and extreme leverage—until a financial crisis in 1998 exposed its fatal flaws. Clay also discusses the dangers of overconfidence, the illusion of diversification, and why excessive leverage can be a ticking time bomb. 

Additionally, he shares details on an exclusive value investing event hosted by TIP in Big Sky, Montana, in September 2025.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

03:34 - How John Meriwether and a team of Wall Street’s brightest minds, including Nobel laureates, built a hedge fund that seemed invincible, using sophisticated financial models and extreme leverage.

25:55 - LTCM’s reliance on mathematical models that assumed markets behaved rationally, leading them to underestimate the possibility of extreme events.

48:30 - How the Russian debt default triggered widening credit spreads, exposing LTCM’s overleveraged positions and leading to catastrophic losses.

54:49 - Why LTCM’s failure posed systemic risks to the global financial system, forcing the Fed to coordinate a rescue with major Wall Street banks.

01:08:17 - The dangers of excessive leverage, overconfidence in financial models, and the mistaken belief that markets always revert to historical norms.

01:15:09 - How to attend our new value investing event in Big Sky, Montana, bringing together passionate investors for deep discussions and meaningful connections.

And so much more!

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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In this episode, Preston Pysh, Jeff Ross, American Hodl, and Joe Carlasare explore the implications of dollar weakness, overall liquidity, and the impact of Bitcoin bonds.

They break down SBR, SAB 121, and recent legal updates, while also explaining the Supplemental Leverage Ratio (SLR). They also discuss whether tariffs are truly inflationary, MMT’s consequences, and the shift toward re-privatization. Finally, they cover contrarian buy signals for Bitcoin and QQQ, and the broader outlook for the U.S. economy versus global markets.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

03:06 - Insights into US government spending and economic dependence in 2024.

07:13 - The debate on tariffs and inflation, with a look at Truflation data.

09:27 - Why the dollar’s weakness matters for global markets and liquidity.

10:22 - The role of Bitcoin bonds and what they signal for the crypto market.

11:05 - Why some analysts are bearish on US assets but bullish on global markets.

11:49 - The fiscal challenges facing the US and how they compare to global trends.

17:44 - How the US economy is shifting from MMT-driven policies toward re-privatization.

29:58 - Updates on SAB 121, SBR, and recent regulatory/legal shifts.

35:16 - What the Supplemental Leverage Ratio (SLR) is and why it’s important for banks.

01:03:01 - Major contrarian buy signals for Bitcoin and QQQ based on technical indicators.

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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