The Real Investment Show Podcast

Did the Fed just create the 472nd sequel to the Fast & Furious franchise with its "Sooner & Faster" pronouncement? Markets will be more volatile this year; the Fed basically told the markets what they already knew; the sincerity of Jerome Powell. 2022 will be The Year of Volatility; how large cap companies will cope. How the YOLO investing mentality turned sour; managing fear and greed in 2022. SEG-1: The Sooner, Faster Fed's Policy Error SEG-2: The Fed Threads the Needle SEG-3: 2022: The Year of Fear and Greed...and trading...and volatility SEG-4: How to Invest in 2022: Manage Your Fear, Manage Your Greed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does the Fed's "Sooner & Faster" Stance Mean for Markets?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33gjT08SLsE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=21s -------- Our previous show, "Is Deflation the Watch-word?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xa3XxH_tJDM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fear-and-greed-an-investors-two-worst-enemies -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #YOLO #FearAndGreed #Markets #money #investing

(1/27/22) Markets tanked after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's pronouncement of the FOMC's heightened response to the economy with "sooner & faster" rate hikes. In reality, there was very little change from past Fed meetings, but in the presser afterwards, when Powell uttered those two words, markets collapsed and gave up all their gains. The bottom line: The Fed is going to hike rates and reduce its balance sheet, sooner than later, and more rapidly than expected. The problem for the Fed now is, the Yield Curve is already sharply declining, suggesting more economic weakness to come. The Fed doesn't want to get caught with 0% rates and a $9-T balance sheet when a recession hits, essentially with no tools to manage the economy. So which are the lesser of two evils: Raising rates heading into a disinflationary environment, and creating financial instability...but being able to back off those rates and re-expansion of its balance sheet? Meanwhile, where do investors park money? We look at some major players: AAPL, CMCSA, MSFT, - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YO0urLR68I8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #SoonerFaster #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing

Will the Fed be as aggressive with rate policy in the aftermath of market performance of late? Why MSFT is the best-operating company on the planet; The Fed's challenge: What to do ahead of the next recession? Headwinds for the Fed: No more liquidity; watchword will be deflation. Why do people want free stuff from the Government? How much negativity has entered markets courtesy of ETF's? "Buy Beta" will shift to buying alpha with quality and conviction. SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview: Will the FOMC Remain Aggressive on Policy? SEG-2: This is Where Fundamentals Matter SEG-3: Why Do People Want Free Stuff from the Gov't.? SEG-4: The Headwinds for Rate Hikes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Futures Higher Ahead of Today's Fed Meeting" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YO0urLR68I8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Employment & Jobs: Is There More to the Story?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KlvX5tEeTzE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2586s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/rate-hikes-the-fed-wont-hike-nearly-as-much-as-expected/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #BuyingAlpha #Markets #money #investing

(1/26/22) Futures are higher ahead of today's Fed meeting--in markets that have been sharply lower since the beginning of the year. Are markets ready for a bounce? The S&P is oversold, sitting on support from October's lows. A bounce today could rally all the way back up to the 20- and 50-DMA, and hitting 4,600 on the S&P would not be surprising. Similarly, the NASDAQ, down over 13% for the year, a rally back to its 20- and 50-DMA is not out of the realm of possibility. Cryptocurrencies have become the defacto indicator for market sentiment, with Bitcoin oversold by more than three standard deviations. Unlike the markets, Bitcoin is already beginning to form a base and turn positive, but is about to run into some resistance at the declining 20-DMA. But if Bitcoin can rally above the 20-DMA, there's a clear shot to possibly hit $45,000. An effective rally in Bitcoin could fuel a risk-on appetite in the markets. this afternoon's Fed meeting, however, could completely change the tone and the direction of the markets. A more-doveish Fed would favor stocks and cryptocurrency, and potentially fuel markets over the next few days. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YO0urLR68I8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #Bitcoin #NASDAQ #S&P #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing

The Fed's conundrum, and markets call its bluff; Inflationary pressure is coming; inflation now & then (1970's); what happens when the Fed becomes more active; the employment & participation picture; how we count workers counts; the Market as Barometer for the Presidency; the Fed is a political animal. SEG-1: Market Recap: The Fed's Conundrum SEG-2: Inflation Then & Now: What Happens When the Fed is Active SEG-3: Employment & Job Participation: There's more to the story SEG-4: Why the Fed is a Political Animal Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Calling the Fed's Bluff:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJPedVrUvJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How Do You Know When Inflation Has Peaked?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zjWsNU8A4jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #Disinflation #InterestRates #Employment #JobParticipation #Markets #money #investing

(1/25/22) Markets' sold-off sharply through the first half of the day, with downside liquidation pressure. However, at midday, markets rallied to recover all of the morning's losses, with a huge volume surge at the end of the day. All of this activity took place within the context of a pre-Fed meeting environment: That discussion will center on whether to hike rates and/or tighten the Fed's balance sheet, ostensibly to blunt the effects of inflation. But markets are apparently calling the Fed's bluff by selling off since the beginning of the year. Weakness in Consumer Sentiment and ongoing downward pressure in the markets have got to be concerns for the Fed, possibly shaping it's actions and tone at this week's FOMC meeting. But if inflation has already peaked, could the Fed be late in its policy direction? If the Fed sticks with its aggressive stance, we could see more downward pressure in the markets. But if the Fed soft-pedals its position (as we expect), stocks could gain some real momentum over the course of the next few weeks. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJPedVrUvJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #OptionsExpiration #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing

Is the sell-off over? Certain signs that Inflation has peaked--will there be a counter-trend rally? Rotation from the commodity inflation trade; Bond prices indicate deflation a bigger risk. Removal of Liquidity weighing on markets; the challenge of navigating short-term periods of volatility; Friday's $3.3-T options expiry; Grocery shopping and shortages; are opportunities coming to buy stocks cheaper? SEG-1: How Do You Know When Inflation Has Peaked (Here's Your Sign) SEG-2: Why The Fed's Rate Hike(s) could be a "One-and-Done" deal SEG-3: What if the Fed Soft-pedals Inflationary Caution? SEG-4: Shopping at Costco; the Transition from Meme Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Could We Have Another 35% Sell-off?" Could We Have Another 35% Sell-off? -------- Our previous show, "Is the Fed Too Late to the Game?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEGnBbQ66K8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #SupplyChain #Inflation #Disinflation #InterestRates #Costco #WalMart #MemeStocks #Markets #money #investing

(1/24/22) Markets' strong sell-off on Friday produced the second-largest Options Expiration Day in market history--$3.3-trillion in options being handled: a lot of pressure on the S&P and NASDAQ, breaking below their 200-DMA. Could we have another 35% sell-off? Not necessarily--for one thing, we're not shutting down the economy again. But with stocks, crypotocurrency, and speculative assets in general under significant pressure, you've gotta wonder when buyers are going to show up to buy the dip. We're still very over-sold, suggesting that some short-term support should emerge. If not, algorithms may be triggered to continue selling assets. What could cause that to reverse? With this week's Fed meeting on tap, everyone is focused on what the FOMC will say about rate hikes and tapering--will they be as aggressive as previously indicated. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2py07nc0gg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #OptionsExpiration #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing

2022 is not starting out the way a lot of investors expected; will this be the year of Investor Comeuppance? What is true value? Taking profits in Tech, and the Island of Misfits; Why rising interest rates are poison to speculative investors, The myth of living debt-free with a paid-off mortgage; Why Cash Flow is the primary consideration in Retirement; best-selling home sizes. SEG-1: Will 2022 Be the Year of Comeuppance? SEG-2: Taking Profits in Tech & Island of Misfits SEG-3: Why Rising Rates are Poison to Speculative Investing SEG-4: Dealing with Debt in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is It Time to Short the Vaccine Makers?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Z9mnVB4JaY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Is the Fed Too Late to the Game?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEGnBbQ66K8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #DebtFree #MortgageDebt #FederalReserve #VaccineMandate #Inflation #Disinflation #RepricingRisk #ValueStocks #Markets #money #investing

The impact on markets of dropping mask and vaccine mandates--and is the Fed too late to the game? How we're getting "back to normal--"what ever that is; the Fed is in a no-win position: How will it re-price risk? the difference between inflation and dis-inflation; what's the difference between conservative company and a conservative stock? Is value coming back into style? How to find a "value stock" that's not a value trap? How to invest for 2022? SEG-1: Is it Time to Short the Vax-makers? SEG-2: How We're Getting "Back to Normal" SEG-3: The Difference Between Inflation & Dis-Inflation: Will the Fed Re-price Risk? SEG-4: Will "Value" Be the Place to Be for 2022? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is It Time to Short the Vaccine Makers?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Z9mnVB4JaY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Time to Resize Oil Stock Allocations?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_FyedtX8Y-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #VaccineMandate #MaskMandate #Inflation #Disinflation #RepricingRisk #ValueStocks #Markets #money #investing